{"id":194721,"date":"2023-08-17T13:16:36","date_gmt":"2023-08-17T11:16:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=194721"},"modified":"2023-08-17T13:17:42","modified_gmt":"2023-08-17T11:17:42","slug":"ou-va-leconomie-russe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/08\/17\/ou-va-leconomie-russe\/","title":{"rendered":"O\u00f9 va l\u2019\u00e9conomie russe&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>La chute du cours du rouble face au dollar am\u00e9ricain dans les jours et semaines ayant suivi l\u2019invasion de l\u2019Ukraine a laiss\u00e9 place, au cours des trois mois suivants, \u00e0 un renforcement de la monnaie russe, en grande partie tir\u00e9 par la hausse des prix du p\u00e9trole et du gaz naturel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Depuis juin 2022 \u2014 lorsqu\u2019un dollar s\u2019\u00e9changeait contre environ 55 roubles, soit presque trois fois moins par rapport au pic atteint en mars \u2014, le double ne cesse de se d\u00e9pr\u00e9cier et a perdu un quart de sa valeur face au dollar depuis le d\u00e9but de l\u2019ann\u00e9e.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En d\u00e9but de semaine, un dollar s\u2019\u00e9changeait contre plus de 100 roubles, soit son niveau le plus faible depuis 17 mois.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/TLocu\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>En r\u00e9action, la Banque centrale russe a convoqu\u00e9 une r\u00e9union d\u2019urgence au cours de laquelle elle a pris la d\u00e9cision mardi 15 ao\u00fbt de relever son taux directeur \u00e0 12&#160;%&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-194721' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/08\/17\/ou-va-leconomie-russe\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-194721' title='Dasha Litvinova et David McHugh, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/russia-central-bank-ruble-interest-rates-a680b840eaae767471180e2dca34fc86&quot;&gt;Russia\u2019s central bank makes huge interest rate hike to try to prop up falling ruble&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Associated Press&lt;\/em&gt;, 15 ao\u00fbt 2023.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. Cependant, plusieurs experts sont sceptiques face \u00e0 l\u2019efficacit\u00e9 de cette mesure qui ne mettra pas fin \u00e0 des faiblesses structurelles renforc\u00e9es par les cons\u00e9quences de la guerre et les <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/08\/03\/les-sanctions-contre-la-russie-sont-elles-efficaces\/\">sanctions occidentales<\/a>&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-194721' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/08\/17\/ou-va-leconomie-russe\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-194721' title='Georgi Kantchev et Chelsey Dulaney, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/russia-imposes-emergency-interest-rate-rise-to-halt-ruble-selloff-f3668bd1&quot;&gt;Russia Launches Emergency Rate Increase to Stem Economic Turmoil&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The Wall Street Journal&lt;\/em&gt;, 15 ao\u00fbt 2023.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/7sJK8\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>La mise en place en d\u00e9cembre d\u2019un <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/12\/05\/les-nouvelles-sanctions-vont-elles-affecter-la-manne-petroliere-russe\/\">plafonnement du prix du baril de p\u00e9trole russe<\/a> \u00e0 60 $ par une coalition de pays occidentaux a contribu\u00e9 \u00e0 la chute de 15&#160;% des revenus de la Russie entre janvier et juillet par rapport \u00e0 la m\u00eame p\u00e9riode l\u2019ann\u00e9e pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-194721' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/08\/17\/ou-va-leconomie-russe\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-194721' title='\u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.economist.com\/finance-and-economics\/2023\/08\/14\/russia-will-struggle-to-cope-with-a-sinking-rouble&quot;&gt;Russia will struggle to cope with a sinking rouble&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The Economist&lt;\/em&gt;, 14 ao\u00fbt 2023.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dans le m\u00eame temps, les importations russes ont significativement augment\u00e9 afin d\u2019alimenter l\u2019effort de guerre, ce qui a conduit \u00e0 une importante r\u00e9duction de la balance commerciale.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/OQmS7\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Bien que l\u2019indice des prix \u00e0 la consommation soit \u2014 pour le moment \u2014 inf\u00e9rieur en Russie par rapport aux pays de la zone euro, l\u2019affaiblissement de l\u2019offre aliment\u00e9 par la perte d\u2019une partie importante de la main d\u2019\u0153uvre devrait tr\u00e8s certainement conduire \u00e0 une augmentation plus durable de l\u2019inflation, contribuant \u00e0 l\u2019affaiblissement du pouvoir d\u2019achat de la population russe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/t69f4\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Afin d\u2019essayer de limiter les impacts des sanctions occidentales sur son \u00e9conomie, Moscou a annonc\u00e9 mardi lancer la phase de test de son rouble num\u00e9rique, un projet dont le lancement a \u00e9t\u00e9 annonc\u00e9 en 2020&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-194721' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/08\/17\/ou-va-leconomie-russe\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-194721' title='&lt;a href=&quot;http:\/\/www.cbr.ru\/StaticHtml\/File\/113008\/Consultation_Paper_201013_eng.pdf&quot;&gt;A digital rouble. Consultation paper&lt;\/a&gt;, Banque centrale russe, octobre 2020.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. Reposant sur la technologie blockchain, les monnaies num\u00e9riques de banque centrale (CBDC) peuvent, sans protocoles de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 ad\u00e9quats, \u00ab&#160;consid\u00e9rablement amplifier la port\u00e9e et l&rsquo;ampleur de nombreuses menaces pour la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 et la vie priv\u00e9e qui existent d\u00e9j\u00e0 dans le syst\u00e8me financier&#160;\u00bb, et notamment \u00eatre utilis\u00e9es pour exercer un contr\u00f4le sur les transactions priv\u00e9es des citoyens&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-5-194721' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/08\/17\/ou-va-leconomie-russe\/#easy-footnote-bottom-5-194721' title='Giulia Fanti, Joshua Lipsky et Ole Moehr, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/Publications\/fandd\/issues\/2022\/09\/Central-bankers-new-cybersecurity-challenge-Fanti-Lipsky-Moehr&quot;&gt;Central Bankers\u2019 New Cybersecurity Challenge&lt;\/a&gt;, Atlantic Council, septembre 2022.'><sup>5<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mardi 15 ao\u00fbt, la Banque centrale russe a annonc\u00e9 une hausse de 3,5&#160;&#160;% de son taux directeur visant \u00e0 stabiliser l\u2019inflation, en hausse depuis le mois d\u2019avril. Cette d\u00e9cision vise \u00e9galement \u00e0 amortir la chute du rouble face au dollar, qui a atteint son niveau le plus faible depuis 17 mois.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":194725,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1727],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[550],"class_list":["post-194721","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economie","geo-russie"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>O\u00f9 va l\u2019\u00e9conomie russe ? | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/08\/17\/ou-va-leconomie-russe\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"O\u00f9 va l\u2019\u00e9conomie russe ? | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Mardi 15 ao\u00fbt, la Banque centrale russe a annonc\u00e9 une hausse de 3,5&#160;% de son taux directeur visant \u00e0 stabiliser l\u2019inflation, en hausse depuis le mois d\u2019avril. 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