{"id":209530,"date":"2023-11-23T13:36:00","date_gmt":"2023-11-23T12:36:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=209530"},"modified":"2024-01-15T10:11:21","modified_gmt":"2024-01-15T09:11:21","slug":"nikki-haley-emerge-comme-une-alternative-de-plus-en-plus-credible-a-trump","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/11\/23\/nikki-haley-emerge-comme-une-alternative-de-plus-en-plus-credible-a-trump\/","title":{"rendered":"Nikki Haley \u00e9merge comme une alternative de plus en plus cr\u00e9dible \u00e0 Trump"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>La <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/10\/19\/trump-leve-plus-de-fonds-que-les-autres-candidats-republicains-biden-domine-a-lechelle-nationale\/\">primaire r\u00e9publicaine<\/a> d\u00e9butera officiellement en Iowa le 15 janvier 2024. Si Trump est toujours en t\u00eate dans l\u2019\u00c9tat, plusieurs annonces et signaux faibles r\u00e9cents pourraient rendre la campagne plus comp\u00e9titive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Le d\u00e9sistement du s\u00e9nateur de Caroline du Sud et candidat \u00e0 la primaire r\u00e9publicaine Tim Scott devrait principalement b\u00e9n\u00e9ficier \u00e0 <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/02\/14\/qui-est-nikki-haley-la-premiere-rivale-declaree-de-donald-trump\/\">Nikki Haley<\/a>, et plus marginalement \u00e0 Vivek Ramaswamy et Ron DeSantis&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-209530' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/11\/23\/nikki-haley-emerge-comme-une-alternative-de-plus-en-plus-credible-a-trump\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-209530' title='Deb Otis, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/fairvote.org\/tim-scott-is-out-ranked-choice-polling-is-in\/&quot;&gt;Tim Scott is Out, Ranked Choice Polling Is In&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, Fair Vote, 13 novembre 2023.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Haley, ancienne gouverneure de Caroline du Sud, a r\u00e9cemment obtenu le soutien d\u2019importants donateurs ayant pr\u00e9c\u00e9demment exprim\u00e9 des r\u00e9serves quant \u00e0 un potentiel deuxi\u00e8me mandat de Donald Trump&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-209530' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/11\/23\/nikki-haley-emerge-comme-une-alternative-de-plus-en-plus-credible-a-trump\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-209530' title='Alex Rogers et Brooke Masters, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/53c3bd51-678e-490b-b089-a0d35a0941d7&quot;&gt;Wall Street megadonors warm to Nikki Haley as their anti-Donald Trump Republican&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Financial Times&lt;\/em&gt;, 16 novembre 2023.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dans une vid\u00e9o pass\u00e9e relativement inaper\u00e7ue, une importante militante r\u00e9publicaine en Iowa, Marlys Popma \u2014 consid\u00e9r\u00e9e par la journaliste politique en chef du <em>Des Moines Register <\/em>Brianne Pfannenstiel comme l\u2019une des personnalit\u00e9s les plus influentes du GOP dans l\u2019\u00c9tat \u2014 a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 qu\u2019elle allait soutenir la campagne de Nikki Haley&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-209530' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/11\/23\/nikki-haley-emerge-comme-une-alternative-de-plus-en-plus-credible-a-trump\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-209530' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/twitter.com\/brianneDMR\/status\/1725600487431422178&quot;&gt;Publication de Brianne Pfannenstiel sur X (Twitter)&lt;\/a&gt;, 17 novembre 2023.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ron DeSantis a quant \u00e0 lui obtenu le soutien de deux personnalit\u00e9s majeures de l\u2019\u00c9tat en vue du caucus de janvier&#160;: la gouverneure r\u00e9publicaine Kim Reynolds ainsi que le <em>leader <\/em>\u00e9vang\u00e9lique Bob Vander Plaats&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-209530' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/11\/23\/nikki-haley-emerge-comme-une-alternative-de-plus-en-plus-credible-a-trump\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-209530' title='Brianne Pfannenstiel, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/eu.desmoinesregister.com\/story\/news\/elections\/presidential\/caucus\/2023\/11\/21\/bob-vander-plaats-endorsement-ron-desantis-iowa-caucuses-family-leader-donald-trump-evangelicals\/71672317007\/&quot;&gt;Bob Vander Plaats endorses Ron DeSantis ahead of Iowa caucuses&amp;#160;: &amp;lsquo;He&amp;rsquo;s proven he can win&amp;rsquo;&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Des Moines Register&lt;\/em&gt;, 21 novembre 2023.