{"id":207784,"date":"2023-11-10T18:10:29","date_gmt":"2023-11-10T17:10:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=207784"},"modified":"2024-01-15T10:12:35","modified_gmt":"2024-01-15T09:12:35","slug":"joe-manchin-ne-se-representera-pas-au-senat-en-2024-mais-ouvre-la-voie-a-une-potentielle-candidature-a-la-presidentielle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/11\/10\/joe-manchin-ne-se-representera-pas-au-senat-en-2024-mais-ouvre-la-voie-a-une-potentielle-candidature-a-la-presidentielle\/","title":{"rendered":"Joe Manchin ouvre la voie \u00e0 une potentielle candidature \u00e0 la pr\u00e9sidentielle"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Joe Manchin est loin d\u2019\u00eatre le plus grand alli\u00e9 de Joe Biden au S\u00e9nat. Il est, entre autre, responsable de l\u2019\u00e9chec du projet de loi <em>Build Back Better <\/em>\u2014 finalement re-n\u00e9goci\u00e9 puis adopt\u00e9 sous le nom d\u2019<em>Inflation Reduction Act <\/em>\u2014, connu pour ses liens \u00e9troits avec l\u2019industrie du charbon et n\u2019a pas h\u00e9sit\u00e9 \u00e0 s\u2019opposer \u00e0 plusieurs reprises \u00e0 l\u2019agenda de la Maison-Blanche en votant aux c\u00f4t\u00e9s de s\u00e9nateurs r\u00e9publicains&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-207784' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/11\/10\/joe-manchin-ne-se-representera-pas-au-senat-en-2024-mais-ouvre-la-voie-a-une-potentielle-candidature-a-la-presidentielle\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-207784' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/biden-congress-votes\/joe-manchin\/&quot;&gt;Does Your Member Of Congress Vote With Or Against Biden&amp;#160;?&lt;\/a&gt;, &lt;em&gt;FiveThirtyEight&lt;\/em&gt;, derni\u00e8re mise \u00e0 jour le 3 janvier 2023.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/2o8EN\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Son si\u00e8ge au S\u00e9nat est toutefois crucial pour la majorit\u00e9 d\u00e9mocrate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Jeudi 9 novembre, Joe Manchin a annonc\u00e9 sur ses r\u00e9seaux sociaux qu\u2019il ne comptait pas se pr\u00e9senter \u00e0 sa r\u00e9\u00e9lection en novembre 2024&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-207784' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/11\/10\/joe-manchin-ne-se-representera-pas-au-senat-en-2024-mais-ouvre-la-voie-a-une-potentielle-candidature-a-la-presidentielle\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-207784' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/twitter.com\/Sen_JoeManchin\/status\/1722698734910210420&quot;&gt;Publication de Joe Manchin sur X (Twitter)&lt;\/a&gt;, 9 novembre 2023.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En l\u2019absence d\u2019une alternative d\u00e9mocrate cr\u00e9dible en Virginie-Occidentale pour lui succ\u00e9der au S\u00e9nat, son si\u00e8ge reviendra tr\u00e8s certainement \u00e0 un \u00e9lu r\u00e9publicain.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Cette annonce ne changera pas radicalement la carte du S\u00e9nat en 2024 \u00e9tant donn\u00e9 que Manchin aurait certainement perdu s\u2019il avait d\u00e9cid\u00e9 de se repr\u00e9senter.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En outre, le Parti d\u00e9mocrate pourra investir plus de ressources dans d\u2019autres \u00c9tats o\u00f9 les campagnes s\u2019annoncent serr\u00e9es.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/zqnni\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Lors des \u00e9lections de novembre 2024, 34 si\u00e8ges du S\u00e9nat seront remis en jeu \u2014 dont une \u00e9lection sp\u00e9ciale dans le Nebraska suite \u00e0 la d\u00e9mission du r\u00e9publicain Ben Sasse en janvier. Parmi ceux-ci, 11 sont tenus par des \u00e9lus r\u00e9publicains et 23 par des \u00e9lus d\u00e9mocrates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium \">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/15698833\/embed\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Selon la derni\u00e8re mise \u00e0 jour du Cook Political Report, les R\u00e9publicains ont de tr\u00e8s bonnes chances de conserver 9 de leurs si\u00e8ges, et les D\u00e9mocrates 14&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-207784' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/11\/10\/joe-manchin-ne-se-representera-pas-au-senat-en-2024-mais-ouvre-la-voie-a-une-potentielle-candidature-a-la-presidentielle\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-207784' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.cookpolitical.com\/ratings\/senate-race-ratings&quot;&gt;2024 CPR Senate Race Ratings&lt;\/a&gt;, Cook Political Report, mise \u00e0 jour 9 novembre 2023.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Tandis que deux autres si\u00e8ges occup\u00e9s par des \u00e9lus du GOP ne basculeront probablement pas, deux \u00e9lections pour renouveler des si\u00e8ges d\u00e9mocrates seront tr\u00e8s certainement serr\u00e9es, et une est probablement d\u00e9j\u00e0 perdue (en Virginie-Occidentale).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Consid\u00e9rant que le Parti d\u00e9mocrate ne dispose que d\u2019une courte majorit\u00e9 51-49 au S\u00e9nat, les R\u00e9publicains n\u2019ont besoin que de deux si\u00e8ges pour y obtenir une majorit\u00e9.