{"id":160357,"date":"2022-09-26T17:59:00","date_gmt":"2022-09-26T15:59:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=160357"},"modified":"2022-09-26T17:59:01","modified_gmt":"2022-09-26T15:59:01","slug":"le-ralentissement-de-la-croissance-mondiale-savere-etre-plus-prononce-quanticipe-selon-locde","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/09\/26\/le-ralentissement-de-la-croissance-mondiale-savere-etre-plus-prononce-quanticipe-selon-locde\/","title":{"rendered":"Le ralentissement de la croissance mondiale s\u2019av\u00e8re \u00eatre plus prononc\u00e9 qu\u2019anticip\u00e9, selon l\u2019OCDE"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Lors de <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/06\/15\/bilan-des-consequences-de-la-guerre-en-ukraine-par-locde\/\">la derni\u00e8re mise \u00e0 jour de ses perspectives \u00e9conomiques<\/a> mondiales en juin dernier, l\u2019OCDE pr\u00e9voyait d\u00e9j\u00e0 une croissance plus faible qu\u2019attendue en 2022 et en 2023. Ces \u00e9volutions sont la cons\u00e9quence directe de la guerre en Ukraine et des restrictions sanitaires mises en place en Chine depuis le mois de mars. Surtout, la guerre a entra\u00een\u00e9 une hausse substantielle des prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie et de l\u2019alimentation, aggravant nettement les tensions inflationnistes \u00e0 un moment o\u00f9 le co\u00fbt de la vie progressait d\u00e9j\u00e0 rapidement dans tous les pays.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/54LRY\/1\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Ainsi, la croissance mondiale avait d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e9t\u00e9 revue \u00e0 la baisse pour 2023 par rapport aux donn\u00e9es publi\u00e9es en d\u00e9cembre 2021. En moins d\u2019un an \u2014 depuis d\u00e9cembre dernier \u2014, celle-ci est pass\u00e9e de 3,24&#160;% \u00e0 2,19&#160;%. En regardant pays par pays, toutes les estimations ont \u00e9t\u00e9 revues \u00e0 la baisse pour les pays occidentaux de la zone euro et pour les \u00c9tats-Unis. Dans le meilleur des cas, comme pour la Chine, les estimations sont inchang\u00e9es ou varient tr\u00e8s peu.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/IL1QL\/2\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>M\u00eame si les stocks de gaz de l\u2019Union europ\u00e9enne sont aujourd\u2019hui remplis \u00e0 pr\u00e8s de 90&#160;% de leurs capacit\u00e9s, il est possible que si les \u00c9tats membres n&rsquo;arrivent pas \u00e0 r\u00e9duire leur consommation, leurs stocks pourraient s\u2019av\u00e9rer insuffisants pour garantir la demande. Dans son sc\u00e9nario le plus pessimiste \u2014 qui pourrait se produire si les d\u00e9ficits d\u2019offre augmentent, que les approvisionnements non-russes en provenance de pays hors Union europ\u00e9enne ne se concr\u00e9tisent pas ou si la demande de gaz augmente \u2014, l\u2019OCDE estime que les r\u00e9serves de gaz de l\u2019UE pourraient \u00eatre vides en mars 2023.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/EAYti\/1\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Compte tenu des effets importants des politiques mon\u00e9taires aust\u00e8res op\u00e9r\u00e9es par les banques centrales, l\u2019inflation globale devrait culminer ce trimestre-ci dans la plupart des grandes \u00e9conomies avant de refluer fin 2022 et tout au long de 2023. Cela dit, l\u2019inflation annuelle restera nettement sup\u00e9rieure aux objectifs des banques centrales presque partout en 2023. Les projections pr\u00e9disent que les taux directeurs de la FED, de la BCE et de la Banque d\u2019Angleterre d\u00e9passeront les 4&#160;% pour ces trois banques centrales.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/yCUNA\/1\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les \u00c9tats-Unis, qui ont commenc\u00e9 \u00e0 resserrer le plus t\u00f4t leur politique mon\u00e9taire, devraient parvenir \u00e0 ramener l\u2019inflation vers leur objectif plus rapidement que la zone euro ou le Royaume-Uni. En revanche, compte tenu de la r\u00e9cente flamb\u00e9e des prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie dans l\u2019ensemble de l\u2019\u00e9conomie, l\u2019inflation globale comme l\u2019inflation sous-jacente devraient rester \u00e9lev\u00e9es dans une grande partie de l\u2019Europe.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/WwUi4\/2\/ \" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Dans les grandes \u00e9conomies de march\u00e9 \u00e9mergentes, le tableau de l\u2019inflation est tr\u00e8s in\u00e9gal. Alors qu\u2019elle est faible et stable en Chine, le Br\u00e9sil et le Mexique connaissent de fortes tensions inflationnistes qui devraient malgr\u00e9 tout s\u2019affaiblir en 2023 d\u2019environ un tiers pour revenir vers les objectifs fix\u00e9s, une fois que les hausses des taux directeurs produiront leurs effets.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>L\u2019Organisation de coop\u00e9ration et de d\u00e9veloppement \u00e9conomiques (OCDE) vient de publier aujourd\u2019hui une mise \u00e0 jour de ses perspectives \u00e9conomiques pour 2022 et 2023. Selon l\u2019institution, le ralentissement \u00e9conomique mondial provoqu\u00e9 par l\u2019invasion russe de l\u2019Ukraine se confirme et pourrait \u00eatre aggrav\u00e9 par les p\u00e9nuries d\u2019\u00e9nergie en Europe cet hiver.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3041,"featured_media":160378,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1727],"tags":[],"geo":[2163],"class_list":["post-160357","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economie","geo-monde"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Le ralentissement de la croissance mondiale s\u2019av\u00e8re \u00eatre plus prononc\u00e9 qu\u2019anticip\u00e9, selon l\u2019OCDE | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/09\/26\/le-ralentissement-de-la-croissance-mondiale-savere-etre-plus-prononce-quanticipe-selon-locde\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Le ralentissement de la croissance mondiale s\u2019av\u00e8re \u00eatre plus prononc\u00e9 qu\u2019anticip\u00e9, selon l\u2019OCDE | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"L\u2019Organisation de coop\u00e9ration et de d\u00e9veloppement \u00e9conomiques (OCDE) vient de publier aujourd\u2019hui une mise \u00e0 jour de ses perspectives \u00e9conomiques pour 2022 et 2023. 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