{"id":98671,"date":"2026-05-08T06:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T04:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/?p=98671"},"modified":"2026-05-08T03:03:25","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T01:03:25","slug":"cierre-estrecho-ormuz-mayor-caida-demanda-petroleo-pandemia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/05\/08\/cierre-estrecho-ormuz-mayor-caida-demanda-petroleo-pandemia\/","title":{"rendered":"El cierre del estrecho de Ormuz ha provocado la mayor ca\u00edda de la demanda de petr\u00f3leo desde la pandemia"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Los confinamientos y las restricciones de circulaci\u00f3n provocaron una ca\u00edda sin precedentes del 20 % en la demanda total de petr\u00f3leo entre marzo y abril de 2020, lo que supone unos 20 millones de barriles al d\u00eda. Desde entonces, la demanda ha recuperado sus niveles previos a la pandemia y experimentaba un aumento constante hasta el inicio de la guerra contra Ir\u00e1n, el 28 de febrero.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>El cierre del estrecho de Ormuz provoc\u00f3 un aumento de casi el 50 % en el precio del barril de Brent, que lleg\u00f3 a alcanzar los 115 d\u00f3lares, frente a los 70 d\u00f3lares que costaba antes de la guerra.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Debido al aumento de los precios, S&amp;P Global Energy estima que la demanda mundial se redujo en 5 millones de barriles diarios en abril, lo que supone la mayor ca\u00edda desde la pandemia de COVID-19.&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-98671' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/05\/08\/cierre-estrecho-ormuz-mayor-caida-demanda-petroleo-pandemia\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-98671' title='Malcolm Moore, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/3beeb26f-6c35-46a9-b116-42edbe6552fd?syn-25a6b1a6=1&quot;&gt;\u00abGlobal oil reserves plunge at record pace as Middle East war strains supplies&lt;\/a&gt;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Financial Times&lt;\/em&gt;, 5 de mayo de 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/UTz3a\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>En sus \u00faltimas previsiones publicadas el 14 de abril, la Agencia Internacional de la Energ\u00eda (AIE) tambi\u00e9n preve\u00eda una ca\u00edda de la demanda de petr\u00f3leo en abril de unos 5 millones de barriles al d\u00eda. No obstante, preve\u00eda una recuperaci\u00f3n gradual de la demanda a partir de mayo, anticipando una vuelta a la normalidad del mercado a partir de este verano.&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-98671' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/05\/08\/cierre-estrecho-ormuz-mayor-caida-demanda-petroleo-pandemia\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-98671' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/iea.blob.core.windows.net\/assets\/515f3128-df1a-4d6c-beb4-fd91d2434bef\/-14APR2026_OilMarketReport_Free_version1.pdf&quot;&gt;&lt;\/a&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/iea.blob.core.windows.net\/assets\/515f3128-df1a-4d6c-beb4-fd91d2434bef\/-14APR2026_OilMarketReport_Free_version1.pdf&quot;&gt;Oil Market Report&lt;\/a&gt;, Agencia Internacional de la Energ\u00eda, 14 de abril de 2026.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span> A lo largo del a\u00f1o, la AIE prev\u00e9 que la demanda disminuya en 0,08 millones de barriles al d\u00eda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/aaMkw\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Sin embargo, m\u00e1s de dos meses despu\u00e9s del inicio de la guerra, el estrecho de Ormuz sigue bloqueado, y solo unos pocos petroleros salen del golfo P\u00e9rsico cada semana.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Seg\u00fan una reciente encuesta de opini\u00f3n, en Estados Unidos, donde el precio del gal\u00f3n de gasolina ha superado los 4,5 d\u00f3lares (+45 % en un a\u00f1o), el 44 % afirma que tiene intenci\u00f3n de conducir menos debido a los altos precios, y el 34 % dice que ya ha modificado sus planes de vacaciones.&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-98671' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/05\/08\/cierre-estrecho-ormuz-mayor-caida-demanda-petroleo-pandemia\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-98671' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.ipsos.com\/sites\/default\/files\/ct\/news\/documents\/2026-05\/ABC%20News-Washington%20Post-Ipsos%20April%20Poll%20Topline%205.6%20release.pdf&quot;&gt;&lt;\/a&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.ipsos.com\/sites\/default\/files\/ct\/news\/documents\/2026-05\/ABC%20News-Washington%20Post-Ipsos%20April%20Poll%20Topline%205.6%20release.pdf&quot;&gt;This Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos 24-28 avril 2026&lt;\/a&gt;.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Las compa\u00f1\u00edas a\u00e9reas han cancelado 13.000 vuelos en todo el mundo durante el mes de mayo debido al aumento de los <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/04\/20\/seguira-europa-disponiendo-de-queroseno-para-este-verano\/\">precios del queroseno<\/a>, lo que se refleja en el precio de los billetes.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/nOkPH\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Una ca\u00edda duradera de la demanda de petr\u00f3leo podr\u00eda tener consecuencias para las perspectivas econ\u00f3micas mundiales, pero estas podr\u00edan verse atenuadas por la reducci\u00f3n de la dependencia de los hidrocarburos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/03\/10\/por-que-la-crisis-energetica-provocada-por-la-guerra-en-iran-es-diferente-de-las-crisis-petroleras-de-los-anos-70\/\">La intensidad petrolera<\/a>, que mide el volumen de petr\u00f3leo consumido por unidad de producto interior bruto (PIB), se ha reducido en casi un 60 % entre 1972 \u2014el a\u00f1o anterior a la primera crisis del petr\u00f3leo\u2014 y 2022.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Como explicaba en marzo el economista Paul Krugman: \u00abLa reducci\u00f3n de la intensidad petrolera del PIB estadounidense significa que, aunque la guerra actual provoque un aumento importante y duradero de los precios del petr\u00f3leo, los da\u00f1os econ\u00f3micos ser\u00e1n menores de lo que habr\u00edan sido hace unas d\u00e9cadas\u00bb.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Seg\u00fan S&amp;P Global, la subida del precio del barril de petr\u00f3leo desde el inicio de la guerra en Ir\u00e1n ha provocado un desplome de la demanda mundial de 5 millones de barriles diarios.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":98688,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"footnotes":""},"categories":[98],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[1424],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[198],"class_list":["post-98671","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energia-y-medio-ambiente","editorial_format-briefings","geo-mundo"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":98688,"excerpt":"Seg\u00fan S&amp;P Global, la subida del precio del barril de petr\u00f3leo desde el inicio de la guerra en Ir\u00e1n ha provocado un desplome de la demanda mundial de 5 millones de barriles diarios.","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - 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