{"id":9003,"date":"2022-10-03T17:05:00","date_gmt":"2022-10-03T16:05:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lgctesting.piramid.studio\/es\/2022\/10\/03\/que-pasaria-si-estallara-un-conflicto-nuclear-entre-rusia-y-estados-unidos\/"},"modified":"2022-11-14T21:53:14","modified_gmt":"2022-11-14T21:53:14","slug":"que-pasaria-si-estallara-un-conflicto-nuclear-entre-rusia-y-estados-unidos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/10\/03\/que-pasaria-si-estallara-un-conflicto-nuclear-entre-rusia-y-estados-unidos\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfQu\u00e9 pasar\u00eda si estallara un conflicto nuclear entre Rusia y Estados Unidos?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>En el escenario de un conflicto entre varias potencias nucleares, un factor determinante es el n\u00famero de cabezas nucleares que se pueden utilizar. Dentro de los arsenales nucleares hay dos categor\u00edas: las armas no estrat\u00e9gicas, de corto alcance, dise\u00f1adas para ser utilizadas en el campo de batalla, y las armas estrat\u00e9gicas, dise\u00f1adas para atacar directamente el territorio enemigo.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/nCkM4\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Con el fin de evaluar las fuerzas y consecuencias de un conflicto nuclear entre Estados Unidos y Rusia, el Programa <em>Science &amp; Global Security<\/em> de la Universidad de Princeton ha desarrollado una simulaci\u00f3n que pone de manifiesto las desastrosas consecuencias que tendr\u00eda tal escenario en el mundo&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-9003' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/10\/03\/que-pasaria-si-estallara-un-conflicto-nuclear-entre-rusia-y-estados-unidos\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-9003' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/sgs.princeton.edu\/the-lab\/plan-a&quot;&gt;PLAN A&lt;\/a&gt;, Princeton Program on Science &amp;amp; Global Security.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"PLAN A\" width=\"1778\" height=\"1000\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/2jy3JU-ORpo?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Seg\u00fan este escenario, denominado \u00abPlan A\u00bb, m\u00e1s de 90 millones de personas de todo el mundo morir\u00edan en las primeras horas del conflicto. Tras una escalada inicial, ambos pa\u00edses dirigir\u00edan cientos de bombas y misiles nucleares primero a objetivos t\u00e1cticos y luego a objetivos estrat\u00e9gicos, apuntando a las ciudades m\u00e1s pobladas del otro. Este escenario activar\u00eda el art\u00edculo 5 de la Alianza Atl\u00e1ntica, comprometiendo a los pa\u00edses miembros en el conflicto.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/jAcq4\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>En <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/09\/21\/putin-en-el-texto-el-chantaje-de-un-misionero-armado\/\">su discurso del 21 de septiembre<\/a>, Vladimir Putin advirti\u00f3 a Occidente que no descartar\u00eda el uso de armas nucleares si la \u00absoberan\u00eda, la seguridad y la integridad territorial\u00bb de Rusia se vieran comprometidas. Desde el comienzo de la guerra contra Ucrania, el presidente ruso ha lanzado repetidamente la amenaza nuclear, m\u00e1s o menos abiertamente.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Por su parte, Washington a\u00fan no ha hecho ninguna menci\u00f3n concreta al uso de armas nucleares. Sin embargo, en una entrevista publicada en <em>The Guardian<\/em> el domingo 2 de octubre, el ex director de la CIA, David Petraeus, dio un primer paso en esta direcci\u00f3n al declarar que: \u00abEstados Unidos y sus aliados destruir\u00edan las tropas y el equipo de Rusia en Ucrania -y hundir\u00edan su flota del Mar Negro- si Vladimir Putin utilizara armas nucleares&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-9003' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/10\/03\/que-pasaria-si-estallara-un-conflicto-nuclear-entre-rusia-y-estados-unidos\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-9003' title='Edward Helmore, \u00ab&amp;nbsp;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2022\/oct\/02\/us-russia-putin-ukraine-war-david-petraeus?CMP=share_btn_tw&quot;&gt;Petraeus&amp;nbsp;: US would destroy Russia\u2019s troops if Putin uses nuclear weapons in Ukraine&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;nbsp;\u00bb,&amp;nbsp;&lt;em&gt;The Guardian&lt;\/em&gt;, 2 de octubre de 2022.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/3cCYS\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Seg\u00fan Max Bergmann, Director del Programa de Europa en el Centro de Estudios Estrat\u00e9gicos e Internacionales, estas declaraciones conducen a dos opciones: o bien Petraeus no tuvo acceso a dicha informaci\u00f3n, en cuyo caso la declaraci\u00f3n tiene poco valor, o bien s\u00ed tuvo acceso, con lo que se\u00f1ala a Rusia que Mosc\u00fa debe evaluar ahora el riesgo de una respuesta convencional por parte de Estados Unidos&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-9003' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/10\/03\/que-pasaria-si-estallara-un-conflicto-nuclear-entre-rusia-y-estados-unidos\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-9003' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/twitter.com\/maxbergmann\/status\/1576905014445998080&quot;&gt;Tweet de Max Bergmann&lt;\/a&gt;, 3 de octubre de 2022.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>En un <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/09\/26\/el-otono-nuclear-de-europa\/\">art\u00edculo publicado en nuestras columnas la semana pasada<\/a>, Bruno Tertrais recordaba que es \u00abimportante mantener cierta modestia al pronosticar el riesgo nuclear. Lo que est\u00e1 en juego es demasiado alto para que alguien pueda decir con confianza que \u00abRusia nunca utilizar\u00e1 armas nucleares en Ucrania\u00bb. Sin embargo, no tiene sentido decir que \u00abel escenario no est\u00e1 excluido\u00bb y ser\u00eda igual de equivocado caer en la trampa tendida por Putin.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>En este momento, no hay pruebas tangibles que sugieran la probabilidad de un conflicto nuclear. Sin embargo, \u00bfqu\u00e9 pasar\u00eda si se cruzara este umbral? Un escenario basado en las fuerzas implicadas, los arsenales militares y las posturas y objetivos estrat\u00e9gicos.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1366,"featured_media":9004,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[128],"tags":[],"geo":[198],"class_list":["post-9003","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-guerra","geo-mundo"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u00bfQu\u00e9 pasar\u00eda si estallara un conflicto nuclear entre Rusia y Estados Unidos? - El Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/10\/03\/que-pasaria-si-estallara-un-conflicto-nuclear-entre-rusia-y-estados-unidos\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u00bfQu\u00e9 pasar\u00eda si estallara un conflicto nuclear entre Rusia y Estados Unidos? - El Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"En este momento, no hay pruebas tangibles que sugieran la probabilidad de un conflicto nuclear. 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