{"id":152086,"date":"2022-07-27T13:33:50","date_gmt":"2022-07-27T11:33:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=152086"},"modified":"2022-07-27T18:04:57","modified_gmt":"2022-07-27T16:04:57","slug":"le-fonds-monetaire-international-annonce-le-risque-dune-recession-globale","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/07\/27\/le-fonds-monetaire-international-annonce-le-risque-dune-recession-globale\/","title":{"rendered":"Le Fonds mon\u00e9taire international revoit \u00e0 la baisse ses pr\u00e9visions de croissance mondiale"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Le Fonds mon\u00e9taire international vient de publier ses derni\u00e8res projections \u00e9conomiques, mettant \u00e0 jour <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/04\/20\/le-fmi-revoit-la-croissance-economique-mondiale-a-la-baisse-pour-2022\/\">celles d\u2019avril dernier<\/a>. L\u2019institution s\u2019attend \u00e0 une baisse globale de la croissance, une augmentation plus rapide et plus globale de l\u2019inflation ainsi qu\u2019\u00e0 une hausse moins importante qu\u2019escompt\u00e9e de la production mondiale&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-152086' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/07\/27\/le-fonds-monetaire-international-annonce-le-risque-dune-recession-globale\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-152086' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/Publications\/WEO\/Issues\/2022\/07\/26\/world-economic-outlook-update-july-2022&quot;&gt;Gloomy and more uncertain&lt;\/a&gt;, Fonds mon\u00e9taire international, 26 juillet 2022.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/XDpf6\/1\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Le FMI a \u00e9galement d\u00fb revoir \u00e0 la hausse ses projections d\u2019inflation, particuli\u00e8rement en raison de la mont\u00e9e en fl\u00e8che des prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie ainsi que des produits alimentaires \u2014 des cons\u00e9quences directes de la guerre russe men\u00e9e contre l\u2019Ukraine. La projection de croissance globale a quant \u00e0 elle \u00e9t\u00e9 revue \u00e0 la baisse, passant de 3,6&#160;% pour l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2022 dans les projections d\u2019avril \u00e0 3,2&#160;%, et de 3,6&#160;% pour 2023 \u00e0 2,9&#160;%.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/gV3nh\/1\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Dans un sc\u00e9nario plus pessimiste qui verrait notamment l\u2019arr\u00eat total des <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/07\/11\/larret-temporaire-de-nord-stream-1-fait-craindre-une-aggravation-de-la-crise-energetique-en-europe\/\">exportations de gaz russe en direction de l\u2019Europe<\/a> \u2014 ce que cherche \u00e0 anticiper l\u2019Union europ\u00e9enne avec les plans <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/05\/18\/le-plan-repowereu\/\">RePowerEU <\/a>et <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/07\/20\/la-commission-recommande-aux-etats-membres-de-commencer-a-rationner-leur-consommation-de-gaz\/\"><em>Safe Gas for a Safe Winter<\/em><\/a> \u2014, le FMI anticipe une croissance mondiale encore plus faible \u00e0 2,6&#160;% en 2022 et environ 2&#160;% en 2023.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/zIDsg\/2\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Le FMI a \u00e9galement adress\u00e9 un message aux banques centrales, dont les plus importantes ont toutes hauss\u00e9 leurs taux directeurs ces derniers mois \u2014 comme <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/07\/21\/la-bce-augmente-ses-taux-directeurs-de-05-point-de-base-premiere-remontee-de-taux-depuis-11-ans\/\">ce fut le cas de la BCE la semaine derni\u00e8re<\/a>, pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis 11 ans. Bien qu\u2019un outil de lutte efficace contre l\u2019inflation, l\u2019\u00e9conomiste en chef du FMI, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, met en garde contre les risques de telles d\u00e9cisions pour la stabilit\u00e9 financi\u00e8re&#160;: \u00ab&#160;Lorsque les taux de change flexibles ne suffisent pas \u00e0 absorber les chocs ext\u00e9rieurs, les responsables politiques devront \u00eatre pr\u00eats \u00e0 mettre en \u0153uvre des interventions sur les march\u00e9s de change ou des mesures de gestion des flux de capitaux dans un sc\u00e9nario de crise&#160;\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-152086' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/07\/27\/le-fonds-monetaire-international-annonce-le-risque-dune-recession-globale\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-152086' title='&amp;nbsp;Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, \u00ab&amp;#160;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/blogs.imf.org\/2022\/07\/26\/global-economic-growth-slows-amid-gloomy-and-more-uncertain-outlook\/&quot;&gt;Global Economic Growth Slows Amid Gloomy and More Uncertain Outlook&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;#160;\u00bb, Blog du FMI, 26 juillet 2022.