{"id":116058,"date":"2021-08-09T15:26:28","date_gmt":"2021-08-09T13:26:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/?p=116058"},"modified":"2021-08-09T15:26:33","modified_gmt":"2021-08-09T13:26:33","slug":"quelles-informations-retenir-du-dernier-rapport-du-giec","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2021\/08\/09\/quelles-informations-retenir-du-dernier-rapport-du-giec\/","title":{"rendered":"Quelles informations retenir du dernier rapport du GIEC&#160;?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Ce rapport intitul\u00e9 \u00ab&#160;<em>Climate Change 2021&#160;: The Physical Science Basis<\/em>&#160;\u00bb est le premier d\u2019une s\u00e9rie de quatre rapports, dont les suivants seront publi\u00e9s au cours de l\u2019ann\u00e9e prochaine&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-116058' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2021\/08\/09\/quelles-informations-retenir-du-dernier-rapport-du-giec\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-116058' title='Groupe d&amp;rsquo;experts intergouvernemental sur l&amp;rsquo;\u00e9volution du climat, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/ar6\/wg1\/&quot;&gt;AR6 Climate Change 2021&amp;#160;: The Physical Science Basis&lt;\/a&gt;, 9 ao\u00fbt 2021.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. Le second se penchera sur les cons\u00e9quences du changement climatique sur la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 humaine, et le troisi\u00e8me explorera les strat\u00e9gies \u00e0 mettre en place pour enrayer le r\u00e9chauffement climatique. Le dernier rapport \u2014 pr\u00e9vu pour septembre 2022 \u2014 de cette sixi\u00e8me \u00e9valuation du GIEC sera une synth\u00e8se similaire dans sa forme \u00e0 celui paru en 2014&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-116058' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2021\/08\/09\/quelles-informations-retenir-du-dernier-rapport-du-giec\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-116058' title='Groupe d&amp;rsquo;experts intergouvernemental sur l&amp;rsquo;\u00e9volution du climat, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/site\/assets\/uploads\/2018\/02\/SYR_AR5_FINAL_full_fr.pdf&quot;&gt;Changements climatiques 2014&amp;#160;: Rapport de synth\u00e8se&lt;\/a&gt;, 2014.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/Bt2xo\/3\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Les rapports du GIEC sont souvent tr\u00e8s attendus, et suscitent un \u00e9lan de r\u00e9actions dans le moment suivant leur publication. Toutefois, malgr\u00e9 cet engouement, les conclusions du rapport publi\u00e9 aujourd\u2019hui rejoignent celles du dernier tour d\u2019horizon global en date, datant de 2014. Il est toujours possible de maintenir la mont\u00e9e des temp\u00e9ratures aux alentours d\u20191.5\u00b0 C. d\u2019ici la fin du si\u00e8cle (conform\u00e9ment aux objectifs fix\u00e9s par l&rsquo;accord de Paris sur le climat), mais il faudrait pour cela atteindre la neutralit\u00e9 carbone d\u2019ici 2050. Le rapport souligne que certaines cons\u00e9quences du r\u00e9chauffement climatique, comme la fonte des glaces, sont \u00ab&#160;irr\u00e9versibles pour des si\u00e8cles ou des mill\u00e9naires&#160;\u00bb.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/zWKZc\/4\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>L\u2019actualit\u00e9 climatique et m\u00e9t\u00e9orologique de ces derni\u00e8res semaines ancre la r\u00e9alit\u00e9 du changement climatique dans le pr\u00e9sent, et fournit de terribles illustrations de ce vers quoi le futur pourrait tendre si les gouvernements du monde entier ne vont pas plus loin dans leurs politiques environnementales. <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2021\/08\/05\/la-grece-sous-les-flammes-alors-que-la-canicule-atteint-des-niveaux-records\/\">Les feux de for\u00eats en Gr\u00e8ce<\/a> et en Californie, <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2021\/07\/02\/lincendie-de-lytton-un-temoignage-depuis-le-guernica-de-lanthropocene\/\">les vagues de chaleur au Canada<\/a>, les pluies diluviennes causant des inondations en Allemagne et en Chine\u2026 Tous ces r\u00e9cents sc\u00e9narios tragiques vont devenir de plus en plus fr\u00e9quents \u00e0 l\u2019avenir, m\u00eame en limitant le r\u00e9chauffement \u00e0 1.5\u00b0 C.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/w5oAV\/2\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>La premi\u00e8re nouveaut\u00e9 de ce rapport, qui se concentre sur les aspects physiques du changement climatique, consiste \u00e0 affirmer, en se basant sur des \u00e9tudes scientifiques r\u00e9centes, que le changement climatique et ses cons\u00e9quences sont dus aux activit\u00e9s humaines. La fonte des glaciers, la mont\u00e9e du niveau de la mer, le r\u00e9chauffement, l\u2019acidification et la d\u00e9soxyg\u00e9nation des oc\u00e9ans sont des ph\u00e9nom\u00e8nes qui ont \u00e9t\u00e9 provoqu\u00e9s, et acc\u00e9l\u00e9r\u00e9s par l\u2019Homme.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Dans un souci ici encore d\u2019ancrer la r\u00e9alit\u00e9 et les cons\u00e9quences du changement climatique dans notre vie, le GIEC a mis en place un Atlas interactif permettant de voir, par exemple, les pr\u00e9visions d\u2019augmentation de la temp\u00e9rature ou l\u2019intensit\u00e9 des pluies diluviennes dans toutes les r\u00e9gions du monde&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-116058' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2021\/08\/09\/quelles-informations-retenir-du-dernier-rapport-du-giec\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-116058' title='Groupe d&amp;rsquo;experts intergouvernemental sur l&amp;rsquo;\u00e9volution du climat,&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/interactive-atlas.ipcc.ch\/&quot;&gt; IPCC WGI Interactive Atlas&lt;\/a&gt;, 2021.