{"id":94060,"date":"2026-03-20T20:20:18","date_gmt":"2026-03-20T19:20:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/?p=94060"},"modified":"2026-03-20T20:20:21","modified_gmt":"2026-03-20T19:20:21","slug":"se-caracterizara-el-ano-2026-por-el-regreso-de-un-super-el-nino","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/03\/20\/se-caracterizara-el-ano-2026-por-el-regreso-de-un-super-el-nino\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfSe caracterizar\u00e1 el a\u00f1o 2026 por el regreso de un \u00absuper\u00bb El Ni\u00f1o?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>El Ni\u00f1o es un fen\u00f3meno clim\u00e1tico c\u00edclico caracterizado por un aumento de la temperatura de la superficie del oc\u00e9ano Pac\u00edfico tropical central y oriental. Se manifiesta mediante un debilitamiento de los vientos alisios, lo que impide que las aguas c\u00e1lidas permanezcan en el oeste y las hace avanzar hacia el este, hasta las costas de Sudam\u00e9rica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Los a\u00f1os en los que se produce un episodio de El Ni\u00f1o suelen ser m\u00e1s c\u00e1lidos, con un aumento medio de las temperaturas mundiales de entre 0,1 y 0,2 \u00b0C.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Este aumento es especialmente notable en la superficie del mar. En las zonas afectadas, las anomal\u00edas pueden alcanzar entre +2 y +2,5 \u00b0C con respecto a la media estacional.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/9NDHx\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Varios modelos meteorol\u00f3gicos prev\u00e9n el regreso de un fen\u00f3meno de El Ni\u00f1o especialmente intenso este a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Aunque sigue existiendo cierto grado de incertidumbre, el Servicio Meteorol\u00f3gico Nacional de Estados Unidos estima que la probabilidad de que El Ni\u00f1o se produzca entre junio y agosto es del 62%&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-94060' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/03\/20\/se-caracterizara-el-ano-2026-por-el-regreso-de-un-super-el-nino\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-94060' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov\/products\/analysis_monitoring\/enso_advisory\/ensodisc.pdf&quot;&gt;EL NI\u00d1O\/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION, Climate Prediction Center&lt;\/a&gt;, NOAA, 12 de marzo de 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La mayor\u00eda de los modelos sugieren que alcanzar\u00eda su punto \u00e1lgido a principios de 2027.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Los fen\u00f3menos de El Ni\u00f1o tienen repercusiones muy importantes en el clima a escala mundial.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Suelen producirse cada dos o siete a\u00f1os. El \u00faltimo episodio tuvo lugar en 2023-2024, lo que contribuy\u00f3 a que\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/fr\/2024\/08\/05\/a-lechelle-globale-les-records-de-temperature-ont-ete-battus-durant-13-mois-consecutifs\/\">2024 fuera el a\u00f1o m\u00e1s c\u00e1lido<\/a>\u00a0jam\u00e1s registrado.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Aunque no es inusual que dos episodios se produzcan tan seguidos, el anterior ya se encontraba entre los cinco m\u00e1s intensos jam\u00e1s registrados.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/Uqoio\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Las consecuencias clim\u00e1ticas de El Ni\u00f1o var\u00edan seg\u00fan las regiones: en los pa\u00edses del Sur, como Australia, Indonesia o Sud\u00e1frica, la sequ\u00eda aumenta el riesgo de incendios forestales; en Am\u00e9rica del Norte, como en Estados Unidos y en el golfo de M\u00e9xico, El Ni\u00f1o trae un clima m\u00e1s h\u00famedo, asociado tambi\u00e9n a fuertes lluvias.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Como se\u00f1ala James Hansen, director del departamento de Ciencias Clim\u00e1ticas de la Universidad de Columbia, varios factores clave influir\u00e1n en la intensidad de El Ni\u00f1o&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-94060' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/03\/20\/se-caracterizara-el-ano-2026-por-el-regreso-de-un-super-el-nino\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-94060' title='James Hansen, \u00ab\u00a0&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/jimehansen.substack.com\/p\/super-el-nino-super-warming-is-the&quot;&gt;Super El Nino\u00a0? Super Warming is the Main Issue.&lt;\/a&gt;\u00a0\u00bb, Climate Uncensored, 20 de marzo de 2026.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>La intensidad y la sucesi\u00f3n de las ondas de Kelvin, que transportan el calor acumulado en el Pac\u00edfico occidental hacia el este, impidiendo el afloramiento de agua fr\u00eda procedente de las profundidades;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La variabilidad de los vientos ecuatoriales, que puede debilitar o invertir los alisios normales y, de este modo, desencadenar el desplazamiento de las aguas c\u00e1lidas hacia el este;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Y el calor oce\u00e1nico preexistente, que act\u00faa como una \u00abbater\u00eda\u00bb que almacena la energ\u00eda t\u00e9rmica en el Pac\u00edfico.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The El Nino cometh. <br><br>This would push up our estimate for 2026 global temperatures (though its still unlikely to surpass 2024 as the warmest year), and make 2027 very likely to be the warmest year on record given the historical lag b\/w ENSO and surface temp. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/agqcicaYIa\">pic.twitter.com\/agqcicaYIa<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Zeke Hausfather (@hausfath) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hausfath\/status\/2029987884602712352?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 6, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Seg\u00fan el climat\u00f3logo Zeke Hausfather, un retorno de El Ni\u00f1o este a\u00f1o \u00abhar\u00eda de 2027, muy probablemente, el a\u00f1o m\u00e1s c\u00e1lido jam\u00e1s registrado\u00bb, teniendo en cuenta el desfase hist\u00f3rico entre ENSO \u2014el fen\u00f3meno que engloba a El Ni\u00f1o y La Ni\u00f1a\u2014 y la temperatura de la superficie.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El \u00faltimo fen\u00f3meno clim\u00e1tico de El Ni\u00f1o se remonta a 2023-2024 y contribuy\u00f3 a que el a\u00f1o 2024 fuera el m\u00e1s c\u00e1lido jam\u00e1s registrado.<\/p>\n<p>Las previsiones sugieren la posible aparici\u00f3n de un nuevo episodio a lo largo del a\u00f1o, cuya intensidad m\u00e1xima podr\u00eda alcanzarse a principios de 2027.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1366,"featured_media":94061,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[98],"tags":[],"geo":[198],"class_list":["post-94060","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energia-y-medio-ambiente","geo-mundo"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u00bfSe caracterizar\u00e1 el a\u00f1o 2026 por el regreso de un \u00absuper\u00bb El Ni\u00f1o? - El Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/03\/20\/se-caracterizara-el-ano-2026-por-el-regreso-de-un-super-el-nino\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u00bfSe caracterizar\u00e1 el a\u00f1o 2026 por el regreso de un \u00absuper\u00bb El Ni\u00f1o? - El Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"El \u00faltimo fen\u00f3meno clim\u00e1tico de El Ni\u00f1o se remonta a 2023-2024 y contribuy\u00f3 a que el a\u00f1o 2024 fuera el m\u00e1s c\u00e1lido jam\u00e1s registrado.  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