{"id":216101,"date":"2024-01-24T14:55:37","date_gmt":"2024-01-24T13:55:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=216101"},"modified":"2024-01-24T14:55:39","modified_gmt":"2024-01-24T13:55:39","slug":"trump-a-remporte-la-primaire-du-new-hampshire-quelle-suite-pour-haley","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/24\/trump-a-remporte-la-primaire-du-new-hampshire-quelle-suite-pour-haley\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump a remport\u00e9 la primaire du New Hampshire&#160;: quelle suite pour Haley&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Avec 92&#160;% des bulletins compt\u00e9s \u00e0 14h, Donald Trump a recueilli 54,6&#160;% des votes contre 43,2&#160;% pour Nikki Haley. Sur les 22 d\u00e9l\u00e9gu\u00e9s du New Hampshire, cette derni\u00e8re remporte ainsi au minimum 9 d\u00e9l\u00e9gu\u00e9s contre 12 pour l\u2019ex-pr\u00e9sident (le d\u00e9l\u00e9gu\u00e9 restant n\u2019ayant pas encore \u00e9t\u00e9 attribu\u00e9).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/1zQx8\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Trump (32 d\u00e9l\u00e9gu\u00e9s) conforte ainsi son avance sur Haley (17 d\u00e9l\u00e9gu\u00e9s). Un candidat doit obtenir le vote d\u2019une majorit\u00e9 de 1 215 d\u00e9l\u00e9gu\u00e9s lors de la convention nationale pour remporter l\u2019investiture du parti.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La d\u00e9faite de Nikki Haley en Iowa et dans le New Hampshire a moins d\u2019impact sur la primaire en raison de la m\u00e9thode d\u2019attribution des d\u00e9l\u00e9gu\u00e9s&#160;: proportionnelle dans ces \u00c9tats (13 au total) contre \u00ab&#160;<em>winner-take-all<\/em>&#160;\u00bb ou \u00ab&#160;<em>winner-take-most<\/em>&#160;\u00bb dans une majorit\u00e9 d\u2019\u00c9tats.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Cependant, Haley ne pourra pas remporter de d\u00e9l\u00e9gu\u00e9s lors de la prochaine \u00e9tape, qui se d\u00e9roulera dans le Nevada.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019\u00c9tat accueillera en effet \u00e0 la fois des caucus et une primaire, suite \u00e0 un conflit entre l\u2019\u00c9tat et le Parti r\u00e9publicain. Nikki Haley y sera la seule participante lors de la primaire, qui ne permet pas de remporter de d\u00e9l\u00e9gu\u00e9s, tandis que Trump fera campagne seul pour les caucus, et y remportera tr\u00e8s certainement les 26 d\u00e9l\u00e9gu\u00e9s&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-216101' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/24\/trump-a-remporte-la-primaire-du-new-hampshire-quelle-suite-pour-haley\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-216101' title='Olivia Rinaldi et Aaron Navarro, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/nevada-2024-republican-primary-ballot-trump\/&quot;&gt;Trump won&amp;rsquo;t be on Nevada&amp;rsquo;s 2024 GOP primary ballot, and Haley won&amp;rsquo;t be on Nevada&amp;rsquo;s caucus ballot. Here&amp;rsquo;s why.&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;CBS News&lt;\/em&gt;, 23 janvier 2024.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/56bST\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Le New Hampshire fait partie des \u00c9tats dans lesquels Haley pouvait esp\u00e9rer obtenir un meilleur score que Donald Trump en raison de la domination de l\u2019\u00e9lectorat mod\u00e9r\u00e9 ainsi que du mode de scrutin&#160;: contrairement \u00e0 l\u2019Iowa, o\u00f9 les \u00e9lecteurs r\u00e9publicains se rassemblaient pour y voter lors de caucus, les ind\u00e9pendants (40&#160;% des \u00e9lecteurs de l\u2019\u00c9tat) peuvent voter lors de la primaire r\u00e9publicaine dans le New Hampshire. Les \u00e9lecteurs en Iowa pouvaient n\u00e9anmoins changer leur affiliation en amont des caucus pour y voter&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-216101' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/24\/trump-a-remporte-la-primaire-du-new-hampshire-quelle-suite-pour-haley\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-216101' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.legis.iowa.gov\/docs\/ico\/chapter\/43.pdf&quot;&gt;Iowa legislature, Chapter 43, Partisan Nominations \u2014 Primary Election, 43.41&lt;\/a&gt;.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/vH5nr\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le score r\u00e9alis\u00e9 par Nikki Haley dans le New Hampshire est sup\u00e9rieur \u00e0 celui anticip\u00e9 par les derniers sondages \u2014 dont la plupart ne prenaient toutefois pas en compte l&rsquo;abandon r\u00e9cent de Ramaswamy et DeSantis.