{"id":169881,"date":"2022-12-01T11:12:30","date_gmt":"2022-12-01T10:12:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=169881"},"modified":"2022-12-01T18:11:13","modified_gmt":"2022-12-01T17:11:13","slug":"les-consequences-de-lemigration-russe-en-asie-centrale-et-dans-le-caucase","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/12\/01\/les-consequences-de-lemigration-russe-en-asie-centrale-et-dans-le-caucase\/","title":{"rendered":"Les cons\u00e9quences de l\u2019\u00e9migration russe vers l&rsquo;Asie centrale et le Caucase"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Suite \u00e0 l\u2019annonce de <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/09\/21\/que-va-changer-la-mobilisation-partielle-annoncee-par-poutine\/\">la mobilisation partielle<\/a>, d\u00e9cr\u00e9t\u00e9e le 21 septembre par Vladimir Poutine, il \u00e9tait estim\u00e9 \u00e0 la fin du mois de septembre qu\u2019environ 260 000 Russes avaient quitt\u00e9 le pays. Or, comme nous l\u2019expliquions, <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/09\/29\/le-chiffre-de-260-000-citoyens-russes-ayant-quitte-le-pays-depuis-lannonce-dune-mobilisation-partielle-pourrait-etre-sous-estime\/\">ce chiffre \u00e9tait en r\u00e9alit\u00e9 sous-estim\u00e9<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/ZZNOm\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Selon les donn\u00e9es communiqu\u00e9es par les minist\u00e8res du Travail et de l\u2019Int\u00e9rieur des pays du Caucase et d\u2019Asie centrale ce chiffre s&rsquo;\u00e9l\u00e8ve \u00e0 environ 700 000 depuis le d\u00e9but de la guerre&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-169881' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/12\/01\/les-consequences-de-lemigration-russe-en-asie-centrale-et-dans-le-caucase\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-169881' title='Timur Khairutdinov, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/paperpaper.ru\/za-2022-j-minimum-700-tysyach-rossiyan-nadolgo-u\/&quot;&gt;\u0417\u0430 2022-\u0439 \u043c\u0438\u043d\u0438\u043c\u0443\u043c 700 \u0442\u044b\u0441\u044f\u0447 \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u044f\u043d \u043d\u0430\u0434\u043e\u043b\u0433\u043e \u0443\u0435\u0437\u0436\u0430\u043b\u0438 \u0432 \u0434\u0440\u0443\u0433\u0438\u0435 \u0441\u0442\u0440\u0430\u043d\u044b. \u00ab&amp;#160;\u0411\u0443\u043c\u0430\u0433\u0430&amp;#160;\u00bb \u043f\u043e\u043f\u044b\u0442\u0430\u043b\u0430\u0441\u044c \u043f\u043e\u0434\u0441\u0447\u0438\u0442\u0430\u0442\u044c \u0447\u0438\u0441\u043b\u043e \u044d\u043c\u0438\u0433\u0440\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0432\u0448\u0438\u0445 \u043d\u0430\u0432\u0441\u0435\u0433\u0434\u0430&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;\u0411\u0443\u043c\u0430\u0433\u0438&lt;\/em&gt;, 8 novembre 2022.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les Russes, fuyant pour des raisons \u00e9conomiques, politiques ou pour \u00e9viter la conscription, se rendent principalement en Ouzb\u00e9kistan et au Kirghizistan.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Selon le d\u00e9mographe Aleksey Raksha, ce sont principalement les jeunes hommes \u00e2g\u00e9s de 20 \u00e0 35 ans qui \u00e9migrent \u00e0 l\u2019international.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>D\u2019ici la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e, 3&#160;% des hommes russes appartenant \u00e0 cette tranche d\u2019\u00e2ge pourraient avoir quitt\u00e9 le pays&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-169881' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/12\/01\/les-consequences-de-lemigration-russe-en-asie-centrale-et-dans-le-caucase\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-169881' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/t.me\/agentstvonews\/1734&quot;&gt;\u0410\u0433\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e. \u041d\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438&lt;\/a&gt;, Telegram, 31 octobre 2022.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium \">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/12017541\/embed\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Si la Turquie n\u2019a pas communiqu\u00e9 de chiffres officiels sur le nombre de citoyens russes install\u00e9s dans le pays depuis le d\u00e9but de la guerre, les achats de maisons par les ressortissants russes permettent quelques estimations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Depuis le d\u00e9but de l\u2019ann\u00e9e, 11 334 maisons en Turquie ont \u00e9t\u00e9 achet\u00e9es par des citoyens russes \u2014 principalement \u00e0 Istanbul, Ankara et Antalya.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ce chiffre est quatre fois plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 que l\u2019ann\u00e9e pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente et correspond \u00e0 presque sept fois la moyenne 2015-2021 au mois d\u2019octobre.