{"id":162919,"date":"2022-10-11T18:07:30","date_gmt":"2022-10-11T16:07:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=162919"},"modified":"2022-10-11T18:08:59","modified_gmt":"2022-10-11T16:08:59","slug":"litalie-et-lallemagne-vont-entrer-en-recession-en-2023-selon-le-fmi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/11\/litalie-et-lallemagne-vont-entrer-en-recession-en-2023-selon-le-fmi\/","title":{"rendered":"L\u2019Italie et l\u2019Allemagne vont entrer en r\u00e9cession en 2023, selon le FMI"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Il s\u2019agit des pr\u00e9visions de croissance les plus faibles publi\u00e9es par le Fonds mon\u00e9taire international depuis 2001 \u2014 exceptions faites pour la pand\u00e9mie et la crise financi\u00e8re de 2008. Ainsi, l\u2019organisation pr\u00e9voit que la croissance mondiale devrait passer de 6&#160;% en 2021 \u00e0 3,2&#160;% en 2022, et seulement 2,7&#160;% en 2023&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-162919' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/11\/litalie-et-lallemagne-vont-entrer-en-recession-en-2023-selon-le-fmi\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-162919' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/Publications\/WEO\/Issues\/2022\/10\/11\/world-economic-outlook-october-2022&quot;&gt;World Economic Outlook&amp;#160;: Countering the Cost-of-Living Crisis&lt;\/a&gt;, Fonds mon\u00e9taire international, 11 octobre 2022.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/LyX1Y\/2\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Ce sont les \u00e9conomies en d\u00e9veloppement qui devraient conna\u00eetre la croissance la plus importante en 2023, avec une moyenne de 3,7&#160;% contre seulement 1,1&#160;% pour les \u00e9conomies d\u00e9velopp\u00e9es.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>En Afrique subsaharienne, la croissance devrait continuer \u00e0 augmenter en 2023, passant de 3,58 points cette ann\u00e9e \u00e0 3,71.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u00c0 l\u2019\u00e9chelle r\u00e9gionale, c\u2019est l\u2019Union europ\u00e9enne et les \u00c9tats-Unis qui devraient conna\u00eetre la plus faible hausse de leur PIB l\u2019an prochain avec respectivement 0,66&#160;% et 1&#160;% d\u2019augmentation, selon les projections du FMI.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/I4Y2N\/4\/ \" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c0 l\u2019int\u00e9rieur de l\u2019Union europ\u00e9enne, les pr\u00e9visions les plus alarmantes concernent l\u2019Italie et l\u2019Allemagne, qui devraient toutes deux entrer en r\u00e9cession l\u2019an prochain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les deux \u00c9tats-membres sont consid\u00e9r\u00e9s comme \u00e9tant les pays du G7 les plus expos\u00e9s \u00e0 la crise des approvisionnements \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques provoqu\u00e9s par la guerre en Ukraine.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dans son rapport publi\u00e9 le 6 octobre dernier, <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/07\/quels-etats-membres-sont-les-plus-exposes-a-des-risques-de-penuries-de-gaz-cet-hiver\/\">l\u2019Economist Intelligence Unit classait l\u2019Allemagne comme \u00e9tant expos\u00e9e \u00e0 un risque \u00ab&#160;\u00e9lev\u00e9&#160;\u00bb de coupures de gaz cet hiver<\/a>, et un risque \u00ab&#160;moyen&#160;\u00bb pour l\u2019Italie.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Tous deux sont toutefois tr\u00e8s expos\u00e9s aux effets secondaires li\u00e9s \u00e0 des coupures de gaz&#160;: ralentissement voire arr\u00eat de certaines productions, effet sur les services publics ainsi que sur les consommations des m\u00e9nages&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-162919' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/11\/litalie-et-lallemagne-vont-entrer-en-recession-en-2023-selon-le-fmi\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-162919' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.eiu.com\/n\/campaigns\/risk-outlook-2022\/#:~:text=The%20post%2Dpandemic%20economic%20rebound,that%20could%20derail%20the%20recovery.&quot;&gt;Global economic outlook 2022&lt;\/a&gt;, Economist Intelligence Unit, 5 octobre 2022.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/EHh8f\/2\/ \" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c0 l\u2019\u00e9chelle mondiale, rares sont les pays qui devraient terminer l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2022 sous la barre des 5&#160;% d\u2019inflation en pourcentage de changement annuel. Les \u00e9conomies de l\u2019Est du continent europ\u00e9en sont les plus touch\u00e9es par ce ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne global.