{"id":219455,"date":"2024-02-22T12:05:37","date_gmt":"2024-02-22T11:05:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=219455"},"modified":"2024-02-22T12:05:40","modified_gmt":"2024-02-22T11:05:40","slug":"la-russie-a-t-elle-repris-linitiative-en-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/02\/22\/la-russie-a-t-elle-repris-linitiative-en-ukraine\/","title":{"rendered":"La Russie a-t-elle repris l\u2019initiative en Ukraine&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>La <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/02\/19\/avdiivka-est-tombee-quelles-consequences-pour-le-front-ukrainien\/\">chute au profit de Moscou du village d\u2019Avdiivka<\/a>, dans l&rsquo;oblast de Donetsk, a \u00e9t\u00e9 annonc\u00e9e samedi 17 f\u00e9vrier par le minist\u00e8re de la D\u00e9fense russe. Si ce succ\u00e8s tactique ne devrait pas conduire \u00e0 un enfoncement significatif de la ligne de front dans l\u2019oblast de Donetsk, il est n\u00e9anmoins pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 comme une victoire symbolique importante par Moscou.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/L9bIQ\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Depuis la prise d\u2019Avdiivka, l\u2019offensive russe s\u2019est intensifi\u00e9e sur la ligne de front, notamment \u00e0 Robotyne, dans l\u2019oblast de Zaporijia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Robotyne est un petit village de 3 km\u00b2 qui ne comptait que quelques centaines d\u2019habitants avant la guerre.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Il est d\u00e9sormais per\u00e7u comme le haut-lieu de la contre-offensive ukrainienne de l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9-automne 2023 car c\u2019est l\u00e0 o\u00f9 l\u2019Ukraine a r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/09\/25\/breche-percee-attaque-contenue-lavancee-ukrainienne-autour-de-robotyne\/\">percer les premi\u00e8res lignes du dispositif d\u00e9fensif russe<\/a> dans le sud du pays.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Si Kiev n\u2019a finalement pas \u00e9t\u00e9 en mesure d\u2019exploiter cette br\u00e8che, les forces ukrainiennes ont depuis conserv\u00e9 le contr\u00f4le du village.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/T1LUG\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Le minist\u00e8re de la D\u00e9fense britannique consid\u00e8re que les forces russes ont \u00ab&#160;tr\u00e8s certainement intensifi\u00e9 leurs attaques terrestres sur l\u2019axe de Robotyne&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-219455' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/02\/22\/la-russie-a-t-elle-repris-linitiative-en-ukraine\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-219455' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/twitter.com\/DefenceHQ\/status\/1760228270291755405&quot;&gt;Publication du minist\u00e8re de la D\u00e9fense britannique sur X (Twitter)&lt;\/a&gt;, 21 f\u00e9vrier 2024.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. Le porte-parole du groupe strat\u00e9gique op\u00e9rationnel ukrainien Tavriia, Dmytro Lykhovii, relevait quant \u00e0 lui \u00e0 Robotyne, la semaine derni\u00e8re, une \u00ab&#160;concentration russe plus importante en taille&#160;\u00bb que celle ayant captur\u00e9 Avdiivka le week-end dernier&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-219455' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/02\/22\/la-russie-a-t-elle-repris-linitiative-en-ukraine\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-219455' title='Tetiana Lozovenko, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.pravda.com.ua\/eng\/news\/2024\/02\/15\/7441970\/&quot;&gt;Russia concentrates more troops on Orikhiv front than near Avdiivka, planning to assault Robotyne&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Ukrainska Pravda&lt;\/em&gt;, 15 f\u00e9vrier 2024.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. Au-del\u00e0 du village, l\u2019objectif russe est la ville d\u2019Orikhiv, situ\u00e9e \u00e0 une quinzaine de kilom\u00e8tres au nord.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/0Loua\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Des victoires russes localis\u00e9es \u00e0 Avdiivka et potentiellement \u00e0 Robotyne au cours des prochaines semaines ne sont pour l\u2019heure pas susceptibles d\u2019amorcer une dynamique plus large \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9chelle du front.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Malgr\u00e9 les propos r\u00e9cents de l\u2019ancien secr\u00e9taire \u00e0 la D\u00e9fense am\u00e9ricain Robert Gates, qui a affirm\u00e9 mercredi 21 f\u00e9vrier que la guerre n\u2019\u00e9tait \u00ab&#160;plus dans une impasse [&#8230;] les Russes ayant repris l\u2019initiative&#160;\u00bb, la Russie est elle aussi limit\u00e9e par <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/02\/21\/lindustrie-et-la-guerre-de-poutine-deconstruire-un-mythe\/\">son industrie<\/a>&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-219455' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/02\/22\/la-russie-a-t-elle-repris-linitiative-en-ukraine\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-219455' title='Clayton Vickers, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/thehill.com\/policy\/defense\/4481737-russia-broken-stalemate-ukraine-gates\/&quot;&gt;Russia has broken the stalemate in Ukraine&amp;#160;: Former US Defense secretary&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The Hill&lt;\/em&gt;, 21 f\u00e9vrier 2024.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dans son dernier rapport, l\u2019<em>Economist Intelligence Unit <\/em>consid\u00e8re que malgr\u00e9 l\u2019avantage consid\u00e9rable dont dispose la Russie sur le front, son niveau \u00e9lev\u00e9 de pertes ainsi que ses capacit\u00e9s limit\u00e9es de production d\u2019obus et de recrutement de main-d\u2019oeuvre \u00ab&#160;l\u2019emp\u00eacheront probablement de s&#8217;emparer d&rsquo;une plus grande partie du territoire ukrainien&#160;\u00bb \u00e0 court et moyen terme&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-219455' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/02\/22\/la-russie-a-t-elle-repris-linitiative-en-ukraine\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-219455' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.eiu.com\/n\/campaigns\/the-war-in-ukraine-no-breakthrough-in-2024\/&quot;&gt;The war in Ukraine&amp;#160;: no breakthrough in 2024&lt;\/a&gt;, The Economist Intelligence Unit, 21 f\u00e9vrier 2024.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium \">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/14701390\/embed\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Si la Russie ne semble pas avoir \u00ab&#160;repris l\u2019initiative&#160;\u00bb au sens o\u00f9 elle appara\u00eet capable de capitaliser sur des victoires tactiques, l\u2019Ukraine a perdu 33 km\u00b2 de territoire en janvier \u2014 et certainement plus depuis le d\u00e9but du mois de f\u00e9vrier \u2014 apr\u00e8s une ann\u00e9e 2023 marqu\u00e9e par <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/05\/en-ukraine-le-controle-territorial-na-presque-pas-bouge-en-2023\/#:~:text=jour%20le%20jour-,En%20Ukraine%2C%20le%20changement%20de%20contr%C3%B4le%20territorial%20est%20rest%C3%A9%20proche,y%20a%20bient%C3%B4t%20deux%20ans.\">un changement net quasi-nul<\/a> du contr\u00f4le territorial.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Depuis la prise d\u2019Avdiivka le week-end dernier, les forces russes ont intensifi\u00e9 leurs offensives sur la ligne de front, notamment \u00e0 Robotyne, o\u00f9 l\u2019arm\u00e9e ukrainienne avait effectu\u00e9 une perc\u00e9e \u00e0 l\u2019automne 2023.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":219459,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3116],"tags":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-219455","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-la-guerre-en-ukraine-au-jour-le-jour","geo-europe"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>La Russie a-t-elle repris l\u2019initiative en Ukraine ? 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