{"id":162111,"date":"2022-10-04T16:43:11","date_gmt":"2022-10-04T14:43:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lgctesting.piramid.studio\/fr\/2022\/10\/04\/la-baisse-de-la-demographie-chinoise-constitue-un-defi-pour-xi-jinping\/"},"modified":"2022-10-11T11:26:18","modified_gmt":"2022-10-11T09:26:18","slug":"la-baisse-de-la-demographie-chinoise-constitue-un-defi-pour-xi-jinping","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/04\/la-baisse-de-la-demographie-chinoise-constitue-un-defi-pour-xi-jinping\/","title":{"rendered":"La baisse de la population chinoise constitue un d\u00e9fi pour Xi Jinping"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<ul>\n<li>Selon les derni\u00e8res pr\u00e9visions du D\u00e9partement des Affaires \u00e9conomiques et sociales de l\u2019ONU publi\u00e9es en juillet dernier,<a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/07\/12\/la-demographie-mondiale-est-en-train-de-changer\/\"> la population chinoise devrait commencer \u00e0 d\u00e9cro\u00eetre d\u00e8s 2023<\/a>. L\u2019ann\u00e9e suivante, elle devrait \u00eatre d\u00e9pass\u00e9e par la population de l\u2019Inde.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/1hCNB\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>Dans un sc\u00e9nario encore plus pessimiste publi\u00e9 dans une \u00e9tude publi\u00e9e par HSBC, James Pomeroy d\u00e9fend la th\u00e8se d\u2019un d\u00e9clin global du taux de f\u00e9condit\u00e9 qui laisse penser que ce sc\u00e9nario devrait \u00eatre consid\u00e9rablement revu \u00e0 la baisse, conduisant \u00e0 <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/08\/25\/la-population-mondiale-pourrait-diminuer-de-moitie-dici-la-fin-du-siecle\/\">une diminution de moiti\u00e9 de la population actuelle d\u2019ici 2100<\/a>&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-162111' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/04\/la-baisse-de-la-demographie-chinoise-constitue-un-defi-pour-xi-jinping\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-162111' title='Global Demographics, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.research.hsbc.com\/C\/1\/1\/320\/cjGpNND&quot;&gt;How soon will the world\u2019s population be shrinking&amp;#160;?&lt;\/a&gt;, HSBC Global Research, 12 juillet 2022.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/OMvfp\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>Ce sc\u00e9nario est similaire dans un nombre important de pays, particuli\u00e8rement en Europe de l\u2019Est mais \u00e9galement dans certains pays de l\u2019Asie de l\u2019Est et du Sud-Est ainsi que d\u2019Am\u00e9rique latine et des Cara\u00efbes.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/ZUFhy\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>Il s\u2019explique en grande partie par un faible taux de fertilit\u00e9, qui s\u2019\u00e9levait \u00e0 seulement 1,7 en Chine en 2020, un taux inf\u00e9rieur \u00e0 celui de la France. Le taux de natalit\u00e9 a quant \u00e0 lui \u00e9galement chut\u00e9 ces derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es, avec une baisse de plus de 45&#160;% entre 2012 et 2021 \u2014 soit depuis l\u2019arriv\u00e9e de Xi Jinping au pouvoir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/4B7tC\/3\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>L\u2019enjeu d\u00e9mographique sera particuli\u00e8rement crucial pour le troisi\u00e8me mandat de Xi Jinping. Outre le plan symbolique, le vieillissement de la population conduira le pays \u00e0 la fois \u00e0 une baisse de la main-d&rsquo;\u0153uvre disponible, mais accro\u00eetra \u00e9galement les d\u00e9penses de sant\u00e9, auxquelles certaines collectivit\u00e9s ont d\u00e9j\u00e0 du mal \u00e0 faire face&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-162111' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/04\/la-baisse-de-la-demographie-chinoise-constitue-un-defi-pour-xi-jinping\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-162111' title='Eleanor Olcott, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/199c92ca-4f1e-4898-9152-d021936f6ab4&quot;&gt;China\u2019s demographic crisis looms over Xi Jinping\u2019s third term&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The Financial Times&lt;\/em&gt;, 3 septembre 2022.