{"id":214042,"date":"2024-01-02T13:41:59","date_gmt":"2024-01-02T12:41:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=214042"},"modified":"2024-01-02T16:51:40","modified_gmt":"2024-01-02T15:51:40","slug":"quel-avenir-pour-les-brics-en-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/02\/quel-avenir-pour-les-brics-en-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Quel avenir pour les BRICS en 2024&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Les BRICS, un groupe de cinq pays \u2014 Chine, Russie, Inde, Br\u00e9sil et Afrique du Sud \u2014 cr\u00e9\u00e9 en 2010 apr\u00e8s l\u2019arriv\u00e9e de Pretoria, a connu sa premi\u00e8re vague d\u2019\u00e9largissement le 1er janvier 2024. \u00c0 l\u2019issue du <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/08\/24\/les-brics-selargissent-au-sommet-de-johannesburg-avec-argentine-egypte-ethiopie-iran-arabie-saoudite-et-eau-le-groupe-pesera-36-du-pib-mondial-et-46-de-la-population\/\">sommet de Johannesburg<\/a> d\u2019ao\u00fbt 2023, six pays ont formellement \u00e9t\u00e9 invit\u00e9s \u00e0 rejoindre le groupe&#160;: l&rsquo;Argentine, l&rsquo;\u00c9gypte, l&rsquo;\u00c9thiopie, l&rsquo;Iran, l&rsquo;Arabie saoudite et les \u00c9mirats arabes unis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/jzG2c\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Cette expansion est significative \u00e0 bien des \u00e9gards&#160;: le groupe repr\u00e9sente d\u00e9sormais 45,5&#160;% de la population mondiale, 43,34&#160;% de la production globale de p\u00e9trole, 35,85&#160;% du PIB mondial (en parit\u00e9 de pouvoir d\u2019achat) et presque 25&#160;% du total des exportations de biens.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/11\/27\/argentine-pourquoi-milei-a-gagne-graphiques-clefs\/\">La victoire de Javier Milei<\/a> \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle argentine de novembre a n\u00e9anmoins \u00e9branl\u00e9 les plans du groupe.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bien qu\u2019officiellement invit\u00e9, le nouveau gouvernement argentin a officiellement annonc\u00e9 la semaine derni\u00e8re sa d\u00e9cision de ne pas rejoindre les BRICS.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium \">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/16317979\/embed\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Dans un courrier adress\u00e9 aux dirigeants des pays fondateurs du groupe, Milei a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 que le moment n\u2019\u00e9tait pas \u00ab&#160;opportun&#160;\u00bb pour que l\u2019Argentine rejoigne les BRICS&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-214042' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/02\/quel-avenir-pour-les-brics-en-2024\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-214042' title='\u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2023\/dec\/29\/milei-argentina-brics-bloc#:~:text=Milei%20says%20Argentina%20will%20not%20be%20joining%20Brics%20bloc%20in%20policy%20reversal,-Far%2Dright%20president&amp;amp;text=Argentina%20has%20formally%20announced%20that,right%20populist%20president%2C%20Javier%20Milei.&quot;&gt;Milei says Argentina will not be joining Brics bloc in policy reversal&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The Guardian&lt;\/em&gt;, 29 d\u00e9cembre 2023.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. \u00c0 la place, le <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/09\/18\/javier-milei-en-10-phrases-choc-le-paleolibertaire-qui-veut-prendre-largentine\/\">nouveau pr\u00e9sident pal\u00e9olibertarien<\/a> souhaite rouvrir les n\u00e9gociations d\u2019adh\u00e9sion \u00e0 l\u2019OCDE \u00ab&#160;le plus rapidement possible&#160;\u00bb, apr\u00e8s que ces derni\u00e8res aient \u00e9t\u00e9 gel\u00e9es suite \u00e0 l\u2019arriv\u00e9e au pouvoir d\u2019Alberto Fern\u00e1ndez en 2019&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-214042' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/02\/quel-avenir-pour-les-brics-en-2024\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-214042' title='Jorgelina Do Rosario, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/argentinas-milei-formally-seeks-oecd-accession-talks-2023-12-13\/&quot;&gt;Argentina&amp;rsquo;s Milei formally seeks OECD accession talks&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Reuters&lt;\/em&gt;, 13 d\u00e9cembre 2023.