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/LbjIm\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Cette \u00e9migration massive est, dans une certaine mesure, vecteur de prosp\u00e9rit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique. En G\u00e9orgie \u2014 o\u00f9 l\u2019\u00e9migration russe cette ann\u00e9e repr\u00e9sente l\u2019\u00e9quivalent de 3&#160;% de la population \u2014, le Fonds mon\u00e9taire international pr\u00e9voit une croissance inesp\u00e9r\u00e9e de 10&#160;% cette ann\u00e9e, contre 3&#160;% dans les derni\u00e8res pr\u00e9visions d\u2019avril. Cette augmentation s\u2019explique par \u00ab&#160;le dynamisme des recettes touristiques, l&rsquo;augmentation de l&rsquo;immigration et des flux financiers d\u00e9clench\u00e9s par la guerre ainsi que la hausse du commerce \u00e0 travers la G\u00e9orgie&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-169881' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/12\/01\/les-consequences-de-lemigration-russe-en-asie-centrale-et-dans-le-caucase\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-169881' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/News\/Articles\/2022\/11\/06\/pr22374-Georgia-IMF-Reaches-Staff-Level-Agreement-First-Review-Georgia-Stand-By-Arrangement#:~:text=%E2%80%9CGrowth%20is%20now%20projected%20at,the%20year%20at%2010%C2%BD%20percent.&quot;&gt;IMF Reaches Staff-Level Agreement on First Review for Georgia\u2019s Stand-By Arrangement&lt;\/a&gt;, Fonds mon\u00e9taire international, 7 novembre 2022.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/ujQuv\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Cependant, cette forte immigration russe, cumul\u00e9e aux cons\u00e9quences directes de la guerre \u2014 les \u00e9conomies des pays de la r\u00e9gion \u00e9tant li\u00e9es \u00e0 la Russie, les cons\u00e9quences n\u00e9gatives ont \u00e9t\u00e9 en partie compens\u00e9e par les recettes touristiques \u2014 conduit \u00e0 une forte augmentation de l\u2019inflation.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>D&rsquo;ici 2023, l\u2019inflation devrait accro\u00eetre le taux de pauvret\u00e9 de 0,7&#160;% en moyenne dans la plupart des pays de la r\u00e9gion.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Il existe \u00e9galement un risque qu\u2019\u00e0 terme cette vague d\u2019\u00e9migration conduise \u00e0 une r\u00e9duction du nombre d\u2019emplois disponibles dans ces pays o\u00f9 le taux de ch\u00f4mage est d\u00e9j\u00e0 important, notamment en raison du Covid-19&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-169881' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/12\/01\/les-consequences-de-lemigration-russe-en-asie-centrale-et-dans-le-caucase\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-169881' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.oecd.org\/coronavirus\/policy-responses\/covid-19-crisis-response-in-central-asia-5305f172\/&quot;&gt;COVID-19 crisis response in Central Asia&lt;\/a&gt;, OCDE, 16 novembre 2020.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On estime que, d\u2019ici la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e, environ un million de Russes pourraient quitter le pays pour s\u2019installer \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9tranger. Ce choix, largement motiv\u00e9 par des raisons \u00e9conomiques ou pour \u00e9chapper \u00e0 la mobilisation, touche principalement les jeunes hommes \u00e2g\u00e9s de 20 \u00e0 35 ans. Cette \u00e9migration massive ainsi que les cons\u00e9quences m\u00eames de la guerre impactent durement l\u2019\u00e9conomie des pays du Caucase et d\u2019Asie centrale.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":169880,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1727],"tags":[],"geo":[550],"class_list":["post-169881","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economie","geo-russie"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Les cons\u00e9quences de l\u2019\u00e9migration russe vers l&#039;Asie centrale et le Caucase | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/12\/01\/les-consequences-de-lemigration-russe-en-asie-centrale-et-dans-le-caucase\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Les cons\u00e9quences de l\u2019\u00e9migration russe vers l&#039;Asie centrale et le Caucase | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"On estime que, d\u2019ici la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e, environ un million de Russes pourraient quitter le pays pour s\u2019installer \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9tranger. Ce choix, largement motiv\u00e9 par des raisons \u00e9conomiques ou pour \u00e9chapper \u00e0 la mobilisation, touche principalement les jeunes hommes \u00e2g\u00e9s de 20 \u00e0 35 ans. Cette \u00e9migration massive ainsi que les cons\u00e9quences m\u00eames de la guerre impactent durement l\u2019\u00e9conomie des pays du Caucase et d\u2019Asie centrale.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/12\/01\/les-consequences-de-lemigration-russe-en-asie-centrale-et-dans-le-caucase\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-12-01T10:12:30+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-12-01T17:11:13+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/12\/Capture-de\u0301cran-2022-12-01-a\u0300-11.05.55-990x575.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"990\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"575\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" 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