{"id":219069,"date":"2024-02-19T11:39:00","date_gmt":"2024-02-19T10:39:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=219069"},"modified":"2024-02-19T11:39:03","modified_gmt":"2024-02-19T10:39:03","slug":"avdiivka-est-tombee-quelles-consequences-pour-le-front-ukrainien","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/02\/19\/avdiivka-est-tombee-quelles-consequences-pour-le-front-ukrainien\/","title":{"rendered":"Avdiivka est tomb\u00e9e&#160;: quelles cons\u00e9quences pour le front ukrainien&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Samedi 17 f\u00e9vrier, le minist\u00e8re de la D\u00e9fense russe d\u00e9clarait que ses troupes avaient pris le \u00ab&#160;contr\u00f4le total&#160;\u00bb de la ville d\u2019Avdiivka, o\u00f9 les combats s\u2019\u00e9taient intensifi\u00e9s depuis octobre 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>La chute d\u2019Avdiivka \u00e9tait devenue une question de temps, alors que le commandement ukrainien cherche \u00e0 passer d\u2019une \u00ab&#160;<a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/02\/14\/lukraine-veut-continuer-a-defendre-avdiivka-coute-que-coute\/\">position offensive \u00e0 une position d\u00e9fensive<\/a>&#160;\u00bb sur la ligne de front.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Cette \u00ab&#160;victoire&#160;\u00bb russe fait figure de maigre consolation au vu de l\u2019ampleur des pertes subies par Moscou pour capturer la ville.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019arm\u00e9e ukrainienne estime que, du 10 octobre 2023 au 17 f\u00e9vrier 2024, 47 186 combattants russes ont \u00e9t\u00e9 bless\u00e9s ou tu\u00e9s dans le secteur d\u2019Avdiivka, tandis que 364 chars d\u2019assaut, 248 syst\u00e8mes d\u2019artillerie, 748 v\u00e9hicules blind\u00e9s de combat et 5 avions y ont \u00e9t\u00e9 d\u00e9truits ou endommag\u00e9s&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-219069' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/02\/19\/avdiivka-est-tombee-quelles-consequences-pour-le-front-ukrainien\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-219069' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/t.me\/otarnavskiy\/512&quot;&gt;Message Telegram de \u041a\u043e\u043c\u0430\u043d\u0434\u0443\u0432\u0430\u0447 \u0422\u0430\u0440\u043d\u0430\u0432\u0441\u044c\u043a\u0438\u0439&lt;\/a&gt;, 18 f\u00e9vrier 2024.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/6zJgO\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>La prise d\u2019Avdiivka (30 km\u00b2) est ainsi la premi\u00e8re \u00ab&#160;victoire&#160;\u00bb russe depuis la <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/02\/16\/deux-ans-de-guerre-en-ukraine-10-cartes-et-dates-clefs\/\">chute de Bakhmout<\/a> en mai 2023. Elle constitue un revers pour Kiev et acte la r\u00e9alit\u00e9 du nouveau rapport de force qui s\u2019est install\u00e9 tout au long de la ligne de front&#160;: les forces ukrainiennes n\u2019ont plus les moyens de leurs ambitions offensives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/RA0ve\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Comme pour chaque ville ou village tombant aux mains du camp adverse, il s\u2019agit de se demander si de ce gain tactique est susceptible d\u2019\u00e9merger un changement strat\u00e9gique.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Aucun signe allant en ce sens n\u2019a pour le moment \u00e9t\u00e9 relev\u00e9 par l\u2019Institute for the Study of War (ISW), qui n\u2019a pas observ\u00e9 de \u00ab&#160;retraits ukrainiens d\u00e9sordonn\u00e9s&#160;\u00bb apr\u00e8s l\u2019\u00e9vacuation de la ville&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-219069' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/02\/19\/avdiivka-est-tombee-quelles-consequences-pour-le-front-ukrainien\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-219069' title='Karolina Hird, Angelica Evans, Christina Harward, Nicole Wolkov et Frederick W. Kagan, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.understandingwar.org\/backgrounder\/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-february-18-2024&quot;&gt;Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 18, 2024&lt;\/a&gt;, 18 f\u00e9vrier 2024.