{"id":221477,"date":"2024-03-07T15:08:16","date_gmt":"2024-03-07T14:08:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=221477"},"modified":"2024-03-07T15:24:40","modified_gmt":"2024-03-07T14:24:40","slug":"la-bce-maintient-ses-taux-inchanges-a-leur-plus-haut-niveau-historique","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/03\/07\/la-bce-maintient-ses-taux-inchanges-a-leur-plus-haut-niveau-historique\/","title":{"rendered":"La BCE maintient ses taux inchang\u00e9s, \u00e0 leur plus haut niveau historique"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Apr\u00e8s dix hausses de taux entre juillet 2022 et septembre 2023, la BCE a de nouveau choisi de maintenir ses taux directeurs ce jeudi.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Ces derniers se situent entre 4&#160;% et 4,75&#160;% depuis septembre \u2014 leur plus haut niveau depuis la cr\u00e9ation de la zone euro et de la BCE.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Le dilemme qui se pose est celui du rythme de desserrement de sa politique mon\u00e9taire, alors que l\u2019inflation diminue et que l\u2019activit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/02\/22\/a-gand-les-ministres-et-les-banquiers-centraux-au-chevet-de-leconomie-europeenne\/\">montre des signes de faiblesse<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/jZMw5\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>La banque centrale a revu \u00e0 la baisse ses pr\u00e9visions de croissance \u00e0 0,6&#160;% et ses pr\u00e9visions d\u2019inflation \u00e0 2,3&#160;% pour 2024 \u2014 contre 0,8&#160;% et 2,7&#160;% respectivement dans ses pr\u00e9visions de d\u00e9cembre&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-221477' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/03\/07\/la-bce-maintient-ses-taux-inchanges-a-leur-plus-haut-niveau-historique\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-221477' title='ECB, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.ecb.europa.eu\/press\/pr\/date\/2024\/html\/ecb.mp240307~a5fa52b82b.en.html#:~:text=Staff%20have%20revised%20down%20their,and%20later%20also%20by%20investment&quot;&gt;Monetary policy decisions&lt;\/a&gt;, 7 mars 2024.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La BCE a confirm\u00e9 d\u00e8s f\u00e9vrier le d\u00e9clin de l\u2019inflation sous-jacente \u2014 excluant les prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie et des produits alimentaires&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-221477' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/03\/07\/la-bce-maintient-ses-taux-inchanges-a-leur-plus-haut-niveau-historique\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-221477' title='ECB, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.ecb.europa.eu\/press\/key\/date\/2024\/html\/ecb.sp240208~e775b07928.en.html#:~:text=Core%20inflation%20was%203.3%20per,per%20cent%20in%20February%202023.&quot;&gt;Speech by Philip R. Lane, member of the Executive Board of the ECB, Hutchins Center on Fiscal &amp;amp; Monetary Policy at the Brookings Institution&lt;\/a&gt;, 8 f\u00e9vrier 2024.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Alors que la banque centrale a annonc\u00e9 qu\u2019elle prendrait cette d\u00e9cision en \u00ab&#160;se fondant sur les donn\u00e9es&#160;\u00bb, plusieurs analystes tablent sur un d\u00e9but des baisses des taux lors de la r\u00e9union de la BCE du 6 juin prochain.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Parmi les potentiels facteurs d\u2019une hausse inattendue de l\u2019inflation qui pourrait inciter \u00e0 la prudence, se trouve notamment l\u2019\u00e9ventualit\u00e9 d\u2019une nouvelle hausse des prix de l&rsquo;\u00e9nergie.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les anticipations des investisseurs concernant le march\u00e9s du p\u00e9trole restent cependant plut\u00f4t orient\u00e9es vers une stabilisation des prix, autour de 80 dollars le baril&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-221477' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/03\/07\/la-bce-maintient-ses-taux-inchanges-a-leur-plus-haut-niveau-historique\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-221477' title='Reuters, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/energy\/slow-demand-set-keep-oil-price-near-80b-2024-2023-12-29\/&quot;&gt;Slow demand set to keep oil price near $80\/b in 2024, Reuters poll shows&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, 2 janvier 2024.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/dvgMo\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L\u2019Agence internationale de l\u2019\u00e9nergie pr\u00e9voit par ailleur une augmentation de l\u2019offre mondiale de p\u00e9trole de 1,7 millions de barils par jour en 2024 \u2014 \u00e0 103,8 millions de barils par jours \u2014 due en majorit\u00e9 aux pays hors OPEP+, dont le Br\u00e9sil, les \u00c9tats-Unis, le Canada et le Guyana&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-221477' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/03\/07\/la-bce-maintient-ses-taux-inchanges-a-leur-plus-haut-niveau-historique\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-221477' title='International Energy Agency, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/oil-market-report-february-2024#&quot;&gt;Oil Market Report &amp;#8211; February 2024&lt;\/a&gt;.\u00a0'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Alors que les prix du gaz ont diminu\u00e9 en 2023 et ont rejoint leur niveau d\u2019avant l\u2019invasion russe de l\u2019Ukraine&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-5-221477' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/03\/07\/la-bce-maintient-ses-taux-inchanges-a-leur-plus-haut-niveau-historique\/#easy-footnote-bottom-5-221477' title='Bloomberg, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2024-02-23\/european-gas-at-pre-crisis-levels-seen-spurring-asian-demand&quot;&gt;European Gas at Pre-Crisis Levels Seen Spurring Asian Demand&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, 23 f\u00e9vrier 2024.'><sup>5<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>, la demande globale de gaz pourrait augmenter de 2,5&#160;% en 2024 selon l\u2019AIE.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En fonction des tensions sur l\u2019offre relevant d\u2019\u00e9v\u00e8nements incertains \u2014 des retards de livraisons de GNL aux \u00e9v\u00e8nements climatiques et g\u00e9opolitiques \u2014, le march\u00e9 du gaz pourrait \u00eatre caract\u00e9ris\u00e9 par une forte volatilit\u00e9 des prix.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/W8xw8\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Aux \u00c9tats-Unis, malgr\u00e9 la baisse de l\u2019inflation \u2014 qui a atteint 2,4&#160;% en glissement annuel au mois de janvier) \u2014 le pr\u00e9sident de la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale am\u00e9ricaine a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 mercredi 6 mars que le desserrement de la politique mon\u00e9taire ne commencerait qu\u2019\u00e0 condition que cette trajectoire vers la cible de 2&#160;% soit certaine et soutenable. La FED devrait probablement maintenir son taux inchang\u00e9 lors de sa prochaine r\u00e9union de politique mon\u00e9taire, les 19 et 20 mars prochains.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Aujourd\u2019hui, jeudi 7 mars, la Banque centrale europ\u00e9enne a d\u00e9cid\u00e9 de maintenir ses taux directeurs \u00e0 leur niveau actuel \u00e0 l\u2019issue de sa r\u00e9union de politique mon\u00e9taire, tout en r\u00e9visant \u00e0 la baisse ses pr\u00e9visions de croissance et d\u2019inflation pour 2024.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6617,"featured_media":221467,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1727],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-221477","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economie","geo-europe"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>La BCE maintient ses taux inchang\u00e9s, \u00e0 leur plus haut niveau historique | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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