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/ieQUc\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>La Virginie-Occidentale a subi une transformation radicale au cours des trente derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es, passant du \u00ab&#160;bleu au rouge&#160;\u00bb pour aujourd\u2019hui constituer l\u2019un des \u00c9tats les plus trumpistes du pays&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-207784' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/11\/10\/joe-manchin-ne-se-representera-pas-au-senat-en-2024-mais-ouvre-la-voie-a-une-potentielle-candidature-a-la-presidentielle\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-207784' title='Gerald F. Seib, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/to-understand-joe-manchin-look-at-west-virginias-transformation-11623681011&quot;&gt;To Understand Joe Manchin, Look at West Virginia\u2019s Transformation&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The Wall Street Journal&lt;\/em&gt;, 14 juin 2021.\u00a0'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. En 2020, Donald Trump l\u2019avait remport\u00e9 avec une marge de 38,9&#160;%, soit bien sup\u00e9rieure aux victoires d\u00e9mocrates en Californie, \u00e0 Hawa\u00ef, dans le Massachusetts ou le Vermont.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/z0pNo\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Joe Manchin n\u2019a pour le moment pas annonc\u00e9 sa candidature \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle. Une porte-parole de <em>No Labels <\/em>a quant \u00e0 elle d\u00e9clar\u00e9 que la d\u00e9cision du groupe de soutenir ou non un candidat ne sera pas prise avant d\u00e9but 2024&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-5-207784' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/11\/10\/joe-manchin-ne-se-representera-pas-au-senat-en-2024-mais-ouvre-la-voie-a-une-potentielle-candidature-a-la-presidentielle\/#easy-footnote-bottom-5-207784' title='Liz Goodwin, Amy B Wang et Michael Scherer, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/politics\/2023\/11\/09\/manchin-senate-reelection\/?utm_campaign=wp_the7&amp;amp;utm_medium=email&amp;amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;amp;wpisrc=nl_the7&quot;&gt;Senate Democrat Joe Manchin says he will not seek reelection&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The Washington Post&lt;\/em&gt;, 9 novembre 2023.'><sup>5<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. Bien qu\u2019une part croissante d\u2019Am\u00e9ricains \u2014 dans tout le spectre politique \u2014 souhaite voir \u00e9merger un troisi\u00e8me grand parti, une <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/09\/05\/les-risques-pour-le-parti-democrate-dune-candidature-centriste-de-joe-manchin-en-2024\/#:~:text=Selon%20un%20sondage%20conduit%20par,s%C3%A9natoriale%20de%20novembre%2020241.\">potentielle candidature centriste<\/a> de Manchin serait plus susceptible de nuire \u00e0 Joe Biden qu\u2019\u00e0 Donald Trump, dans un duel probable <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/11\/06\/un-an-avant-les-elections-americaines-de-2024-le-soutien-en-faveur-de-biden-faiblit\/\">qui s\u2019annonce tr\u00e8s serr\u00e9<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jeudi 9 novembre, le s\u00e9nateur d\u00e9mocrate de Virginie-Occidentale Joe Manchin a annonc\u00e9 qu\u2019il ne se repr\u00e9senterait pas lors des \u00e9lections s\u00e9natoriales de novembre 2024. Bien que ses chances de se faire r\u00e9\u00e9lire \u00e9taient faibles, cette annonce complique davantage les perspectives d\u00e9mocrates pour le S\u00e9nat \u2014 et pour la pr\u00e9sidentielle.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":207783,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3691],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[525],"class_list":["post-207784","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-trump-contre-biden-pour-la-maison-blanche-suivre-les-elections-americaines-2024","geo-ameriques"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Joe Manchin ouvre la voie \u00e0 une potentielle candidature \u00e0 la pr\u00e9sidentielle | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/11\/10\/joe-manchin-ne-se-representera-pas-au-senat-en-2024-mais-ouvre-la-voie-a-une-potentielle-candidature-a-la-presidentielle\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Joe Manchin ouvre la voie \u00e0 une potentielle candidature \u00e0 la pr\u00e9sidentielle | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Jeudi 9 novembre, le s\u00e9nateur d\u00e9mocrate de Virginie-Occidentale Joe Manchin a annonc\u00e9 qu\u2019il ne se repr\u00e9senterait pas lors des \u00e9lections s\u00e9natoriales de novembre 2024. Bien que ses chances de se faire r\u00e9\u00e9lire \u00e9taient faibles, cette annonce complique davantage les perspectives d\u00e9mocrates pour le S\u00e9nat \u2014 et pour la pr\u00e9sidentielle.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/11\/10\/joe-manchin-ne-se-representera-pas-au-senat-en-2024-mais-ouvre-la-voie-a-une-potentielle-candidature-a-la-presidentielle\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-11-10T17:10:29+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-01-15T09:12:35+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/gc-non-election-joe-manchin-e1699633826318.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1453\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"812\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" 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