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Plusieurs experts dont Michael Kofman, senior fellow \u00e0 la Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, estiment que le \u00ab&#160;terrain plat et inhospitalier&#160;\u00bb \u00e0 l\u2019ext\u00e9rieur d\u2019Avdiivka cr\u00e9e n\u00e9anmoins des conditions d\u00e9favorables au retrait ukrainien&#160;: \u00ab&#160;Ils n&rsquo;ont pas de ligne secondaire bien \u00e9tablie vers laquelle se replier&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-219069' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/02\/19\/avdiivka-est-tombee-quelles-consequences-pour-le-front-ukrainien\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-219069' title='Thomas Gibbons-Neff, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/02\/18\/world\/europe\/ukraine-russia-strategy-avdiivka.html?campaign_id=51&amp;amp;emc=edit_mbe_20240219&amp;amp;instance_id=115521&amp;amp;nl=morning-briefing%3A-europe-edition&amp;amp;regi_id=199062312&amp;amp;segment_id=158561&amp;amp;te=1&amp;amp;user_id=dbd3e5103ed7a51c3110fc9b0fe6ac96&quot;&gt;City\u2019s Fall Leaves Ukraine With an Even Tougher Fight Ahead&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The New York Times&lt;\/em&gt;, 18 f\u00e9vrier 2024.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Tout comme les forces ukrainiennes, les troupes russes sont \u00e9puis\u00e9es par des mois de combat sans ou avec tr\u00e8s peu de rotation. Kiev a cependant envoy\u00e9 r\u00e9cemment de nouvelles unit\u00e9s qui seront \u00ab&#160;probablement en mesure d&rsquo;\u00e9tablir et de tenir des positions d\u00e9fensives contre les forces russes&#160;\u00bb, selon l\u2019ISW.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/6RHw0\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>La prise d\u2019Avdiivka, \u00e0 quelques jours seulement du <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/themes\/guerre\/ukraine-la-guerre-deux-ans-apres\/\">deuxi\u00e8me anniversaire<\/a> de l\u2019invasion, constitue une victoire symbolique importante pour Moscou, alors que les \u00c9tats europ\u00e9ens <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/02\/16\/zelensky-a-paris-et-berlin-leurope-se-prepare-t-elle-a-une-assistance-militaire-a-lukraine-sans-les-etats-unis\/\">semblent se pr\u00e9parer<\/a> \u00e0 soutenir militairement l\u2019Ukraine sans les \u00c9tats-Unis. Pour l\u2019heure, il ne semble toutefois pas que cette victoire tactique conduira \u00e0 un enfoncement significatif de la ligne de front dans l\u2019oblast de Donetsk ou impactera les autres principaux th\u00e9\u00e2tres d\u2019op\u00e9ration.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le retrait des forces ukrainiennes de la ville d\u2019Avdiivka, dans l&rsquo;oblast de Donetsk, n\u2019\u00e9tait plus qu\u2019une question de temps. Maintenant que les Russes revendiquent le \u00ab&#160;&#160;contr\u00f4le total&#160;&#160;\u00bb de la ville se pose la question de l\u2019apr\u00e8s&#160;&#160;: simple gain tactique ou amorce d\u2019un changement strat\u00e9gique&#160;&#160;?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":219068,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3116],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-219069","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-la-guerre-en-ukraine-au-jour-le-jour","geo-europe"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Avdiivka est tomb\u00e9e : quelles cons\u00e9quences pour le front ukrainien ? | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/02\/19\/avdiivka-est-tombee-quelles-consequences-pour-le-front-ukrainien\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Avdiivka est tomb\u00e9e : quelles cons\u00e9quences pour le front ukrainien ? | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Le retrait des forces ukrainiennes de la ville d\u2019Avdiivka, dans l&#039;oblast de Donetsk, n\u2019\u00e9tait plus qu\u2019une question de temps. Maintenant que les Russes revendiquent le \u00ab&#160;contr\u00f4le total&#160;\u00bb de la ville se pose la question de l\u2019apr\u00e8s&#160;: simple gain tactique ou amorce d\u2019un changement strat\u00e9gique&#160;?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/02\/19\/avdiivka-est-tombee-quelles-consequences-pour-le-front-ukrainien\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-02-19T10:39:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-02-19T10:39:03+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/02\/gc-chute-avdiivka-e1708338594324.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1453\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"809\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/02\/gc-chute-avdiivka-e1708338594324.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/02\/19\/avdiivka-est-tombee-quelles-consequences-pour-le-front-ukrainien\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/02\/19\/avdiivka-est-tombee-quelles-consequences-pour-le-front-ukrainien\/\",\"name\":\"Avdiivka est tomb\u00e9e : quelles cons\u00e9quences pour le front ukrainien ? 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