{"id":9767,"date":"2022-10-21T08:01:00","date_gmt":"2022-10-21T07:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/?p=9767"},"modified":"2022-10-24T00:02:02","modified_gmt":"2022-10-23T23:02:02","slug":"sin-la-guerra-el-pib-de-rusia-podria-haber-sido-hasta-un-15-mayor-en-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/10\/21\/sin-la-guerra-el-pib-de-rusia-podria-haber-sido-hasta-un-15-mayor-en-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"Sin la guerra, el PIB de Rusia podr\u00eda haber sido hasta un 15% mayor en 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Aunque las sanciones econ\u00f3micas occidentales a Rusia son objeto de cr\u00edticas por su eficacia real, el hecho es que est\u00e1n teniendo un efecto innegable en el acceso de Rusia a los mercados mundiales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>En primer lugar, Rusia est\u00e1 ahora aislada de los mercados financieros internacionales, y ser\u00e1 muy dif\u00edcil para el pa\u00eds obtener financiaci\u00f3n y atraer inversiones extranjeras en el futuro.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Las sanciones econ\u00f3micas est\u00e1n aislando a Rusia del mercado de bienes y servicios al restringir gravemente su acceso a los semiconductores, necesarios para el funcionamiento de su ej\u00e9rcito.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/5LHWd\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Estas sanciones reducen en gran medida las perspectivas econ\u00f3micas del crecimiento ruso a largo plazo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Antes de febrero de 2022, las previsiones de crecimiento de Rusia para 2022 y 2023 se situaban en torno al 5%.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Seg\u00fan las \u00faltimas previsiones, el PIB ruso se contraer\u00e1 entre un 8 y un 10% en 2022 y 2023. As\u00ed, sin la guerra, el PIB ruso podr\u00eda haber sido hasta un 15% mayor en 2023.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/wlZdm\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>El gasto militar seguir\u00e1 aumentando para financiar el esfuerzo b\u00e9lico ruso en los pr\u00f3ximos a\u00f1os.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Este a\u00f1o, se estima que el presupuesto militar total de Rusia alcanzar\u00e1 los 90.900 millones de d\u00f3lares, casi 30.000 millones por encima del total estimado antes de la guerra, de 63.600 millones.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Todas las proyecciones indican que este gasto militar ruso no har\u00e1 m\u00e1s que aumentar en 2023.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>El proyecto de presupuesto para 2023 prev\u00e9 casi 82.600 millones de d\u00f3lares para defensa y 69.400 millones de d\u00f3lares para seguridad y cuerpos de seguridad, frente a los 59.500 y 47.900 millones anteriores.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/3anER\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>El aumento del presupuesto en defensa tiene importantes implicaciones para la flexibilidad y eficiencia del mismo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Mosc\u00fa ha decidido compartir la carga del gasto en defensa con los presupuestos regionales y locales. As\u00ed, las administraciones tendr\u00e1n que adquirir material militar a trav\u00e9s del Ministerio de Defensa.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Este proceso est\u00e1 estrechamente relacionado con <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/09\/21\/que-cambiara-la-movilizacion-parcial-anunciada-por-putin\/\">la movilizaci\u00f3n en curso<\/a>, que se enfrenta no s\u00f3lo al caos, sino tambi\u00e9n a la escasez de equipos b\u00e1sicos, medicamentos y sistemas de apoyo para los soldados rusos sobre el terreno. As\u00ed, el presupuesto de defensa ruso en 2023 puede recibir incluso m\u00e1s fondos de los previstos.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/L9eHo\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Las grandes inversiones de Rusia en su complejo industrial-militar, aunque impulsan la producci\u00f3n, tendr\u00e1n un impacto limitado en el bienestar de su poblaci\u00f3n en los pr\u00f3ximos meses y a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Rusia tendr\u00e1 que reducir su gasto en \u00e1reas importantes como la construcci\u00f3n de infraestructuras (carreteras, aeropuertos) y el desarrollo cient\u00edfico.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>El poder adquisitivo de la poblaci\u00f3n rusa seguir\u00e1 disminuyendo. En el periodo enero-junio de 2022, la renta media disponible de los hogares rusos fue inferior en t\u00e9rminos reales a la de diez a\u00f1os antes.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Al reducirse las posibilidades de importaci\u00f3n, tambi\u00e9n se reduce la variedad de productos disponibles, y los sustitutos rusos suelen ser de menor calidad y m\u00e1s caros.