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/COQCC\/6\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Fait surprenant toutefois, le FMI ne pr\u00e9voit pour l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2022 qu\u2019une baisse de 6&#160;% du PIB russe, soit 2,5 points de moins que dans les derniers chiffres d\u2019avril. Ces pr\u00e9visions prennent en compte le fait que les exportations de p\u00e9trole et de gaz russe se maintiennent mieux qu\u2019anticip\u00e9, mais \u00e9galement que <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/06\/28\/le-g7-adopte-de-nouvelles-sanctions-contre-la-russie\/\">les sanctions occidentales<\/a> s\u2019av\u00e8rent \u00eatre moins efficaces que pr\u00e9vu.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/fVWDB\/1\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>D\u00e8s le mois de mars, quelques semaines seulement apr\u00e8s le d\u00e9but de l\u2019invasion de l\u2019Ukraine par la Russie, <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/03\/20\/le-pari-risque-des-sanctions-comme-monnaie-dechange\/\">Edoardo Saravalle \u00e9crivait dans nos colonnes<\/a> que \u00ab&#160;plus longtemps les sanctions resteront en place, plus l\u2019\u00e9conomie russe souffrira, et plus elle agira pour s\u2019immuniser contre la pression am\u00e9ricaine&#160;\u00bb. Il anticipait \u00e9galement que si les sanctions \u00ab&#160;ont peut-\u00eatre fait appara\u00eetre un certain pouvoir de n\u00e9gociation, le plus difficile sera de l\u2019utiliser&#160;\u00bb.<\/li><\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Les derni\u00e8res projections du FMI annoncent un sc\u00e9nario particuli\u00e8rement sombre pour l\u2019\u00e9conomie mondiale. La contraction de la production combin\u00e9e \u00e0 une hausse de l\u2019inflation laisse se dessiner un risque de r\u00e9cession, tandis que le monde conna\u00eet l\u2019une de ses pires ann\u00e9es pour l\u2019\u00e9conomie depuis un demi-si\u00e8cle.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":152093,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1727],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[2163],"class_list":["post-152086","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economie","geo-monde"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Le Fonds mon\u00e9taire international revoit \u00e0 la baisse ses pr\u00e9visions de croissance mondiale | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/07\/27\/le-fonds-monetaire-international-annonce-le-risque-dune-recession-globale\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Le Fonds mon\u00e9taire international revoit \u00e0 la baisse ses pr\u00e9visions de croissance mondiale | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Les derni\u00e8res projections du FMI annoncent un sc\u00e9nario particuli\u00e8rement sombre pour l\u2019\u00e9conomie mondiale. La contraction de la production combin\u00e9e \u00e0 une hausse de l\u2019inflation laisse se dessiner un risque de r\u00e9cession, tandis que le monde conna\u00eet l\u2019une de ses pires ann\u00e9es pour l\u2019\u00e9conomie depuis un demi-si\u00e8cle.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/07\/27\/le-fonds-monetaire-international-annonce-le-risque-dune-recession-globale\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-07-27T11:33:50+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-07-27T16:04:57+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/07\/World-economic-outlook-juillet-22.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1919\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1105\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/07\/World-economic-outlook-juillet-22.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/07\/27\/le-fonds-monetaire-international-annonce-le-risque-dune-recession-globale\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/07\/27\/le-fonds-monetaire-international-annonce-le-risque-dune-recession-globale\/\",\"name\":\"Le Fonds mon\u00e9taire international revoit \u00e0 la baisse ses pr\u00e9visions de croissance mondiale | Le Grand Continent\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/07\/27\/le-fonds-monetaire-international-annonce-le-risque-dune-recession-globale\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/07\/27\/le-fonds-monetaire-international-annonce-le-risque-dune-recession-globale\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/07\/SIPA_Shutterstock40984209_000008-scaled.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-07-27T11:33:50+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-07-27T16:04:57+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/#\/schema\/person\/e4f85f52220fc7b4cc3cfdb86d88e833\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/07\/27\/le-fonds-monetaire-international-annonce-le-risque-dune-recession-globale\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/07\/27\/le-fonds-monetaire-international-annonce-le-risque-dune-recession-globale\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/07\/27\/le-fonds-monetaire-international-annonce-le-risque-dune-recession-globale\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/07\/SIPA_Shutterstock40984209_000008-scaled.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/07\/SIPA_Shutterstock40984209_000008-scaled.jpg\",\"width\":2560,\"height\":1757,\"caption\":\"Mandatory Credit: Photo by Stuart Brock\/LNP\/Shutterstock (13045183h) Dover, Kent, UK. Traffic builds up for a second night at Dover. Ferry companies are confirming that there will be long delays on their services this weekend. 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