{"id":212124,"date":"2023-12-14T16:37:57","date_gmt":"2023-12-14T15:37:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=212124"},"modified":"2023-12-14T16:38:00","modified_gmt":"2023-12-14T15:38:00","slug":"les-objectifs-du-kremlin-en-ukraine-pour-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/12\/14\/les-objectifs-du-kremlin-en-ukraine-pour-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Les objectifs du Kremlin en Ukraine pour 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Le Congr\u00e8s am\u00e9ricain ne votera probablement pas de nouveaux fonds pour Kiev d\u2019ici la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e. Malgr\u00e9 les signaux positifs envoy\u00e9s par le S\u00e9nat sur un potentiel accord entre D\u00e9mocrates et R\u00e9publicains \u2014 qui peut se r\u00e9sumer \u00e0 des concessions sur la politique migratoire de l\u2019administration en \u00e9change du d\u00e9blocage de l\u2019aide pour l\u2019Ukraine \u2014, la Chambre, domin\u00e9e par le GOP, n\u2019accepterait rien de moins qu\u2019une transformation radicale de la politique frontali\u00e8re de Biden&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-212124' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/12\/14\/les-objectifs-du-kremlin-en-ukraine-pour-2024\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-212124' title='Michelle Hackman, Siobhan Hughes et Lindsay Wise, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/politics\/policy\/white-house-democrats-offer-concessions-in-border-talks-move-toward-deal-with-gop-be8cf10f?mod=djem10point&quot;&gt;Biden, Democrats Offer Concessions in Border Talks, Move Toward Deal With GOP&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The Wall Street Journal&lt;\/em&gt;, 13 d\u00e9cembre 2023.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Au cours d\u2019une conf\u00e9rence de presse donn\u00e9e jeudi 14 d\u00e9cembre, Vladimir Poutine a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 sans ambigu\u00eft\u00e9 que la guerre en Ukraine ne prendrait fin qu\u2019avec une d\u00e9faite militaire de Kiev.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le pr\u00e9sident russe a r\u00e9p\u00e9t\u00e9 son objectif de \u00ab&#160;d\u00e9nazifier&#160;\u00bb et de \u00ab&#160;d\u00e9militariser&#160;\u00bb l\u2019Ukraine, ce qui impliquerait la destitution de Volodymyr Zelensky et tr\u00e8s certainement d\u2019une partie au moins de l\u2019administration ukrainienne&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-212124' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/12\/14\/les-objectifs-du-kremlin-en-ukraine-pour-2024\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-212124' title='Harriet Morris, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/putin-russia-press-conference-moscow-ukraine-ef4e88fda50e6ad75b8a1979b95d9fcc&quot;&gt;Putin says there will be no peace in Ukraine until Russia\u2019s goals, still unchanged, are achieved&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Associated Press&lt;\/em&gt;, 14 d\u00e9cembre 2023.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>D\u2019une mani\u00e8re assez inattendue, le pr\u00e9sident russe a indiqu\u00e9 qu\u2019il y avait actuellement 617 000 soldats russes en Ukraine, dont \u00ab&#160;environ 244 000 qui ont \u00e9t\u00e9 appel\u00e9s \u00e0 combattre aux c\u00f4t\u00e9s des forces militaires professionnelles&#160;\u00bb.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Poutine a \u00e9galement \u00e9vacu\u00e9 l\u2019\u00e9ventualit\u00e9 d\u2019une nouvelle vague de mobilisation \u2014 per\u00e7ue comme impopulaire \u2014, arguant que \u00ab&#160;1 500 hommes \u00e9taient recrut\u00e9s chaque jour&#160;\u00bb. Au total, 486 000 soldats auraient sign\u00e9 un contrat avec l\u2019arm\u00e9e.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium \">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/16147358\/embed\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Ce rare \u00e9pisode d\u2019interaction avec des journalistes occidentaux et des citoyens russes fait suite \u00e0 la divulgation par les services de renseignements am\u00e9ricains d\u2019estimation des pertes subies par la Russie depuis f\u00e9vrier 2022. Selon Washington, 315 000 combattants russes auraient \u00e9t\u00e9 tu\u00e9s ou bless\u00e9s en Ukraine depuis le lancement de l\u2019invasion, soit 88&#160;% des effectifs d\u00e9ploy\u00e9s au d\u00e9but de la guerre. L\u2019arm\u00e9e russe aurait \u00e9galement perdu presque les deux tiers des chars d\u2019assaut dont elle disposait avant l\u2019invasion&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-212124' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/12\/14\/les-objectifs-du-kremlin-en-ukraine-pour-2024\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-212124' title='Julian E. Barnes, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2023\/12\/12\/us\/politics\/russia-intelligence-assessment.html&quot;&gt;Russia Has Suffered Staggeringly High Losses, U.S. Report Says&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The New York Times&lt;\/em&gt;, 12 d\u00e9cembre 2023.