{"id":184665,"date":"2023-05-10T18:39:10","date_gmt":"2023-05-10T16:39:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=184665"},"modified":"2024-02-27T16:53:52","modified_gmt":"2024-02-27T15:53:52","slug":"libre-accesla-perspective-dune-defaite-russe-en-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/05\/10\/libre-accesla-perspective-dune-defaite-russe-en-ukraine\/","title":{"rendered":"[Libre acc\u00e8s] La perspective d\u2019une d\u00e9faite russe en Ukraine\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/03\/06\/poutine-veut-une-guerre-eternelle-une-conversation-avec-grigori-yudin\/\">Selon le sociologue et politologue russe Grigory Yudin<\/a>, les Russes qui occupent une position importante dans la vie politique et \u00e9conomique du pays consid\u00e8rent de plus en plus l\u2019\u00e9ventualit\u00e9 d\u2019une d\u00e9faite de l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe en Ukraine&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-184665' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/05\/10\/libre-accesla-perspective-dune-defaite-russe-en-ukraine\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-184665' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/twitter.com\/YudinGreg\/status\/1656074583559262208&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot; rel=&quot;noreferrer noopener&quot;&gt;Fil Twitter de Yudin&lt;\/a&gt;, 10 mai 2023.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Bien que les sondages du Levada Center indiquent que la population russe dans son ensemble soutient toujours (72&#160;% en mars 2023) l\u2019invasion de l\u2019Ukraine, certaines personnalit\u00e9s expriment publiquement leurs doutes quant \u00e0 une victoire militaire de la Russie.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Depuis plusieurs mois, le chef du groupe Wagner Evgueni Prigogine critique publiquement le Kremlin ainsi que l\u2019\u00e9tat-major russe et avertit que les forces russes pourraient \u00eatre d\u00e9faites \u00e0 Bakhmout si celles-ci ne re\u00e7oivent pas davantage d\u2019obus et de munitions.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Lundi 8 mai, l\u2019oligarque russe et magnat de l\u2019immobilier Andrey Kovalev soulignait sur sa cha\u00eene Telegram les \u00e9checs russes cons\u00e9cutifs en Ukraine ainsi que l\u2019\u00e9cart entre la situation sur le terrain et la mani\u00e8re dont les faits sont rapport\u00e9s en Russie&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-184665' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/05\/10\/libre-accesla-perspective-dune-defaite-russe-en-ukraine\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-184665' title='\u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/videos\/world\/2023\/05\/08\/russian-oligarch-criticizes-putin-war-ukraine-nc-vpx.cnn&quot;&gt;&amp;lsquo;There is trouble&amp;rsquo;&amp;#160;: CNN reporter after Russian oligarch publicly criticizes war in Ukraine&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;CNN&lt;\/em&gt;, 8 mai 2023.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/3nJyp\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c0 Moscou, les autorit\u00e9s \u2014 conscientes du r\u00f4le crucial jou\u00e9 par le narratif \u2014 fournissent aux m\u00e9dias pro-gouvernementaux des \u00e9l\u00e9ments de langage \u00e0 utiliser en fonction des r\u00e9sultats de la contre-offensive ukrainienne qui devrait \u00eatre lanc\u00e9e dans les prochaines semaines. Selon le m\u00e9dia ind\u00e9pendant <em>Meduza<\/em>, le Kremlin pr\u00e9pare les journalistes russes \u00e0 \u00ab&#160;ne pas minimiser les attentes concernant la contre-offensive soutenue par l&rsquo;OTAN&#160;\u00bb et \u00e0 \u00e9viter de mentionner les sommes allou\u00e9es pour reconstruire les infrastructures d\u00e9truites dans la partie occup\u00e9e de l\u2019Ukraine&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-184665' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/05\/10\/libre-accesla-perspective-dune-defaite-russe-en-ukraine\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-184665' title='Andrey Pertsev, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/meduza.io\/en\/feature\/2023\/05\/03\/if-ukraine-succeeds-it-should-be-explainable&quot;&gt;\u2018If Ukraine succeeds, it should be explainable\u2019. How Moscow is instructing Russian propaganda outlets to cover Kyiv\u2019s looming counteroffensive&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Meduza&lt;\/em&gt;, 3 mai 2023.