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>. La cr\u00e9ation de cet outil a \u00e9t\u00e9 rendue possible gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 l\u2019am\u00e9lioration des mod\u00e8les utilis\u00e9s par les scientifiques au cours de ces derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es, qui permettent d\u00e9sormais des simulations bien plus pr\u00e9cises des changements climatiques.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/jG5Ok\/2\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Une autre nouveaut\u00e9 est la bien meilleure mise en relation du changement climatique avec des \u00ab&#160;\u00e9v\u00e9nements m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques extr\u00eames&#160;\u00bb. Afin de rendre la tr\u00e8s importante quantit\u00e9 d\u2019informations plus intelligible et concr\u00e8te pour les d\u00e9cideurs, le GIEC a mod\u00e9lis\u00e9 les cons\u00e9quences sur le climat (vagues de chaleur, pluies diluviennes) selon plusieurs tranches, chacune repr\u00e9sentant un seuil d\u2019augmentation de la temp\u00e9rature. Par exemple, l\u2019intensit\u00e9 des pluies diluviennes augmentera de 7&#160;% pour chaque degr\u00e9 suppl\u00e9mentaire gagn\u00e9.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Val\u00e9rie Masson-Delmotte, pal\u00e9oclimatologue et co-pr\u00e9sidente du groupe de travail n\u00b01 du GIEC, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 durant la conf\u00e9rence de presse d\u00e9di\u00e9e \u00e0 la publication du rapport&#160;: \u00ab&#160;\u00c0 moins d&rsquo;une r\u00e9duction imm\u00e9diate, rapide et \u00e0 grande \u00e9chelle des \u00e9missions de gaz \u00e0 effet de serre, il sera impossible de limiter le r\u00e9chauffement \u00e0 1,5\u00b0 C.&#160;\u00bb Ce rapport, approuv\u00e9 par les 193 gouvernements membres des Nations unies, constituera une base centrale aux discussions qui se tiendront lors de la COP 26 de Glasgow en novembre prochain.<\/li><\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le GIEC (le groupe de travail sur le climat des Nations unies) a publi\u00e9 aujourd\u2019hui son dernier rapport sur le changement climatique, achevant le plus large effort de compilation et d\u2019\u00e9tude de donn\u00e9es et de travaux scientifiques \u00e0 ce jour. Les conclusions ayant peu chang\u00e9 depuis les derniers rapports, quelles informations sont \u00e0 retenir&#160;&#160;? Sept points synth\u00e9tiques, quatre graphiques.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1623,"featured_media":116065,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1730],"tags":[],"geo":[2163],"class_list":["post-116058","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energie-et-environnement","geo-monde"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Quelles informations retenir du dernier rapport du GIEC ? | Le Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2021\/08\/09\/quelles-informations-retenir-du-dernier-rapport-du-giec\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Quelles informations retenir du dernier rapport du GIEC ? | Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Le GIEC (le groupe de travail sur le climat des Nations unies) a publi\u00e9 aujourd\u2019hui son dernier rapport sur le changement climatique, achevant le plus large effort de compilation et d\u2019\u00e9tude de donn\u00e9es et de travaux scientifiques \u00e0 ce jour. Les conclusions ayant peu chang\u00e9 depuis les derniers rapports, quelles informations sont \u00e0 retenir&#160;? Sept points synth\u00e9tiques, quatre graphiques.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2021\/08\/09\/quelles-informations-retenir-du-dernier-rapport-du-giec\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Le Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-08-09T13:26:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-08-09T13:26:33+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/gc-share-giec.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1902\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1075\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/gc-share-giec.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Marin Saillofest\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2021\/08\/09\/quelles-informations-retenir-du-dernier-rapport-du-giec\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2021\/08\/09\/quelles-informations-retenir-du-dernier-rapport-du-giec\/\",\"name\":\"Quelles informations retenir du dernier rapport du GIEC ? | Le Grand Continent\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2021\/08\/09\/quelles-informations-retenir-du-dernier-rapport-du-giec\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2021\/08\/09\/quelles-informations-retenir-du-dernier-rapport-du-giec\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/SIPA_AP22594414_000001-scaled.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2021-08-09T13:26:28+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2021-08-09T13:26:33+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/#\/schema\/person\/2838b2116880462ec27cf3f26316a10c\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2021\/08\/09\/quelles-informations-retenir-du-dernier-rapport-du-giec\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2021\/08\/09\/quelles-informations-retenir-du-dernier-rapport-du-giec\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2021\/08\/09\/quelles-informations-retenir-du-dernier-rapport-du-giec\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/SIPA_AP22594414_000001-scaled.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2021\/08\/SIPA_AP22594414_000001-scaled.jpg\",\"width\":2560,\"height\":1706,\"caption\":\"FILE - In this file photo dated Friday, Aug. 6, 2021, a man watches as wildfires approach Kochyli beach near Limni village on the island of Evia, about 160 kilometers (100 miles) north of Athens, Greece. A new massive United Nations science report is scheduled for release Monday Aug. 9, 2021, reporting on the impact of global warming due to humans. 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