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/IGA5v\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Vander Plaats joue un r\u00f4le-clef au sein de la communaut\u00e9 \u00e9vang\u00e9lique conservatrice de l&rsquo;Iowa via son organisation <em>Family Leader<\/em>. Depuis les ann\u00e9es 2000, son soutien a permis \u00e0 trois candidats r\u00e9publicains (Mike Huckabee en 2008, Rick Santorum en 2012 et Ted Cruz en 2016) de l\u2019emporter alors qu\u2019ils accusaient un retard significatif dans les sondages&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-5-209530' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/11\/23\/nikki-haley-emerge-comme-une-alternative-de-plus-en-plus-credible-a-trump\/#easy-footnote-bottom-5-209530' title='Seth Masket, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/smotus.substack.com\/p\/iowa-just-got-a-lot-more-competitive?utm_source=post-email-title&amp;amp;publication_id=1327720&amp;amp;post_id=139065648&amp;amp;utm_campaign=email-post-title&amp;amp;isFreemail=true&amp;amp;r=21cz2z&amp;amp;utm_medium=email&quot;&gt;Iowa just got a lot more competitive&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, Substack, 22 novembre 2023.'><sup>5<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. Le 1er f\u00e9vrier 2016, date du caucus cette ann\u00e9e-l\u00e0, Ted Cruz avait obtenu 27,6&#160;% des votes contre 24,3&#160;% pour Donald Trump \u2014 tandis que la moyenne des derniers sondages le pla\u00e7ait 4,7 points derri\u00e8re Trump&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-6-209530' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/11\/23\/nikki-haley-emerge-comme-une-alternative-de-plus-en-plus-credible-a-trump\/#easy-footnote-bottom-6-209530' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/2016\/president\/ia\/iowa_republican_presidential_caucus-3194.html#polls&quot;&gt;Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus&lt;\/a&gt;, RealClearPolitics.'><sup>6<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium \">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/15861673\/embed\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Ted Cruz n\u2019a finalement pas remport\u00e9 l\u2019\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle et a abandonn\u00e9 la campagne trois mois plus tard. Cependant, plusieurs \u00e9l\u00e9ments indiquent que 2024 pourrait \u00eatre assez diff\u00e9rent de 2016 en ce sens.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/KvYQu\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Deux primaires r\u00e9publicaines importantes auront lieu avant le <em>Super Tuesday <\/em>(5 mars 2024)&#160;: dans le New Hampshire et en Caroline du Sud, l\u2019\u00c9tat de Nikki Haley.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Un sondage Washington Post\/Monmouth University du 16 novembre indique que l\u2019\u00e9lectorat r\u00e9publicain dans le New Hampshire est l\u2019un des plus mod\u00e9r\u00e9s des \u00c9tats dont les primaires se tiendront avant mars&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-7-209530' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/11\/23\/nikki-haley-emerge-comme-une-alternative-de-plus-en-plus-credible-a-trump\/#easy-footnote-bottom-7-209530' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/documents\/be7bcff9-5869-4f4e-830f-92bff1adeb26.pdf?itid=lk_inline_manual_4&quot;&gt;Nov. 9-14, 2023, Washington Post-Monmouth University poll of N.H. GOP voters&lt;\/a&gt;.'><sup>7<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Parmi les \u00e9lecteurs interrog\u00e9s, 59&#160;% ont une opinion favorable de Donald Trump, 56&#160;% de Nikki Haley et 47&#160;% de Ron DeSantis. Si 49&#160;% des sond\u00e9s revendiquent soutenir le mouvement MAGA (<em>Make America Great Again<\/em>, pro-Trump), 20&#160;% d\u2019entre eux consid\u00e8rent Haley comme leur premier ou deuxi\u00e8me choix malgr\u00e9 son attitude mod\u00e9r\u00e9e&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-8-209530' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/11\/23\/nikki-haley-emerge-comme-une-alternative-de-plus-en-plus-credible-a-trump\/#easy-footnote-bottom-8-209530' title='Aaron Blake, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/politics\/2023\/11\/17\/why-new-hampshire-looks-pivotal-2024-gop-race\/&quot;&gt;Why New Hampshire looks pivotal in the 2024 GOP race&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The Washington Post&lt;\/em&gt;, 17 novembre 2023.'