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ces deux candidats ont apport\u00e9 leur soutien \u00e0 Donald Trump. Au final, Haley a obtenu 43,2&#160;% des suffrages, soit 5 points de plus par rapport au dernier sondage conduit dans l\u2019\u00c9tat entre le 21 et le 22 janvier&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-216101' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/24\/trump-a-remporte-la-primaire-du-new-hampshire-quelle-suite-pour-haley\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-216101' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/s3.documentcloud.org\/documents\/24371523\/nh-tracking-poll-sun-mon.pdf&quot;&gt;SUPRC\/Boston Globe\/NBC-10&lt;\/a&gt;, janvier 2024.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Si Haley a \u00e9t\u00e9 gouverneure de Caroline du Sud \u2014 o\u00f9 elle est n\u00e9e \u2014 entre 2011 et 2017, l\u2019\u00e9lectorat r\u00e9publicain, bien plus conservateur que dans le New Hampshire, devrait largement pl\u00e9bisciter Donald Trump. Malgr\u00e9 une victoire impossible pour Haley, sa campagne compte sur les votes des ind\u00e9pendants dans les \u00c9tats o\u00f9 les primaires sont \u00ab&#160;ouvertes&#160;\u00bb \u2014 et ne n\u00e9cessitent pas d\u2019\u00eatre affili\u00e9 aupr\u00e8s d\u2019un parti \u2014, comme dans le Michigan, pour r\u00e9aliser des bons scores en amont du <em>Super Tuesday<\/em> (5 mars)&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-216101' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/24\/trump-a-remporte-la-primaire-du-new-hampshire-quelle-suite-pour-haley\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-216101' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/static01.nyt.com\/newsgraphics\/documenttools\/4b7f2e973111cebe\/8eab9410-full.pdf&quot;&gt;State of the Race, Betsy Ankney, Campaign Manager of Nikki Haley&lt;\/a&gt;, 23 janvier 2024.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Avec 92&#160;&#160;% des bulletins compt\u00e9s \u00e0 14h, Trump a remport\u00e9 54,6&#160;&#160;% des votes contre 43,2&#160;&#160;% pour Nikki Haley. L\u2019ex-pr\u00e9sident conforte ainsi son avance prise en Iowa la semaine derni\u00e8re au cours d\u2019une primaire presque certainement perdue pour Haley, dont l&rsquo;\u00e9quipe de campagne a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 mardi 23 janvier qu\u2019elle n\u2019abandonnerait pas.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":216115,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3691],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[525],"class_list":["post-216101","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-trump-contre-biden-pour-la-maison-blanche-suivre-les-elections-americaines-2024","geo-ameriques"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Trump a remport\u00e9 la primaire du New Hampshire : quelle suite pour Haley ? | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/24\/trump-a-remporte-la-primaire-du-new-hampshire-quelle-suite-pour-haley\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trump a remport\u00e9 la primaire du New Hampshire : quelle suite pour Haley ? | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Avec 92&#160;% des bulletins compt\u00e9s \u00e0 14h, Trump a remport\u00e9 54,6&#160;% des votes contre 43,2&#160;% pour Nikki Haley. L\u2019ex-pr\u00e9sident conforte ainsi son avance prise en Iowa la semaine derni\u00e8re au cours d\u2019une primaire presque certainement perdue pour Haley, dont l&#039;\u00e9quipe de campagne a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 mardi 23 janvier qu\u2019elle n\u2019abandonnerait pas.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/24\/trump-a-remporte-la-primaire-du-new-hampshire-quelle-suite-pour-haley\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-01-24T13:55:37+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-01-24T13:55:39+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/01\/gc-resultats-primaire-new-hampshire-e1706104064477.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1453\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"811\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/01\/gc-resultats-primaire-new-hampshire-e1706104064477.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/24\/trump-a-remporte-la-primaire-du-new-hampshire-quelle-suite-pour-haley\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/24\/trump-a-remporte-la-primaire-du-new-hampshire-quelle-suite-pour-haley\/\",\"name\":\"Trump a remport\u00e9 la primaire du New Hampshire : quelle suite pour Haley ? 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