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-large  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/FOcfC\/1\/ \" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Selon Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, l\u2019\u00e9conomiste en chef du FMI, la priorit\u00e9 devrait \u00eatre de veiller \u00e0 ce que les march\u00e9s restent stables. Ainsi, les politiques mon\u00e9taires doivent s\u2019assurer de r\u00e9tablir la stabilit\u00e9 des prix, et les politiques budg\u00e9taires doivent viser \u00e0 att\u00e9nuer les pressions sur le co\u00fbt de la vie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/1xcXg\/2\/ \" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Ces derniers mois, les principales banques centrales sont entr\u00e9es dans une course \u00e0 la hausse de leurs taux directeurs afin d\u2019essayer d\u2019att\u00e9nuer les effets de l\u2019inflation. En juillet dernier <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/07\/21\/la-bce-augmente-ses-taux-directeurs-de-05-point-de-base-premiere-remontee-de-taux-depuis-11-ans\/\">la Banque centrale europ\u00e9enne d\u00e9cidait d\u2019augmenter ses taux directeurs pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis 11 ans<\/a>, tandis que la FED a proc\u00e9d\u00e9 \u00e0 cinq hausses successives depuis mars dernier.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le Fonds mon\u00e9taire international vient de publier aujourd\u2019hui ses perspectives \u00e9conomiques dans lesquelles le risque d\u2019une r\u00e9cession mondiale se fait de plus en plus important. En Europe, l\u2019Italie et l\u2019Allemagne devraient \u00eatre les pays les plus touch\u00e9s l\u2019an prochain, particuli\u00e8rement en raison de leur d\u00e9pendance au gaz. Une analyse en six points, trois graphs et deux cartes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":162926,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1727],"tags":[],"geo":[1917],"class_list":["post-162919","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economie","geo-europe"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>L\u2019Italie et l\u2019Allemagne vont entrer en r\u00e9cession en 2023, selon le FMI | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/11\/litalie-et-lallemagne-vont-entrer-en-recession-en-2023-selon-le-fmi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"L\u2019Italie et l\u2019Allemagne vont entrer en r\u00e9cession en 2023, selon le FMI | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Le Fonds mon\u00e9taire international vient de publier aujourd\u2019hui ses perspectives \u00e9conomiques dans lesquelles le risque d\u2019une r\u00e9cession mondiale se fait de plus en plus important. En Europe, l\u2019Italie et l\u2019Allemagne devraient \u00eatre les pays les plus touch\u00e9s l\u2019an prochain, particuli\u00e8rement en raison de leur d\u00e9pendance au gaz. Une analyse en six points, trois graphs et deux cartes.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/11\/litalie-et-lallemagne-vont-entrer-en-recession-en-2023-selon-le-fmi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-10-11T16:07:30+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-10-11T16:08:59+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/10\/Previsions-octobre-FMI_GC.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1099\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/10\/Previsions-octobre-FMI_GC.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/11\/litalie-et-lallemagne-vont-entrer-en-recession-en-2023-selon-le-fmi\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/11\/litalie-et-lallemagne-vont-entrer-en-recession-en-2023-selon-le-fmi\/\",\"name\":\"L\u2019Italie et l\u2019Allemagne vont entrer en r\u00e9cession en 2023, selon le FMI | Le Grand Continent\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/11\/litalie-et-lallemagne-vont-entrer-en-recession-en-2023-selon-le-fmi\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/11\/litalie-et-lallemagne-vont-entrer-en-recession-en-2023-selon-le-fmi\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/10\/SIPA_AP22727400_000001-scaled-e1665504525931.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-10-11T16:07:30+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-10-11T16:08:59+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/#\/schema\/person\/e4f85f52220fc7b4cc3cfdb86d88e833\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/11\/litalie-et-lallemagne-vont-entrer-en-recession-en-2023-selon-le-fmi\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/11\/litalie-et-lallemagne-vont-entrer-en-recession-en-2023-selon-le-fmi\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/11\/litalie-et-lallemagne-vont-entrer-en-recession-en-2023-selon-le-fmi\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/10\/SIPA_AP22727400_000001-scaled-e1665504525931.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/10\/SIPA_AP22727400_000001-scaled-e1665504525931.jpg\",\"width\":1536,\"height\":1657,\"caption\":\"A regional train passes fog-covered fields in Wehrheim near Frankfurt, Germany, early Friday, Oct. 7, 2022. 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