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/iiiWK\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L\u2019\u00e9volution des d\u00e9penses militaires russes ainsi que le nouveau budget f\u00e9d\u00e9ral pour 2024-2026 vot\u00e9 en novembre refl\u00e8te les objectifs que le Kremlin cherche \u00e0 atteindre en Ukraine.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L\u2019an prochain, les d\u00e9penses russes li\u00e9es \u00e0 la \u00ab&#160;d\u00e9fense nationale&#160;\u00bb devraient repr\u00e9senter 29&#160;% du total des d\u00e9penses budg\u00e9taires (contre 10,4&#160;% en 2021), soit 7,1&#160;% du PIB.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Comme le note le chercheur au SIPRI Julian Cooper, l\u2019augmentation des revenus du budget f\u00e9d\u00e9ral russe sur laquelle table le Kremlin pour 2024 est n\u00e9anmoins \u00ab&#160;optimiste&#160;\u00bb et sera vuln\u00e9rable \u00e0 des \u00ab&#160;\u00e9volutions impr\u00e9visibles&#160;\u00bb (durcissement des sanctions sur le p\u00e9trole, r\u00e9duction des exportations, etc.)&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-212124' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/12\/14\/les-objectifs-du-kremlin-en-ukraine-pour-2024\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-212124' title='Julian Cooper, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.sipri.org\/sites\/default\/files\/2023-12\/sipriinsights_2312_11_russian_milex_for_2024_0.pdf&quot;&gt;Another Budget For A Country At War&amp;#160;: Military Expenditure In Russia\u2019s Federal Budget For 2024 And Beyond&lt;\/a&gt;, SIPRI, D\u00e9cembre 2023.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/OWXuF\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>L\u2019Ukraine dispose de moins de capacit\u00e9s domestiques de production de munitions et de mat\u00e9riel militaire, et repose ainsi plus largement sur l\u2019assistance ext\u00e9rieure que la Russie. Malgr\u00e9 les importantes r\u00e9serves dont cette derni\u00e8re disposait avait f\u00e9vrier 2022, Moscou a n\u00e9anmoins import\u00e9 <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/10\/18\/la-coree-du-nord-livre-t-elle-des-armes-a-la-russie\/\">plus d\u2019un million d\u2019obus d&rsquo;artillerie de Cor\u00e9e du Nord<\/a> depuis la fin de l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9, t\u00e9moignant des limites impos\u00e9es par l\u2019intensit\u00e9 des combats qui ne faiblit pas.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jeudi 14 d\u00e9cembre, au cours d\u2019une conf\u00e9rence de presse, Vladimir Poutine a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 \u00ab&#160;&#160;qu&rsquo;il n&rsquo;y aura pas de paix en Ukraine&#160;&#160;\u00bb tant que ses objectifs n\u2019auront pas \u00e9t\u00e9 atteints, rejetant de facto une quelconque tr\u00eave dans le conflit. Le budget f\u00e9d\u00e9ral approuv\u00e9 pour 2024-2026 indique que l\u2019effort de guerre russe devrait s\u2019intensifier l\u2019an prochain.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":212146,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3116],"tags":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-212124","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-la-guerre-en-ukraine-au-jour-le-jour","geo-europe"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Les objectifs du Kremlin en Ukraine pour 2024 | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/12\/14\/les-objectifs-du-kremlin-en-ukraine-pour-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Les objectifs du Kremlin en Ukraine pour 2024 | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Jeudi 14 d\u00e9cembre, au cours d\u2019une conf\u00e9rence de presse, Vladimir Poutine a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 \u00ab&#160;qu&#039;il n&#039;y aura pas de paix en Ukraine&#160;\u00bb tant que ses objectifs n\u2019auront pas \u00e9t\u00e9 atteints, rejetant de facto une quelconque tr\u00eave dans le conflit. Le budget f\u00e9d\u00e9ral approuv\u00e9 pour 2024-2026 indique que l\u2019effort de guerre russe devrait s\u2019intensifier l\u2019an prochain.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/12\/14\/les-objectifs-du-kremlin-en-ukraine-pour-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-12-14T15:37:57+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-12-14T15:38:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/12\/gc-objectifs-militaires-russes-2024-e1702568260825.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1453\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"813\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" 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