{"id":214861,"date":"2024-01-11T19:31:34","date_gmt":"2024-01-11T18:31:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=214861"},"modified":"2024-03-22T12:50:58","modified_gmt":"2024-03-22T11:50:58","slug":"le-brexit-aurait-coute-140-milliards-de-livres-a-leconomie-britannique-en-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/11\/le-brexit-aurait-coute-140-milliards-de-livres-a-leconomie-britannique-en-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"Le Brexit aurait co\u00fbt\u00e9 140 milliards de livres \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9conomie britannique en 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Une \u00e9tude command\u00e9e par la mairie de Londres apporte de nouvelles estimations des pertes subies par l\u2019\u00e9conomie britannique suite \u00e0 sa sortie de l\u2019Union europ\u00e9enne.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/6JSKN\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>La m\u00e9thode employ\u00e9e consiste \u00e0 comparer la trajectoire \u00e9conomique actuelle \u00e0 un sc\u00e9nario contrefactuel dans lequel le Royaume-Uni serait rest\u00e9 dans l\u2019Union. La comparaison d\u00e9voile un impact n\u00e9gatif du Brexit sur le PIB, les investissements, les exportations, les importations ainsi que la productivit\u00e9 en 2023 et jusqu\u2019\u00e0 l\u2019horizon 2035.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La valeur ajout\u00e9e brute (une mesure ajust\u00e9e du PIB) serait inf\u00e9rieure de 140 milliards de livres (en livres 2019) \u00e0 ce qu\u2019elle aurait atteint sans la sortie du Royaume-Uni de l\u2019Union pour l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2023. Ce chiffre atteindrait 312 milliards de livres en 2035, soit une diff\u00e9rence de -10&#160;% par rapport au sc\u00e9nario d\u2019absence de Brexit.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En 2023, le niveau d\u2019emploi serait inf\u00e9rieur de 4,9&#160;% \u00e0 son niveau du sc\u00e9nario <em>Remain<\/em>, soit 1,8 millions d\u2019emplois en valeur absolue \u2014 des pertes port\u00e9es \u00e0 7,4&#160;% et 3 millions d\u2019emplois \u00e0 horizon 2035. \u00c0 la seule \u00e9chelle de Londres, le Brexit repr\u00e9senterait une perte de 300 000 emplois en 2023 et de 500 000 \u00e0 horizon 2035.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u00c0 l\u2019horizon 2035, l\u2019investissement total au Royaume-Uni pourrait \u00eatre inf\u00e9rieur de 32,4&#160;% \u00e0 ce qu\u2019il aurait atteint si le Royaume-Uni \u00e9tait rest\u00e9 dans l&rsquo;Union.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/QI7NZ\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Le d\u00e9bat est relanc\u00e9 par le maire de Londres, Sadiq Khan, dans un contexte de <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/05\/25\/le-brexit-explique-en-partie-linflation-elevee-au-royaume-uni\/\">difficult\u00e9s \u00e9conomiques<\/a> (premi\u00e8re priorit\u00e9 actuelle des \u00e9lecteurs&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-214861' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/11\/le-brexit-aurait-coute-140-milliards-de-livres-a-leconomie-britannique-en-2023\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-214861' title='Ipsos, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.ipsos.com\/en-uk\/economy-remains-most-mentioned-important-issue-facing-britain-while-concern-about-inflation-drops&quot;&gt;The November 2023 Ipsos Issues Index reveals a drop in public concern about inflation and the NHS&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, 5 d\u00e9cembre 2023.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>) et \u00e0 l\u2019approche d\u2019\u00e9lections g\u00e9n\u00e9rales qui doivent avoir lieu avant le 28 janvier 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Plus de la moiti\u00e9 des Britanniques (55&#160;%) pensent actuellement que le Brexit a eu un impact n\u00e9gatif ou tr\u00e8s n\u00e9gatif sur le pays. Par ailleurs, une majorit\u00e9 serait favorable \u00e0 ce que le Royaume-Uni rejoigne \u00e0 nouveau le march\u00e9 unique&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-214861' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/11\/le-brexit-aurait-coute-140-milliards-de-livres-a-leconomie-britannique-en-2023\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-214861' title='Reuters, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/uk\/majority-britons-support-rejoining-eu-single-market-poll-2023-11-29\/&quot;&gt;Majority of Britons support rejoining the EU single market &amp;#8211; poll&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, 29 novembre 2023.