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La guerra de Rusia con Ucrania est\u00e1 teniendo un enorme impacto en la econom\u00eda mundial, y en particular en los pa\u00edses occidentales. Seg\u00fan las \u00faltimas previsiones del FMI, las econom\u00edas desarrolladas s\u00f3lo crecer\u00e1n una media del 1,1% en 2023. Sin embargo, la guerra est\u00e1 afectando principalmente al pa\u00eds agresor, cuyo PIB se prev\u00e9 que se contraiga en 3,4 puntos porcentuales este a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1366,"featured_media":9768,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[1472],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[182],"class_list":["post-9767","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economia","editorial_format-analisis","geo-asia-septentrional"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false,"_thumbnail_id":9768,"excerpt":"La guerra de Rusia con Ucrania est\u00e1 teniendo un enorme impacto en la econom\u00eda mundial, y en particular en los pa\u00edses occidentales. Seg\u00fan las \u00faltimas previsiones del FMI, las econom\u00edas desarrolladas s\u00f3lo crecer\u00e1n una media del 1,1% en 2023. Sin embargo, la guerra est\u00e1 afectando principalmente al pa\u00eds agresor, cuyo PIB se prev\u00e9 que se contraiga en 3,4 puntos porcentuales este a\u00f1o.","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Sin la guerra, el PIB de Rusia podr\u00eda haber sido hasta un 15% mayor en 2023 - El Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/10\/21\/sin-la-guerra-el-pib-de-rusia-podria-haber-sido-hasta-un-15-mayor-en-2023\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Sin la guerra, el PIB de Rusia podr\u00eda haber sido hasta un 15% mayor en 2023 - El Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"La guerra de Rusia con Ucrania est\u00e1 teniendo un enorme impacto en la econom\u00eda mundial, y en particular en los pa\u00edses occidentales. Seg\u00fan las \u00faltimas previsiones del FMI, las econom\u00edas desarrolladas s\u00f3lo crecer\u00e1n una media del 1,1% en 2023. Sin embargo, la guerra est\u00e1 afectando principalmente al pa\u00eds agresor, cuyo PIB se prev\u00e9 que se contraiga en 3,4 puntos porcentuales este a\u00f1o.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/10\/21\/sin-la-guerra-el-pib-de-rusia-podria-haber-sido-hasta-un-15-mayor-en-2023\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"El Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-10-21T07:01:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-10-23T23:02:02+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2022\/10\/gc-elpibruso-scaled.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1436\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"florent\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2022\/10\/gc-elpibruso-scaled.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Escrito por\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"florent\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tiempo de lectura\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutos\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/10\/21\/sin-la-guerra-el-pib-de-rusia-podria-haber-sido-hasta-un-15-mayor-en-2023\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/10\/21\/sin-la-guerra-el-pib-de-rusia-podria-haber-sido-hasta-un-15-mayor-en-2023\/\",\"name\":\"Sin la guerra, el PIB de Rusia podr\u00eda haber sido hasta un 15% mayor en 2023 - El Grand Continent\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/10\/21\/sin-la-guerra-el-pib-de-rusia-podria-haber-sido-hasta-un-15-mayor-en-2023\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/10\/21\/sin-la-guerra-el-pib-de-rusia-podria-haber-sido-hasta-un-15-mayor-en-2023\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2022\/10\/SIPA_AP22731544_000003-scaled-1.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-10-21T07:01:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-10-23T23:02:02+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/#\/schema\/person\/cdd782c93d4a9eda86ab19a8c01cdf5c\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/10\/21\/sin-la-guerra-el-pib-de-rusia-podria-haber-sido-hasta-un-15-mayor-en-2023\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"es\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/10\/21\/sin-la-guerra-el-pib-de-rusia-podria-haber-sido-hasta-un-15-mayor-en-2023\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"es\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/10\/21\/sin-la-guerra-el-pib-de-rusia-podria-haber-sido-hasta-un-15-mayor-en-2023\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2022\/10\/SIPA_AP22731544_000003-scaled-1.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2022\/10\/SIPA_AP22731544_000003-scaled-1.jpg\",\"width\":2560,\"height\":1545,\"caption\":\"Rainbow colored clouds are seen at Chichibu Basin in Saitama Prefecture on Oct. 20, 2022. A sea of clouds usually appears in October and November. It looks as if a factory makes the sea of the clouds as smoke from the factory joins the clouds and reflects various colours from the lights of the town. 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