{"id":136205,"date":"2022-04-10T19:50:39","date_gmt":"2022-04-10T17:50:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=136205"},"modified":"2022-04-10T20:03:57","modified_gmt":"2022-04-10T18:03:57","slug":"elections-presidentielles-francaises-a-une-heure-avant-les-resultats-la-lecon-de-la-participation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/04\/10\/elections-presidentielles-francaises-a-une-heure-avant-les-resultats-la-lecon-de-la-participation\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c9lections pr\u00e9sidentielles fran\u00e7aises&#160;: les le\u00e7ons de la participation"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Pour la m\u00e9tropole, les r\u00e9sultats de la participation \u00e0 17 heures sont d\u00e9sormais connus. La participation s&rsquo;\u00e9l\u00e8ve \u00e0 65&#160;% (-4,4 pp), contre 69,4&#160;%  en 2017.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>La participation a baiss\u00e9 dans 73 d\u00e9partements sur 96&#160;: le ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne de d\u00e9mobilisation est g\u00e9n\u00e9ral. Plus fortes baisses de participation dans le Bas-Rhin (-13,34), \u00e0 Paris (-12,31), dans l&rsquo;Essonne (-12,15), en Haute-Corse (-51,2), dans le Cantal (-11,72). Plus fortes hausses en Dordogne (+5,87), dans les Landes (+5,41), les Ardennes (+4,99), le Lot (+4,96).<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium\">\n    <a \n        data-pswp-src=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Participation.png\" \n        class=\"gallery-item no-underline\"  \n        data-pswp-width=\"1920\" \n        data-pswp-height=\"1440\"\n    >\n                            \t<picture>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Participation-330x248.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(max-width:  374px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Participation-690x518.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(max-width:  989px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Participation-990x743.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(max-width: 1319px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Participation-690x518.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(max-width: 1599px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Participation-990x743.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(min-width: 1600px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Participation-125x94.png\" \/>\r\n\t<\/picture>\r\n            \n                            <figcaption class=\"pswp-caption-content\">La participation en 2017 et en 2022 \u00e0 17 heures. La taille des cercles repr\u00e9sente le nombre de votants en 2017.<\/figcaption>\n                <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Les territoires dans lesquelles la participation se maintient le mieux sont majoritairement des d\u00e9partements ruraux de l&rsquo;ouest et du sud-ouest du pays ainsi que les r\u00e9gions bordelaise et lyonnaise. Deux exceptions&#160;: le Var et les Ardennes, o\u00f9 les scores de la droite nationaliste (FN puis RN) ont \u00e9t\u00e9 traditionnellement importants.<br><\/li><li>Au contraire, la participation appara\u00eet en nette baisse en r\u00e9gion parisienne (Paris&#160;: -12,31&#160;; Essonne&#160;: -12,15&#160;; Seine-Saint-Denis&#160;: -9,81&#160;; Hauts-de-Seine&#160;: -6,87) et dans beaucoup d&rsquo;autres zones urbaines (Alpes-Maritimes&#160;: -10,06&#160;; Nord&#160;: -8,13&#160;; Bas-Rhin&#160;: -13,34&#160;; Loire-Atlantique&#160;: -7,71).<br><\/li><li>Les bastions de Marine Le Pen en 2017 semblent mieux r\u00e9sister \u00e0 la d\u00e9mobilisation que ceux de ses concurrents. C&rsquo;est le cas du Var et des Ardennes, mais aussi du Pas-de-Calais, de l&rsquo;Oise, du Vaucluse ou de la Moselle, o\u00f9 le recul de la participation est inf\u00e9rieur \u00e0 la moyenne nationale. Dans le d\u00e9partement qui lui a apport\u00e9 le plus de voix en 2017, le Nord, la baisse de participation est cependant tr\u00e8s marqu\u00e9e. C&rsquo;est le cas \u00e9galement en Seine-Maritime, dans l&rsquo;Eure, ou encore en Alsace.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium\">\n    <a \n        data-pswp-src=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/LePen-1.png\" \n        class=\"gallery-item no-underline\"  \n        data-pswp-width=\"1920\" \n        data-pswp-height=\"1440\"\n    >\n                            \t<picture>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/LePen-1-330x248.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(max-width:  374px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/LePen-1-690x518.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(max-width:  989px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/LePen-1-990x743.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(max-width: 1319px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/LePen-1-690x518.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(max-width: 1599px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/LePen-1-990x743.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(min-width: 1600px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/LePen-1-125x94.png\" \/>\r\n\t<\/picture>\r\n            \n                            <figcaption class=\"pswp-caption-content\">\u00c9volution de la participation \u00e0 17 heures en fonction du vote Le Pen en 2017. Ligne horizontale&#160;&#160;: \u00e9volution moyenne de la participation.<\/figcaption>\n                <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Les d\u00e9partements de fort vote Macron en 2017 subissent pour certains des baisses de participation fortes (r\u00e9gion parisienne) ou plus mod\u00e9r\u00e9es (ouest). La participation se maintient cependant dans les r\u00e9gions de l&rsquo;ouest et du sud-ouest (Landes, Pyr\u00e9n\u00e9es-Atlantiques, Vend\u00e9e&#8230;) et dans les m\u00e9tropoles lyonnaise et bordelaise qui lui sont tendenciellement favorables.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium\">\n    <a \n        data-pswp-src=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Macron-1.png\" \n        class=\"gallery-item no-underline\"  \n        data-pswp-width=\"1920\" \n        data-pswp-height=\"1440\"\n    >\n                            \t<picture>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Macron-1-330x248.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(max-width:  374px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Macron-1-690x518.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(max-width:  989px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Macron-1-990x743.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(max-width: 1319px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Macron-1-690x518.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(max-width: 1599px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Macron-1-990x743.