{"id":214708,"date":"2024-01-10T12:13:09","date_gmt":"2024-01-10T11:13:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=214708"},"modified":"2024-01-10T12:13:12","modified_gmt":"2024-01-10T11:13:12","slug":"la-croissance-mondiale-devrait-continuer-a-baisser-en-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/10\/la-croissance-mondiale-devrait-continuer-a-baisser-en-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"La croissance mondiale devrait continuer \u00e0 baisser en 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>La Banque mondiale a dress\u00e9 un portrait assez sombre pour l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2024 dans son rapport annuel sur les perspectives \u00e9conomiques mondiales publi\u00e9 mardi 9 janvier&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-214708' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/10\/la-croissance-mondiale-devrait-continuer-a-baisser-en-2024\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-214708' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/openknowledge.worldbank.org\/server\/api\/core\/bitstreams\/7a21a380-5c54-4a8d-9c54-22180abb1adb\/content&quot;&gt;Global Economic Prospects&lt;\/a&gt;, Banque mondiale, janvier 2024.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L\u2019institution financi\u00e8re anticipe une croissance globale en baisse pour la troisi\u00e8me ann\u00e9e cons\u00e9cutive en 2024, passant de 3&#160;% en 2022 \u00e0 2,6&#160;% en 2023 et 2,4&#160;% cette ann\u00e9e.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Plus de quatre ans apr\u00e8s le d\u00e9but de la pand\u00e9mie de Covid, les effets \u00e9conomiques p\u00e8sent toujours sur les populations. D\u2019ici la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e, la Banque mondiale estime que \u00ab&#160;les habitants d&rsquo;environ un pays en d\u00e9veloppement sur quatre et d&rsquo;environ 40&#160;% des pays \u00e0 faible revenu seront toujours plus pauvres qu&rsquo;ils ne l&rsquo;\u00e9taient \u00e0 la veille de la pand\u00e9mie en 2019&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-214708' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/10\/la-croissance-mondiale-devrait-continuer-a-baisser-en-2024\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-214708' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.worldbank.org\/en\/news\/press-release\/2024\/01\/09\/global-economic-prospects-january-2024-press-release&quot;&gt;Global Economy Set for Weakest Half-Decade Performance in 30 Years&lt;\/a&gt;, Banque mondiale, 9 janvier 2024.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/DYW4B\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Ainsi, la demi-d\u00e9cennie 2020-2024 devrait voir la croissance globale la plus faible enregistr\u00e9e depuis les trente derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es, tandis que les projections du Fonds mon\u00e9taire international pour les cinq prochaines ann\u00e9es \u00ab&#160;sont \u00e0 leur plus bas niveau depuis l&rsquo;essor de la mondialisation dans les ann\u00e9es 1990&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-214708' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/10\/la-croissance-mondiale-devrait-continuer-a-baisser-en-2024\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-214708' title='Claire Jones, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/b00ec9ec-5497-4543-aa57-f10873c8952b&quot;&gt;Global economy on track for worst half-decade of growth in 30 years, says World Bank&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Financial Times&lt;\/em&gt;, 9 janvier 2024.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/IdI8r\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Plusieurs facteurs expliquent ce ralentissement de la croissance mondiale&#160;:&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Ukraine, Moyen-Orient, Indo-Pacifique\u2026 Le monde fait face \u00e0 des risques g\u00e9opolitiques accrus dont l\u2019ampleur est in\u00e9dite depuis le d\u00e9but des ann\u00e9es 2000&#160;;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>malgr\u00e9 une baisse par rapport aux niveaux de 2022, l\u2019inflation demeure \u00e9lev\u00e9e et \u00ab&#160;devrait rester sup\u00e9rieure \u00e0 sa moyenne de 2015-2019 au-del\u00e0 de 2024&#160;\u00bb&#160;;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>si le \u00ab&#160;resserrement mon\u00e9taire dans les \u00e9conomies avanc\u00e9es s&rsquo;ach\u00e8ve&#160;\u00bb, la hausse des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat \u00ab&#160;a fait grimper les co\u00fbts d&#8217;emprunt bien au-del\u00e0 des taux de croissance nominaux&#160;\u00bb dans de nombreuses \u00e9conomies \u00e9mergentes, r\u00e9duisant leurs marges de man\u0153uvre budg\u00e9taires.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/U79X8\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>En 2023, la croissance du commerce mondial a \u00e9t\u00e9 la plus faible de ces 50 derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es. La Banque mondiale anticipe n\u00e9anmoins une acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration \u00e0 2,3&#160;% cette ann\u00e9e qui refl\u00e8tera \u00ab&#160;une reprise de la demande de biens et, plus largement, du commerce des \u00e9conomies avanc\u00e9es&#160;\u00bb. Les risques de disruption demeurent n\u00e9anmoins \u00e9lev\u00e9s, tandis qu\u2019<a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/09\/une-invasion-chinoise-de-taiwan-entrainerait-une-perte-de-10-du-pib-mondial\/\">une r\u00e9cente analyse<\/a> estime qu\u2019une invasion chinoise de Ta\u00efwan conduirait \u00e0 la mise en pause quasi-totale des relations commerciales sino-am\u00e9ricaines ainsi qu\u2019\u00e0 l\u2019imposition de tarifs douaniers de 50&#160;% par les \u00c9tats-Unis et leurs alli\u00e9s sur les biens chinois.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/3c3Q8\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>L\u2019institution consid\u00e8re que ces perspectives pour 2024 marquent l\u2019\u00e9chec \u2014 pour le moment \u2014 de ce qui devait \u00eatre \u00ab&#160;une d\u00e9cennie transformatrice pour le d\u00e9veloppement&#160;\u00bb, suppos\u00e9e conduire \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9radication de l\u2019extr\u00eame pauvret\u00e9, des principales maladies transmissibles et \u00e0 la r\u00e9duction de pr\u00e8s de 50&#160;% des \u00e9missions de gazs \u00e0 effet de serre d\u2019ici 2030.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La Banque mondiale estime que la baisse de la croissance mondiale devrait se prolonger en 2024 pour la troisi\u00e8me ann\u00e9e cons\u00e9cutive. La d\u00e9cennie 2020, qui devait \u00eatre \u00ab&#160;transformatrice pour le d\u00e9veloppement&#160;\u00bb, est jusqu\u2019\u00e0 maintenant marqu\u00e9e par des co\u00fbts d\u2019emprunts et une inflation plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s, de fortes d\u00e9stabilisations g\u00e9opolitiques et une faible croissance du commerce.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":214709,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1727],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[4942],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[2163],"class_list":["post-214708","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economie","editorial_format-actu-breves","geo-monde"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false,"_thumbnail_id":214709,"excerpt":"La Banque mondiale estime que la baisse de la croissance mondiale devrait se prolonger en 2024 pour la troisi\u00e8me ann\u00e9e cons\u00e9cutive. La d\u00e9cennie 2020, qui devait \u00eatre \u00ab transformatrice pour le d\u00e9veloppement \u00bb, est jusqu\u2019\u00e0 maintenant marqu\u00e9e par des co\u00fbts d\u2019emprunts et une inflation plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s, de fortes d\u00e9stabilisations g\u00e9opolitiques et une faible croissance du commerce.","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>La croissance mondiale devrait continuer \u00e0 baisser en 2024 | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/10\/la-croissance-mondiale-devrait-continuer-a-baisser-en-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"La croissance mondiale devrait continuer \u00e0 baisser en 2024 | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"La Banque mondiale estime que la baisse de la croissance mondiale devrait se prolonger en 2024 pour la troisi\u00e8me ann\u00e9e cons\u00e9cutive. 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