{"id":228985,"date":"2024-05-09T13:52:10","date_gmt":"2024-05-09T11:52:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=228985"},"modified":"2024-05-09T13:52:11","modified_gmt":"2024-05-09T11:52:11","slug":"malgre-lintensification-de-ses-attaques-en-avril-larmee-russe-ne-progresse-que-marginalement","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/05\/09\/malgre-lintensification-de-ses-attaques-en-avril-larmee-russe-ne-progresse-que-marginalement\/","title":{"rendered":"Malgr\u00e9 l\u2019intensification de ses attaques en avril, l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe ne progresse que marginalement"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>En d\u00e9pit d\u2019un rapport de force \u00e0 l\u2019avantage des forces russes dans tous les domaines, Moscou n\u2019a \u00e9t\u00e9 en mesure de capturer que 85,85 km\u00b2 de territoire ukrainien au cours du mois d\u2019avril \u2014 soit moins de 0,01&#160;% de la surface du pays. Si le rythme de progression russe a acc\u00e9l\u00e9r\u00e9 de 64&#160;% par rapport \u00e0 la moyenne novembre 2023-mars 2024, celui-ci demeure largement inf\u00e9rieur \u00e0 l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium \">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/14701390\/embed\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Dans son point de situation quotidien du 9 mai, le minist\u00e8re de la D\u00e9fense britannique estime que les attaques russes ont augment\u00e9 de 17&#160;% dans l\u2019Est de l\u2019Ukraine entre mars et avril 2024&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-228985' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/05\/09\/malgre-lintensification-de-ses-attaques-en-avril-larmee-russe-ne-progresse-que-marginalement\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-228985' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/twitter.com\/DefenceHQ\/status\/1788494317717241971&quot;&gt;Publication du minist\u00e8re de la D\u00e9fense britannique sur X (Twitter)&lt;\/a&gt;, 9 mai 2024.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Autour de la ville du Donbass de Tchassiv Yar \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/04\/17\/la-russie-veut-capturer-tchassiv-yar-avant-le-9-mai-selon-kiev\/\">que Moscou voulait capturer d\u2019ici le 9 mai, selon Kiev<\/a> \u2014, Londres a observ\u00e9 une augmentation du nombre d\u2019attaques de 200&#160;% entre mars et avril.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/0Loua\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>La mise en miroir de ces chiffres ne transcrit qu\u2019une r\u00e9alit\u00e9 math\u00e9matique insuffisante pour traduire la complexit\u00e9 des logiques \u00e0 l&rsquo;\u0153uvre sur le champ de bataille. Celle-ci ne peut par ailleurs pas servir de base \u00e0 une quelconque anticipation de l\u2019\u00e9volution future de la ligne de front. Cependant, on peut ais\u00e9ment en tirer la conclusion que les forces ukrainiennes ont r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 tenir leurs positions tout en faisant face \u00e0 l\u2019une des p\u00e9riodes les plus critiques en mati\u00e8re de ressources depuis f\u00e9vrier 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/HYzfn\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Le chef adjoint du renseignement militaire ukrainien Vadym Skibitsky reconna\u00eet que les mois d\u2019avril et mai sont particuli\u00e8rement difficiles pour l\u2019arm\u00e9e ukrainienne&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-228985' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/05\/09\/malgre-lintensification-de-ses-attaques-en-avril-larmee-russe-ne-progresse-que-marginalement\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-228985' title='\u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.economist.com\/europe\/2024\/05\/02\/a-fresh-russian-push-will-test-ukraine-severely-says-a-senior-general&quot;&gt;A fresh Russian push will test Ukraine severely, says a senior general&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The Economist&lt;\/em&gt;, 2 mai 2024.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. La situation pourrait n\u00e9anmoins l\u00e9g\u00e8rement s\u2019am\u00e9liorer \u00e0 partir du mois de juin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Lors d\u2019un entretien accord\u00e9 \u00e0 la cha\u00eene allemande ARD, le pr\u00e9sident tch\u00e8que Petr Pavel a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 qu\u2019il \u00ab&#160;partait du principe&#160;\u00bb qu\u2019une premi\u00e8re livraison de 180 000 obus d\u2019artillerie devrait arriver en Ukraine au cours du mois prochain&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-228985' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/05\/09\/malgre-lintensification-de-ses-attaques-en-avril-larmee-russe-ne-progresse-que-marginalement\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-228985' title='\u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.tagesschau.de\/ausland\/europa\/interview-petr-pavel-100.html&quot;&gt;\u00ab&amp;#160;Im Juni die ersten 180.000 St\u00fcck Munition&amp;#160;\u00bb&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Tagesschau&lt;\/em&gt;, 8 mai 2024.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Gr\u00e2ce aux financements octroy\u00e9s \u00e0 <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/03\/20\/a-linitiative-de-la-republique-tcheque-les-soutiens-de-lukraine-veulent-livrer-15-million-dobus-a-lukraine\/\">l\u2019initiative lanc\u00e9e par Prague en f\u00e9vrier<\/a>, environ 300 000 obus d\u00e9j\u00e0 produits auraient \u00e9t\u00e9 localis\u00e9s par la R\u00e9publique tch\u00e8que. Ceux-ci se trouvent entre autres en Cor\u00e9e du Sud, en Turquie et en Afrique du Sud.