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Sadiq Khan s\u2019\u00e9tait d\u00e9j\u00e0 fait l\u2019avocat en janvier dernier d\u2019un retour du Royaume-Uni dans le march\u00e9 unique et l\u2019union douani\u00e8re.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le maire de Londres incarne la ligne la plus anti-Brexit au sein du Parti travailliste. L\u2019actuel chef du<em> Labour<\/em>, Keir Starmer, qui s\u2019est prononc\u00e9 en d\u00e9faveur d\u2019un quelconque retour dans l\u2019Union europ\u00e9enne, le march\u00e9 unique ou l\u2019union douani\u00e8re&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-214861' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/11\/le-brexit-aurait-coute-140-milliards-de-livres-a-leconomie-britannique-en-2023\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-214861' title='BBC, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/uk-politics-66887576&quot;&gt;Keir Starmer&amp;#160;: No case for going back into EU&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, 22 septembre 2023.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>, a cependant d\u00e9clar\u00e9 que le parti ne souhaitait pas \u00ab&#160;diverger&#160;\u00bb de l\u2019Union europ\u00e9enne.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/5lmpA\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Le positionnement sur le Brexit ne s\u2019annonce cependant pas d\u00e9terminant pour les prochaines \u00e9lections&#160;: seuls 5&#160;% des \u00e9lecteurs citent la relation avec l\u2019Europe et le Brexit parmi les questions actuellement importantes pour le Royaume-Uni \u2014 le niveau le plus bas depuis d\u00e9cembre 2015.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Une \u00e9tude command\u00e9e par le maire de Londres, ville dont 60&#160;% des \u00e9lecteurs avaient vot\u00e9 pour rester dans l\u2019Union en 2016, place le co\u00fbt du Brexit \u00e0 140 milliards de livres pour le Royaume-Uni en 2023. Le sujet reviendra-t-il dans le d\u00e9bat britannique, en cette ann\u00e9e d\u2019\u00e9lections g\u00e9n\u00e9rales&#160;?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6617,"featured_media":214865,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"_lgc_tts_voice":"","_lgc_tts_publish":false,"_lgc_tts_history_item_id":"","_lgc_tts_generated_at":"","_lgc_tts_status":"","_lgc_tts_error":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3468],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-214861","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-donnees-qui-changent-la-donne","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-europe"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false,"_thumbnail_id":214865,"excerpt":"Une \u00e9tude command\u00e9e par le maire de Londres, ville dont 60 % des \u00e9lecteurs avaient vot\u00e9 pour rester dans l\u2019Union en 2016, place le co\u00fbt du Brexit \u00e0 140 milliards de livres pour le Royaume-Uni en 2023. Le sujet reviendra-t-il dans le d\u00e9bat britannique, en cette ann\u00e9e d\u2019\u00e9lections g\u00e9n\u00e9rales ?\r\n","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Le Brexit aurait co\u00fbt\u00e9 140 milliards de livres \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9conomie britannique en 2023 | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/11\/le-brexit-aurait-coute-140-milliards-de-livres-a-leconomie-britannique-en-2023\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Le Brexit aurait co\u00fbt\u00e9 140 milliards de livres \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9conomie britannique en 2023 | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Une \u00e9tude command\u00e9e par le maire de Londres, ville dont 60&#160;% des \u00e9lecteurs avaient vot\u00e9 pour rester dans l\u2019Union en 2016, place le co\u00fbt du Brexit \u00e0 140 milliards de livres pour le Royaume-Uni en 2023. Le sujet reviendra-t-il dans le d\u00e9bat britannique, en cette ann\u00e9e d\u2019\u00e9lections g\u00e9n\u00e9rales&#160;?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/11\/le-brexit-aurait-coute-140-milliards-de-livres-a-leconomie-britannique-en-2023\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-01-11T18:31:34+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-03-22T11:50:58+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/01\/Capture-decran-2024-01-11-a-19.30.35.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1896\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1126\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"elenam\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta 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