{"id":99160,"date":"2026-05-13T17:25:19","date_gmt":"2026-05-13T15:25:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/?p=99160"},"modified":"2026-05-13T17:25:23","modified_gmt":"2026-05-13T15:25:23","slug":"trafico-en-el-estrecho-ormuz-se-ha-desplomado-de-97","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/05\/13\/trafico-en-el-estrecho-ormuz-se-ha-desplomado-de-97\/","title":{"rendered":"Dos meses y medio despu\u00e9s del comienzo de la guerra, el tr\u00e1fico a trav\u00e9s del estrecho de Ormuz se ha desplomado un 97%"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Antes del inicio de la guerra contra Ir\u00e1n y del bloqueo del <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/observatoire-de-la-bataille-dormuz\/\">estrecho de Ormuz<\/a> por parte de Teher\u00e1n en los d\u00edas posteriores, una media de 135 buques entraban o sal\u00edan cada d\u00eda del golfo P\u00e9rsico. En los \u00faltimos siete d\u00edas, esa cifra se ha reducido a cuatro al d\u00eda. Se sit\u00faa en diez en el periodo comprendido entre el 1 de marzo y el 12 de mayo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>El volumen de mercanc\u00edas que transita por el estrecho se ha reducido as\u00ed en un 97% y, en los \u00faltimos d\u00edas, ha alcanzado su nivel m\u00e1s bajo desde el inicio de la guerra: una media de 120.000 toneladas al d\u00eda.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Aunque estas cifras no tienen en cuenta una parte del comercio iran\u00ed \u2014en particular, el petr\u00f3leo transportado en buques de la flota fantasma que no comunican su posici\u00f3n\u2014, este tr\u00e1fico tambi\u00e9n se ha ralentizado debido al bloqueo estadounidense.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/GtJ47\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Una se\u00f1al de la ralentizaci\u00f3n del comercio petrolero iran\u00ed \u2014cuya mayor parte se exporta a China\u2014 es la interrupci\u00f3n, desde el 8 de mayo, de la carga de petroleros en la isla de Kharg, donde se encuentra la principal terminal de exportaci\u00f3n del pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>De hecho, las im\u00e1genes de sat\u00e9lite europeas no muestran ninguna actividad reciente en la isla, donde se segu\u00eda cargando petroleros casi a diario tras la imposici\u00f3n del bloqueo estadounidense, hace un mes, el 13 de abril&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-99160' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/05\/13\/trafico-en-el-estrecho-ormuz-se-ha-desplomado-de-97\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-99160' title='Julian Lee, \u00ab&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-05-12\/iran-kharg-island-oil-shipments-show-first-prolonged-halt-since-start-of-war&quot;&gt;Iran\u2019s Kharg Island Oil Shipments Show First Prolonged Halt Since Start of War&lt;\/a&gt;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Bloomberg&lt;\/em&gt;, 12 de mayo de 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Seg\u00fan fuentes iran\u00edes, Teher\u00e1n ya habr\u00eda comenzado a reducir su producci\u00f3n de petr\u00f3leo con el fin de frenar el ritmo al que se van llenando sus reservas terrestres.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Si las reservas iran\u00edes se llenaran al 100%, los productores se ver\u00edan obligados a <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/04\/13\/un-bloqueo-estadounidense-del-estrecho-de-ormuz-podria-costarle-a-iran-mas-de-400-millones-de-dolares-al-dia\/\">cerrar sus pozos<\/a>, lo que podr\u00eda tener repercusiones a largo plazo y provocar la p\u00e9rdida definitiva de una capacidad de producci\u00f3n de entre 300.000 y 500.000 barriles al d\u00eda (entre 9.000 y 15.000 millones de d\u00f3lares de ingresos al a\u00f1o).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/u9T30\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>En un informe publicado ayer, martes 12 de mayo, la Agencia de Informaci\u00f3n Energ\u00e9tica de Estados Unidos estima que las reservas mundiales de petr\u00f3leo est\u00e1n disminuyendo a un ritmo medio de 2,6 millones de barriles al d\u00eda, lo que supone una aceleraci\u00f3n del 760% con respecto a sus previsiones anteriores de abril (300.000 barriles al d\u00eda)&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-99160' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/05\/13\/trafico-en-el-estrecho-ormuz-se-ha-desplomado-de-97\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-99160' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/outlooks\/steo\/pdf\/steo_full.pdf&quot;&gt;Short-Term Energy Outlook&lt;\/a&gt;, U.S. Energy Information Administration, 12 de mayo de 2026.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Aunque el flujo de petr\u00f3leo por el estrecho de Ormuz se reanudara ya en junio \u2014un escenario que hoy parece optimista\u2014, se prev\u00e9 que los niveles de exportaci\u00f3n sigan siendo inferiores a los del periodo anterior a la guerra al menos hasta finales de a\u00f1o.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>As\u00ed, la agencia estadounidense prev\u00e9 que los precios del petr\u00f3leo se mantengan altos al menos hasta 2027, con un precio medio del barril de Brent de 95 d\u00f3lares este a\u00f1o y de 79 d\u00f3lares el a\u00f1o que viene.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>El a\u00f1o pasado, el barril de Brent se cotizaba a una media de 69 d\u00f3lares.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>En los \u00faltimos 7 d\u00edas, una media de 4 buques al d\u00eda han entrado o salido del Golfo P\u00e9rsico, frente a los 135 que lo hac\u00edan antes del inicio de la guerra.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":99168,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1404],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[1472],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[196],"class_list":["post-99160","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-iran-la-guerra-del-cambio-de-regimen","editorial_format-analisis","geo-asia-central"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":99168,"excerpt":"En los \u00faltimos 7 d\u00edas, una media de 4 buques al d\u00eda han entrado o salido del Golfo P\u00e9rsico, frente a los 135 que lo hac\u00edan antes del inicio de la guerra.","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Dos meses y medio despu\u00e9s del comienzo de la guerra, el tr\u00e1fico a trav\u00e9s del estrecho de Ormuz se ha desplomado un 97%<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/05\/13\/trafico-en-el-estrecho-ormuz-se-ha-desplomado-de-97\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Dos meses y medio despu\u00e9s del comienzo de la guerra, el tr\u00e1fico a trav\u00e9s del estrecho de Ormuz se ha 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