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>R\u00e9cemment, des combattants ukrainiens \u2014 notamment des artilleurs \u2014 ont signal\u00e9 que le rythme de ravitaillement en obus de leurs positions avait augment\u00e9 par rapport aux semaines et mois pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-228985' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/05\/09\/malgre-lintensification-de-ses-attaques-en-avril-larmee-russe-ne-progresse-que-marginalement\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-228985' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/twitter.com\/43oabrpion\/status\/1787794472102666548&quot;&gt;Publication sur X (Twitter) de \u0431\u043e\u0439\u043e\u0432\u0430 \u043e\u0434\u0438\u043d\u0438\u0446\u044f \u0437 43 \u041e\u0410\u0411\u0440&lt;\/a&gt;, 7 mai 2024.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ces munitions proviennent probablement du <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/04\/23\/sur-les-61-milliards-contenus-dans-le-projet-de-loi-americain-daide-a-kiev-2317-sont-pour-larmee-ukrainienne\/\">paquet d\u2019assistance am\u00e9ricaine<\/a> dont les premi\u00e8res cargaisons ont commenc\u00e9 \u00e0 arriver en Ukraine au d\u00e9but du mois de mai&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-5-228985' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/05\/09\/malgre-lintensification-de-ses-attaques-en-avril-larmee-russe-ne-progresse-que-marginalement\/#easy-footnote-bottom-5-228985' title='Lara Jakes, Eric Schmitt, Marc Santora et Julian E. Barnes, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/05\/03\/us\/politics\/ukraine-weapons-us.html?searchResultPosition=5&quot;&gt;U.S. Approved More Weapons for Ukraine. Now It\u2019s a Race Against Time.&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The New York Times&lt;\/em&gt;, 3 mai 2024.'><sup>5<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/QNtZ4\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Au-del\u00e0 de l\u2019augmentation actuelle et \u00e0 venir de livraisons d\u2019\u00e9quipements et de munitions occidentales, des images satellites sugg\u00e8rent que l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe compense ses pertes mat\u00e9rielles en puisant dans ses r\u00e9serves de v\u00e9hicule plut\u00f4t qu\u2019en fabriquant de nouvelles unit\u00e9s&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-6-228985' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/05\/09\/malgre-lintensification-de-ses-attaques-en-avril-larmee-russe-ne-progresse-que-marginalement\/#easy-footnote-bottom-6-228985' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/twitter.com\/Jonpy99\/status\/1785973906026713172&quot;&gt;Fil sur X (Twitter) de Jompy&lt;\/a&gt;, 2 mai 2024.'><sup>6<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. Depuis le d\u00e9but de l\u2019invasion, les r\u00e9serves de v\u00e9hicules blind\u00e9s de combat russes auraient diminu\u00e9 de presque 32&#160;%. Selon l\u2019International Institute for Strategic Studies, la Russie sera en mesure de poursuivre la guerre au rythme d&rsquo;attrition actuel \u00ab&#160;pendant encore deux ou trois ans, voire plus&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-7-228985' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/05\/09\/malgre-lintensification-de-ses-attaques-en-avril-larmee-russe-ne-progresse-que-marginalement\/#easy-footnote-bottom-7-228985' title='Yohann Michel et Michael Gjerstad, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.iiss.org\/online-analysis\/military-balance\/2024\/02\/equipment-losses-in-russias-war-on-ukraine-mount\/&quot;&gt;Equipment losses in Russia\u2019s war on Ukraine mount&lt;\/a&gt;, International Institute for Strategic Studies, 12 f\u00e9vrier 2024.'><sup>7<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le minist\u00e8re de la D\u00e9fense britannique estime que les attaques russes ont augment\u00e9 de 17&#160;&#160;% dans l\u2019Est de l\u2019Ukraine entre mars et avril 2024. Autour de Tchassiv Yar, celles-ci ont augment\u00e9 de 200&#160;&#160;%. Malgr\u00e9 cela, la Russie a captur\u00e9 moins de 86 km\u00b2 de territoire ukrainien le mois dernier.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":228984,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3116],"tags":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-228985","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-la-guerre-en-ukraine-au-jour-le-jour","geo-europe"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Malgr\u00e9 l\u2019intensification de ses attaques en avril, l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe ne progresse que marginalement | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/05\/09\/malgre-lintensification-de-ses-attaques-en-avril-larmee-russe-ne-progresse-que-marginalement\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Malgr\u00e9 l\u2019intensification de ses attaques en avril, l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe ne progresse que marginalement | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Le minist\u00e8re de la D\u00e9fense britannique estime que les attaques russes ont augment\u00e9 de 17&#160;% dans l\u2019Est de l\u2019Ukraine entre mars et avril 2024. Autour de Tchassiv Yar, celles-ci ont augment\u00e9 de 200&#160;%. Malgr\u00e9 cela, la Russie a captur\u00e9 moins de 86 km\u00b2 de territoire ukrainien le mois dernier.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/05\/09\/malgre-lintensification-de-ses-attaques-en-avril-larmee-russe-ne-progresse-que-marginalement\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-05-09T11:52:10+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-05-09T11:52:11+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/05\/gc-progression-russe-avril-e1715255240481.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1453\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"811\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" 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l\u2019intensification de ses attaques en avril, l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe ne progresse que marginalement | Le Grand Continent","og_description":"Le minist\u00e8re de la D\u00e9fense britannique estime que les attaques russes ont augment\u00e9 de 17&#160;% dans l\u2019Est de l\u2019Ukraine entre mars et avril 2024. Autour de Tchassiv Yar, celles-ci ont augment\u00e9 de 200&#160;%. 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