><sup>8<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En Caroline du Sud, les sondages pr\u00e9sentent Haley comme l\u2019alternative la plus cr\u00e9dible \u00e0 Donald Trump, ayant d\u00e9pass\u00e9 DeSantis en termes d\u2019intentions de vote depuis septembre&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-9-209530' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/11\/23\/nikki-haley-emerge-comme-une-alternative-de-plus-en-plus-credible-a-trump\/#easy-footnote-bottom-9-209530' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/polls\/president-primary-r\/2024\/south-carolina\/&quot;&gt;Who\u2019s ahead in South Carolina&amp;#160;?&lt;\/a&gt;, FiveThirtyEight.'><sup>9<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/FMkcr\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Progressivement, Nikki Haley \u00e9merge comme la principale rivale de Donald Trump pour l\u2019investiture du Parti r\u00e9publicain, et devrait bient\u00f4t d\u00e9passer Ron DeSantis en termes d\u2019intentions de vote dans l\u2019Iowa. Si elle parvient \u00e0 se positionner en deuxi\u00e8me place dans l\u2019\u00c9tat et \u00e0 obtenir le soutien du gouverneur r\u00e9publicain du New Hampshire Chris Sununu, Haley serait en mesure de rallier une partie de l\u2019\u00e9lectorat r\u00e9publicain mod\u00e9r\u00e9 ainsi que des ind\u00e9pendants \u2014 qui, contrairement \u00e0 d\u2019autres \u00c9tats, peuvent voter lors des primaires&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-10-209530' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/11\/23\/nikki-haley-emerge-comme-une-alternative-de-plus-en-plus-credible-a-trump\/#easy-footnote-bottom-10-209530' title='On parle de \u00ab&amp;#160;semi-closed primary&amp;#160;\u00bb. Selon le mouvement Open Primaries, 42&amp;#160;% des \u00e9lecteurs du New Hampshire sont inscrits comme non d\u00e9clar\u00e9s. Elaine Kamarck, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/articles\/tracking-the-invisible-primary-will-nikki-haley-be-the-surprise\/&quot;&gt;Tracking the invisible primary&amp;#160;: Will Nikki Haley be the surprise&amp;#160;?&lt;\/a&gt;, Brookings Institution, 20 novembre 2023.'><sup>10<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Donald Trump domine largement tous les autres candidats \u00e0 l&rsquo;investiture du Parti r\u00e9publicain en amont de l\u2019\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle de novembre 2024. Cependant, plusieurs signaux faibles indiquent que Nikki Haley pourrait s\u2019imposer comme la principale rivale de Donald Trump en amont du <em>Super Tuesday<\/em> qui aura lieu le 5 mars.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":209534,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3691],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[525],"class_list":["post-209530","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-trump-contre-biden-pour-la-maison-blanche-suivre-les-elections-americaines-2024","geo-ameriques"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Nikki Haley \u00e9merge comme une alternative de plus en plus cr\u00e9dible \u00e0 Trump | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/11\/23\/nikki-haley-emerge-comme-une-alternative-de-plus-en-plus-credible-a-trump\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Nikki Haley \u00e9merge comme une alternative de plus en plus cr\u00e9dible \u00e0 Trump | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Donald Trump domine largement tous les autres candidats \u00e0 l&#039;investiture du Parti r\u00e9publicain en amont de l\u2019\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle de novembre 2024. Cependant, plusieurs signaux faibles indiquent que Nikki Haley pourrait s\u2019imposer comme la principale rivale de Donald Trump en amont du Super Tuesday qui aura lieu le 5 mars.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/11\/23\/nikki-haley-emerge-comme-une-alternative-de-plus-en-plus-credible-a-trump\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-11-23T12:36:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-01-15T09:11:21+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/gc-haley-desantis-primaire-republicaine-e1700741014377.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1453\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"810\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Marin 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cr\u00e9dible \u00e0 Trump | Le Grand Continent","og_description":"Donald Trump domine largement tous les autres candidats \u00e0 l'investiture du Parti r\u00e9publicain en amont de l\u2019\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle de novembre 2024. 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