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/2cqaQ\/4\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>Le contexte sanitaire marqu\u00e9 par des <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/04\/22\/shanghai-temoignages-de-lenfer-confine\/\">confinements drastiques r\u00e9p\u00e9t\u00e9s<\/a> depuis plus de deux ans dans les grandes villes du pays aura un impact lors des ann\u00e9es et d\u00e9cennies \u00e0 venir sur le taux de natalit\u00e9 chinois. Une d\u00e9mographie plus faible contraindra P\u00e9kin \u00e0 repenser son mod\u00e8le \u00e9conomique qui, contrairement \u00e0 celui des \u00e9conomies d\u00e9velopp\u00e9es, n\u2019est pas ax\u00e9 sur la consommation.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le pr\u00e9sident chinois Xi Jinping devrait \u00eatre reconduit pour un troisi\u00e8me mandat lors du XX\u00e8me Congr\u00e8s du Parti communiste chinois qui se tiendra le 16 octobre prochain. Cependant, la baisse de la population dans les ann\u00e9es \u00e0 venir risque d\u2019affaiblir son gouvernement et de contraindre le pays \u00e0 repenser son mod\u00e8le \u00e9conomique.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":162112,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1926],"tags":[],"geo":[531],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>La baisse de la population chinoise constitue un d\u00e9fi pour Xi Jinping | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/04\/la-baisse-de-la-demographie-chinoise-constitue-un-defi-pour-xi-jinping\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"La baisse de la population chinoise constitue un d\u00e9fi pour Xi Jinping | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Le pr\u00e9sident chinois Xi Jinping devrait \u00eatre reconduit pour un troisi\u00e8me mandat lors du XX\u00e8me Congr\u00e8s du Parti communiste chinois qui se tiendra le 16 octobre prochain. Cependant, la baisse de la population dans les ann\u00e9es \u00e0 venir risque d\u2019affaiblir son gouvernement et de contraindre le pays \u00e0 repenser son mod\u00e8le \u00e9conomique.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/04\/la-baisse-de-la-demographie-chinoise-constitue-un-defi-pour-xi-jinping\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-10-04T14:43:11+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-10-11T09:26:18+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/04\/la-baisse-de-la-demographie-chinoise-constitue-un-defi-pour-xi-jinping\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/04\/la-baisse-de-la-demographie-chinoise-constitue-un-defi-pour-xi-jinping\/\",\"name\":\"La baisse de la population chinoise constitue un d\u00e9fi pour Xi Jinping | Le Grand Continent\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/04\/la-baisse-de-la-demographie-chinoise-constitue-un-defi-pour-xi-jinping\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/04\/la-baisse-de-la-demographie-chinoise-constitue-un-defi-pour-xi-jinping\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/10\/SIPA_AP22724868_000009-scaled-1.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-10-04T14:43:11+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-10-11T09:26:18+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/#\/schema\/person\/e4f85f52220fc7b4cc3cfdb86d88e833\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/04\/la-baisse-de-la-demographie-chinoise-constitue-un-defi-pour-xi-jinping\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/04\/la-baisse-de-la-demographie-chinoise-constitue-un-defi-pour-xi-jinping\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/10\/04\/la-baisse-de-la-demographie-chinoise-constitue-un-defi-pour-xi-jinping\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/10\/SIPA_AP22724868_000009-scaled-1.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/10\/SIPA_AP22724868_000009-scaled-1.jpg\",\"width\":2560,\"height\":1707,\"caption\":\"Chinese President Xi Jinping adjusts his jacket as he attends a dinner reception at the Great Hall of the People on the eve of the National Day holiday in Beijing, Friday, Sept. 30, 2022. 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