{"id":226415,"date":"2024-04-17T15:22:02","date_gmt":"2024-04-17T13:22:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=226415"},"modified":"2024-04-17T15:24:18","modified_gmt":"2024-04-17T13:24:18","slug":"la-russie-veut-capturer-tchassiv-yar-avant-le-9-mai-selon-kiev","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/04\/17\/la-russie-veut-capturer-tchassiv-yar-avant-le-9-mai-selon-kiev\/","title":{"rendered":"La Russie veut capturer Tchassiv Yar avant le 9 mai, selon Kiev"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Dans l\u2019est de l\u2019Ukraine, le manque de moyens mat\u00e9riels et humains est probablement plus s\u00e9v\u00e8re que pr\u00e9c\u00e9demment \u00e9valu\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le 24 mars, l\u2019Institute for the Study of War estimait qu\u2019il \u00e9tait \u00ab&#160;peu probable que les forces russes menacent d\u2019encerclement ou de prise de contr\u00f4le <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/04\/09\/larmee-russe-est-entree-dans-les-faubourgs-de-tchassiv-yar\/\">la ville de Tchassiv Yar<\/a> dans les mois \u00e0 venir&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-226415' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/04\/17\/la-russie-veut-capturer-tchassiv-yar-avant-le-9-mai-selon-kiev\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-226415' title='Riley Bailey, Christina Harward, Angelica Evans, Nicole Wolkov et Frederick W. Kagan, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.understandingwar.org\/backgrounder\/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-march-24-2024&quot;&gt;Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 24, 2024&lt;\/a&gt;, Institute for the Study of War.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dans son point de situation quotidien du dimanche 14 avril, le centre de recherche am\u00e9ricain admettait que \u00ab&#160;les forces russes pourraient \u00eatre en mesure d&rsquo;avancer plus rapidement que lors des efforts pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents, compte tenu de l&rsquo;insuffisance actuelle de l&rsquo;artillerie et de la d\u00e9fense a\u00e9rienne de l&rsquo;Ukraine&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-226415' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/04\/17\/la-russie-veut-capturer-tchassiv-yar-avant-le-9-mai-selon-kiev\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-226415' title='icole Wolkov, Riley Bailey, Grace Mappes, Angelica Evans et Frederick W. Kagan, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/understandingwar.org\/backgrounder\/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-april-14-2024&quot;&gt;Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment&lt;\/a&gt;, April 14, 2024, Institute for the Study of War.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/BlM3N\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Plusieurs \u00e9l\u00e9ments soutiennent la d\u00e9gradation de la situation observ\u00e9e par l\u2019ISW, le plus significatif \u00e9tant probablement les t\u00e9moignages des forces ukrainiennes d\u00e9ploy\u00e9es dans et autour de la ville. Mercredi 17 avril, un commandant de compagnie op\u00e9rant autour de Tchassiv Yar disait \u00ab&#160;manquer de tout&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-226415' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/04\/17\/la-russie-veut-capturer-tchassiv-yar-avant-le-9-mai-selon-kiev\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-226415' title='James Marson et Daniel Michaels, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/world\/ukraines-chances-of-pushing-russia-out-look-increasingly-grim-3bc2075a?mod=djem10point&quot;&gt;Ukraine\u2019s Chances of Pushing Russia Out Look Increasingly Grim&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The Wall Street Journal&lt;\/em&gt;, 17 avril 2024.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. La veille, le commandant du bataillon de drones <em>Achille<\/em> Yuriy Fedorenko \u00e9voquait le chiffre d\u2019un tir d\u2019artillerie ukrainien pour cinq voire sept tirs russes&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-226415' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/04\/17\/la-russie-veut-capturer-tchassiv-yar-avant-le-9-mai-selon-kiev\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-226415' title='Christopher Miller, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/bccdf9e8-f1c4-403e-ac65-4887663998d6&quot;&gt;Ukraine\u2019s eastern cities brace as Russian troops advance&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Financial Times&lt;\/em&gt;, 16 avril 2024.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L\u2019observation visuelle confirm\u00e9e du vol \u00e0 basse altitude de Soukho\u00ef Su-25 russes au-dessus de Tchassiv Yar mardi 9 avril sugg\u00e8re quant \u00e0 elle que les syst\u00e8mes de d\u00e9fense antia\u00e9rienne ukrainiens ne repr\u00e9sentent plus une menace jug\u00e9e r\u00e9dhibitoire par l\u2019\u00e9tat-major russe&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-5-226415' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/04\/17\/la-russie-veut-capturer-tchassiv-yar-avant-le-9-mai-selon-kiev\/#easy-footnote-bottom-5-226415' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/twitter.com\/NOELreports\/status\/1777677544742936809&quot;&gt;Publication sur X (Twitter) de NOELreports&lt;\/a&gt;, 9 avril 2024.'