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/offre\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Abonnez-vous pour acc\u00e9der \u00e0 l&rsquo;int\u00e9gralit\u00e9 des contenus du Grand Continent en ligne et sur votre bo\u00eete mail.<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/5r7ZR\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>S\u2019il est peu probable \u00e0 court et moyen terme que l\u2019arm\u00e9e russe soit enti\u00e8rement d\u00e9faite et repouss\u00e9e au-del\u00e0 des fronti\u00e8res ukrainiennes \u2014&nbsp;y compris hors de Crim\u00e9e \u2014, il faut n\u00e9anmoins anticiper ce \u00e0 quoi une d\u00e9faite russe pourrait ressembler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Dans la logique du r\u00e9gime de Poutine ainsi que pour de nombreux Russes interrog\u00e9s par Yudin, il est inconcevable de reconna\u00eetre une d\u00e9faite militaire car \u00ab&#160;si la Russie ne prend pas Kiev, ils [l\u2019OTAN] prendront Moscou de toute fa\u00e7on&#160;\u00bb.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dans son <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/05\/09\/la-peur-et-lacharnement\/\">discours<\/a> prononc\u00e9 mardi 9 mai \u00e0 l\u2019occasion de la comm\u00e9moration de la victoire de 1945, Vladimir Poutine accusait les \u00ab&#160;les \u00e9lites mondialistes occidentales&#160;\u00bb de chercher \u00e0 \u00ab&#160;achever la d\u00e9sint\u00e9gration et l\u2019an\u00e9antissement de notre pays&#160;\u00bb.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En consid\u00e9rant que la Russie a \u00e9conomiquement et diplomatiquement perdu en lan\u00e7ant son invasion en f\u00e9vrier 2022 \u2014 et qu\u2019elle n\u2019a jusqu\u2019\u00e0 pr\u00e9sent pas r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 gagner militairement \u2014, une \u00ab&#160;d\u00e9faite&#160;\u00bb russe devrait passer par une d\u00e9faite de Poutine lui-m\u00eame. Le 17 mars, la Cour P\u00e9nale Internationale ouvrait une piste en ce sens sous la forme d\u2019un mandat d\u2019arr\u00eat international contre le pr\u00e9sident russe pour d\u00e9portation et transfert ill\u00e9gal de population&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-184665' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/05\/10\/libre-accesla-perspective-dune-defaite-russe-en-ukraine\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-184665' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.icc-cpi.int\/news\/situation-ukraine-icc-judges-issue-arrest-warrants-against-vladimir-vladimirovich-putin-and&quot;&gt;Situation in Ukraine&amp;#160;: ICC judges issue arrest warrants against Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin and Maria Alekseyevna Lvova-Belova&lt;\/a&gt;, Cour P\u00e9nale Internationale, 17 mars 2023.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Plus d\u2019un an apr\u00e8s le lancement de l\u2019invasion de l\u2019Ukraine en f\u00e9vrier 2022, Moscou continue d\u2019allouer des moyens humains et mat\u00e9riels consid\u00e9rables pour sa guerre, sans v\u00e9ritable perspective de victoire. Dans le m\u00eame temps, le mot \u00ab&#160;&#160;d\u00e9faite&#160;&#160;\u00bb se r\u00e9pand en Russie. Grigory Yudin nous aide \u00e0 faire le point.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":184678,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-184665","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorised","geo-europe"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>[Libre acc\u00e8s] La perspective d\u2019une d\u00e9faite russe en Ukraine\u00a0 | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2023\/05\/10\/libre-accesla-perspective-dune-defaite-russe-en-ukraine\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"[Libre acc\u00e8s] La perspective d\u2019une d\u00e9faite russe en Ukraine\u00a0 | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Plus d\u2019un an apr\u00e8s le lancement de l\u2019invasion de l\u2019Ukraine en f\u00e9vrier 2022, Moscou continue d\u2019allouer des moyens humains et mat\u00e9riels consid\u00e9rables pour sa guerre, sans v\u00e9ritable perspective de victoire. 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