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En d\u00e9pit de ce retournement de situation, les BRICS ont n\u00e9anmoins doubl\u00e9 de taille au 1er janvier 2024, soulevant des questions quant \u00e0 l\u2019unit\u00e9 et \u00e0 la gouvernance futures du groupe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>La coh\u00e9sion des BRICS a jusqu\u2019\u00e0 pr\u00e9sent mieux r\u00e9sist\u00e9 que ce qui pouvait \u00eatre anticip\u00e9 malgr\u00e9 des contradictions majeures en termes de politique int\u00e9rieure, des conflits frontaliers multiples et des objectifs divergents en mati\u00e8re de politique \u00e9trang\u00e8re.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Tandis que P\u00e9kin souhaite supplanter la domination occidentale par la cr\u00e9ation d\u2019un r\u00e9seau d\u2019alliances, New Delhi vise \u00e0 r\u00e9former les infrastructures existantes&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-214042' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/02\/quel-avenir-pour-les-brics-en-2024\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-214042' title='Kate Mackenzie et Tim Sahay, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.phenomenalworld.org\/analysis\/grievance-and-reform\/&quot;&gt;Grievance and Reform&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Phenomenal World&lt;\/em&gt;, 31 ao\u00fbt 2023.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. La Russie de Poutine semble quant \u00e0 elle vouloir re-devenir une <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/01\/24\/limpossible-mission-imperiale-de-poutine\/\">puissance imp\u00e9riale<\/a>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Avec cet \u00e9largissement, le groupe devra d\u00e9sormais travailler \u00e0 r\u00e9gler ou apaiser le conflit opposant l\u2019\u00c9thiopie \u00e0 l\u2019\u00c9gypte autour du Grand barrage de la Renaissance sur le Nil et trouver un \u00e9quilibre avec les relations s\u00e9curitaires \u00e9troites entretenues par l\u2019Arabie saoudite, les \u00c9mirats arabes unis et l\u2019\u00c9gypte avec les \u00c9tats-Unis.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/G3iJz\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Selon une \u00e9tude publi\u00e9e en d\u00e9cembre par trois chercheurs de l\u2019universit\u00e9 am\u00e9ricaine Tufts, la convergence des politiques mises en place par les pays membres des BRICS dans les domaines identifi\u00e9s comme des priorit\u00e9s en mati\u00e8re de coop\u00e9ration a consid\u00e9rablement augment\u00e9 depuis la cr\u00e9ation du groupe, passant de 13,7&#160;% en 2009 \u00e0 50,7&#160;% en 2021&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-214042' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/02\/quel-avenir-pour-les-brics-en-2024\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-214042' title='Mihaela Papa, Zhen Han et Frank O\u2019Donnell, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/journals.sagepub.com\/doi\/full\/10.1177\/13540661231183352&quot;&gt;The dynamics of informal institutions and counter-hegemony&amp;#160;: introducing a BRICS Convergence Index&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;European Journal of International Relations&lt;\/em&gt;, Vol. 29, n\u00b04, p.809-1065, d\u00e9cembre 2023.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. Bien qu\u2019imparfait, cet indicateur r\u00e9v\u00e8le n\u00e9anmoins les capacit\u00e9s du groupe \u00e0 fonctionner \u00e0 5 malgr\u00e9 les oppositions et rivalit\u00e9s existantes \u2014 qu\u2019en sera-t-il \u00e0 10&#160;?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Les BRICS sont officiellement compos\u00e9s de 10 pays depuis le 1er janvier, mais ne comptent finalement pas l\u2019Argentine. La Russie, quant \u00e0 elle, assure cette ann\u00e9e la pr\u00e9sidence tournante du groupe. Quel impact sur le poids et la coh\u00e9sion des BRICS en 2024 et au-del\u00e0&#160;&#160;?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":214041,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3654],"tags":[],"geo":[2163],"class_list":["post-214042","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tendances-2024","geo-monde"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Quel avenir pour les BRICS en 2024 ? | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/01\/02\/quel-avenir-pour-les-brics-en-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Quel avenir pour les BRICS en 2024 ? | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Les BRICS sont officiellement compos\u00e9s de 10 pays depuis le 1er janvier, mais ne comptent finalement pas l\u2019Argentine. 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