><sup>5<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019aviation russe avait d\u00e9j\u00e0 <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/03\/07\/sur-le-front-le-retour-de-laviation-russe\/\">jou\u00e9 un r\u00f4le significatif<\/a> d\u2019appui feu rapproch\u00e9 durant le si\u00e8ge d\u2019Avdiivka avant la chute de la ville le 17 f\u00e9vrier \u2014 en rupture avec une longue p\u00e9riode de quasi-absence d\u2019appareils au plus proche des combats.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019engagement a\u00e9rien russe se traduisait alors par des pertes d\u2019appareils les plus importantes depuis octobre 2022, avec un bilan de 13 avions d\u00e9truits au cours du mois de f\u00e9vrier. Moscou avait notamment perdu 2 appareils de d\u00e9tection Iliouchine A-50 en un peu plus d\u2019un mois.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Or, l\u2019arm\u00e9e ukrainienne n\u2019a pas abattu un seul appareil russe depuis le 3 mars. Un h\u00e9licopt\u00e8re de transport russe Mi-8 au sol a n\u00e9anmoins \u00e9t\u00e9 d\u00e9truit \u00e0 Samara, \u00e0 pr\u00e8s de 900 kilom\u00e8tres de la fronti\u00e8re ukrainienne, probablement par une frappe de drone&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-6-226415' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/04\/17\/la-russie-veut-capturer-tchassiv-yar-avant-le-9-mai-selon-kiev\/#easy-footnote-bottom-6-226415' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/t.me\/DIUkraine\/3710?single&quot;&gt;Message Telegram du Direction g\u00e9n\u00e9rale du renseignement du minist\u00e8re de la D\u00e9fense ukrainien&lt;\/a&gt;, 17 avril 2024.'><sup>6<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/pTdS9\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Malgr\u00e9 un important d\u00e9savantage mat\u00e9riel en faveur de l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe, le commandement ukrainien compte tenir la ville et a renforc\u00e9 les brigades d\u00e9ploy\u00e9s dans et autour de Tchassiv Yar avec des munitions, des drones et des \u00e9quipements de guerre \u00e9lectronique&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-7-226415' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/04\/17\/la-russie-veut-capturer-tchassiv-yar-avant-le-9-mai-selon-kiev\/#easy-footnote-bottom-7-226415' title='Veronika Melkozerova, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.politico.eu\/article\/russian-victory-over-ukranian-key-city-chasiv-yar-jeopardize-entire-donetsk-region\/&quot;&gt;Russian victory in Chasiv Yar would jeopardize \u2018last stronghold\u2019 of Donetsk region, Ukrainians say&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Politico&lt;\/em&gt;, 16 avril 2024.'><sup>7<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. Comme le note l\u2019analyste du groupe d\u2019OSINT finlandais Black Bird, Emil Kastehelmi, l\u2019offensive russe pourrait reposer majoritairement sur de l\u2019infanterie en raison des importantes pertes de blind\u00e9s et d\u2019autres v\u00e9hicules sur d\u2019autres secteurs&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-8-226415' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/04\/17\/la-russie-veut-capturer-tchassiv-yar-avant-le-9-mai-selon-kiev\/#easy-footnote-bottom-8-226415' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/twitter.com\/emilkastehelmi\/status\/1780280192759406955&quot;&gt;Publication sur X (Twitter) d\u2019Emil Kastehelmi&lt;\/a&gt;, 16 avril 2024.'><sup>8<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. Dans ce cas de figure, <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/03\/28\/tchassiv-yar-la-porte-vers-la-conquete-du-donbass\/\">la topologie de la ville<\/a> fournirait un avantage d\u00e9fensif non n\u00e9gligeable aux forces ukrainiennes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le commandant en chef des forces arm\u00e9es ukrainiennes a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 que Moscou cherchait \u00e0 prendre la ville-clef de Tchassiv Yar d\u2019ici le 9 mai, date qui marquera le 79\u00e8me anniversaire de la victoire de l\u2019Union sovi\u00e9tique sur le Troisi\u00e8me Reich. Si l\u2019Ukraine tient toujours la ville, le manque de moyens pourrait ouvrir la voie \u00e0 une progression russe rapide.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":226418,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3116],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-226415","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-la-guerre-en-ukraine-au-jour-le-jour","geo-europe"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>La Russie veut capturer Tchassiv Yar avant le 9 mai, selon Kiev | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/04\/17\/la-russie-veut-capturer-tchassiv-yar-avant-le-9-mai-selon-kiev\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"La Russie veut capturer Tchassiv Yar avant le 9 mai, selon Kiev | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Le commandant en chef des forces arm\u00e9es ukrainiennes a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 que Moscou cherchait \u00e0 prendre la ville-clef de Tchassiv Yar d\u2019ici le 9 mai, date qui marquera le 79\u00e8me anniversaire de la victoire de l\u2019Union sovi\u00e9tique sur le Troisi\u00e8me Reich. 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