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(min-width: 1600px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Macron-1-125x94.png\" \/>\r\n\t<\/picture>\r\n            \n                            <figcaption class=\"pswp-caption-content\">\u00c9volution de la participation \u00e0 17 heures en fonction du vote Macron en 2017. Ligne horizontale&#160;&#160;: \u00e9volution moyenne de la participation.<\/figcaption>\n                <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Les d\u00e9partements ayant pl\u00e9biscit\u00e9 Fran\u00e7ois Fillon sont divis\u00e9s entre le sud et la r\u00e9gion parisienne (plus proches sociologiquement de l&rsquo;\u00e9lectorat d&rsquo;\u00c9ric Zemmour&#160;; abstention en forte hausse sauf dans le Var) et l&rsquo;ouest et le centre (potentiellement plus favorables \u00e0 Emmanuel Macron) o\u00f9 la participation est en hausse.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium\">\n    <a \n        data-pswp-src=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Fillon.png\" \n        class=\"gallery-item no-underline\"  \n        data-pswp-width=\"1920\" \n        data-pswp-height=\"1440\"\n    >\n                            \t<picture>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Fillon-330x248.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(max-width:  374px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Fillon-690x518.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(max-width:  989px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Fillon-990x743.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(max-width: 1319px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Fillon-690x518.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(max-width: 1599px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Fillon-990x743.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(min-width: 1600px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Fillon-125x94.png\" \/>\r\n\t<\/picture>\r\n            \n                            <figcaption class=\"pswp-caption-content\">\u00c9volution de la participation \u00e0 17 heures en fonction du vote Fillon en 2017. Ligne horizontale&#160;&#160;: \u00e9volution moyenne de la participation.<\/figcaption>\n                <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Parmi les d\u00e9partements favorables \u00e0 Jean-Luc M\u00e9lenchon en 2017, la Seine-Saint-Denis, o\u00f9 le candidat avait obtenu 34&#160;% des voix en 2017, pr\u00e9sente une participation en tr\u00e8s nette baisse. L&rsquo;abstention augmente \u00e9galement nettement dans le Nord, le Puy-de-D\u00f4me, la Loire-Atlantique ou la Haute-Garonne, zones de force du candidat. La participation augmente surtout dans des d\u00e9partements o\u00f9 Jean-Luc M\u00e9lenchon obtenait des scores l\u00e9g\u00e8rement sup\u00e9rieurs \u00e0 sa moyenne nationale, notamment dans l&rsquo;ouest.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium\">\n    <a \n        data-pswp-src=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Melenchon.png\" \n        class=\"gallery-item no-underline\"  \n        data-pswp-width=\"1920\" \n        data-pswp-height=\"1440\"\n    >\n                            \t<picture>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Melenchon-330x248.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(max-width:  374px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Melenchon-690x518.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(max-width:  989px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Melenchon-990x743.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(max-width: 1319px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Melenchon-690x518.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(max-width: 1599px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t\t<source\r\n\t\t\t\tsrcset=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Melenchon-990x743.png\"\r\n\t\t\t\tmedia=\"(min-width: 1600px)\" \/>\r\n\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/Melenchon-125x94.png\" \/>\r\n\t<\/picture>\r\n            \n                            <figcaption class=\"pswp-caption-content\">\u00c9volution de la participation \u00e0 17 heures en fonction du vote M\u00e9lenchon en 2017. Ligne horizontale&#160;&#160;: \u00e9volution moyenne de la participation.<\/figcaption>\n                <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>La baisse de la participation tr\u00e8s forte dans certaines m\u00e9tropoles, notamment dans les r\u00e9gions parisienne, ni\u00e7oise et lilloise, mais aussi en Normandie et en Corse (o\u00f9 les nationalistes ont appel\u00e9 explicitement \u00e0 l&rsquo;abstention), pourrait \u00eatre de nature \u00e0 renforcer les fractures territoriales. Le poids de l&rsquo;ouest et du sud-ouest dans la d\u00e9cision du premier tour se trouvera probablement renforc\u00e9, alors que la droite nationaliste, partie divis\u00e9e, semble surtout en mesure d&rsquo;accro\u00eetre sa part \u00e9lectorale dans quelques territoires-cl\u00e9s. Point notable, la r\u00e9gion parisienne dans son ensemble semble s&rsquo;\u00eatre d\u00e9mobilis\u00e9e &#8211; une \u00e9volution en mesure de r\u00e9orienter les \u00e9quilibres politiques futurs&#160;?<\/li><\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pour la m\u00e9tropole, les r\u00e9sultats de la participation \u00e0 17 heures sont d\u00e9sormais connus. Premier bilan.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":98,"featured_media":136213,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2980],"tags":[],"geo":[1876],"class_list":["post-136205","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-elections","staff-francois-hublet","geo-paris"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u00c9lections pr\u00e9sidentielles fran\u00e7aises : les le\u00e7ons de la participation | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/04\/10\/elections-presidentielles-francaises-a-une-heure-avant-les-resultats-la-lecon-de-la-participation\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u00c9lections pr\u00e9sidentielles fran\u00e7aises : les le\u00e7ons de la participation | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Pour la m\u00e9tropole, les r\u00e9sultats de la participation \u00e0 17 heures sont d\u00e9sormais connus. Premier bilan.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2022\/04\/10\/elections-presidentielles-francaises-a-une-heure-avant-les-resultats-la-lecon-de-la-participation\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-04-10T17:50:39+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-04-10T18:03:57+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/04\/SIPA_01067107_000003-1340x923-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1340\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"923\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Fran\u00e7ois Hublet\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" 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