{"id":30794,"date":"2024-03-07T15:08:00","date_gmt":"2024-03-07T14:08:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/?p=30794"},"modified":"2024-03-07T17:50:59","modified_gmt":"2024-03-07T16:50:59","slug":"el-bce-mantiene-los-tipos-en-maximos-historicos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2024\/03\/07\/el-bce-mantiene-los-tipos-en-maximos-historicos\/","title":{"rendered":"El BCE mantiene los tipos en m\u00e1ximos hist\u00f3ricos"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Tras diez subidas de tipos entre julio de 2022 y septiembre de 2023, el BCE decidi\u00f3 de nuevo el jueves mantener sus tipos directores.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Desde septiembre se sit\u00faan entre el 4% y el 4,75%, su nivel m\u00e1s alto desde la creaci\u00f3n de la zona euro y del BCE.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>El dilema al que se enfrenta el BCE es el ritmo al que aflojar\u00e1 la pol\u00edtica monetaria en un momento en que la inflaci\u00f3n est\u00e1 cayendo y la actividad econ\u00f3mica <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2024\/02\/22\/ministros-y-banqueros-centrales-en-torno-a-la-economia-europea-en-gante\/\">muestra signos de debilidad<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/mTzWU\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>El banco central ha rebajado su previsi\u00f3n de crecimiento al 0,6% y su previsi\u00f3n de inflaci\u00f3n al 2,3% para 2024, frente al 0,8% y el 2,7%, respectivamente, de sus previsiones de diciembre&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-30794' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2024\/03\/07\/el-bce-mantiene-los-tipos-en-maximos-historicos\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-30794' title='ECB,\u00a0&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.ecb.europa.eu\/press\/pr\/date\/2024\/html\/ecb.mp240307~a5fa52b82b.en.html#:~:text=Staff%20have%20revised%20down%20their,and%20later%20also%20by%20investment&quot;&gt;Monetary policy decisions&lt;\/a&gt;, 7 de marzo de 2024.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ya en febrero, el BCE confirm\u00f3 el descenso de la inflaci\u00f3n subyacente, que excluye los precios de la energ\u00eda y los alimentos&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-30794' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2024\/03\/07\/el-bce-mantiene-los-tipos-en-maximos-historicos\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-30794' title='ECB,\u00a0&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.ecb.europa.eu\/press\/key\/date\/2024\/html\/ecb.sp240208~e775b07928.en.html#:~:text=Core%20inflation%20was%203.3%20per,per%20cent%20in%20February%202023.&quot;&gt;Speech by Philip R. Lane, member of the Executive Board of the ECB, Hutchins Center on Fiscal &amp;amp; Monetary Policy at the Brookings Institution&lt;\/a&gt;, 8 de febrero de 2024.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Aunque el banco central anunci\u00f3 que tomar\u00eda su decisi\u00f3n \u00aben funci\u00f3n de los datos\u00bb, varios analistas esperan que los recortes de tipos comiencen en la reuni\u00f3n del BCE del 6 de junio.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Entre los posibles factores de un aumento inesperado de la inflaci\u00f3n, que podr\u00eda incitar a la cautela, figura la posibilidad de una nueva subida de los precios de la energ\u00eda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Sin embargo, las expectativas de los inversores sobre el mercado del petr\u00f3leo siguen inclin\u00e1ndose hacia una estabilizaci\u00f3n de los precios en torno a los 80 d\u00f3lares el barril&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-30794' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2024\/03\/07\/el-bce-mantiene-los-tipos-en-maximos-historicos\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-30794' title='Reuters, \u00ab\u00a0&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/energy\/slow-demand-set-keep-oil-price-near-80b-2024-2023-12-29\/&quot;&gt;Slow demand set to keep oil price near $80\/b in 2024, Reuters poll shows&lt;\/a&gt;\u00a0\u00bb, 2 de enero de 2024.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/mbroj\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>La Agencia Internacional de la Energ\u00eda prev\u00e9 un aumento de la oferta mundial de petr\u00f3leo de 1,7 millones de barriles diarios en 2024 -hasta 103,8 millones de barriles diarios- debido principalmente a los pa\u00edses no miembros de la OPEP+, como Brasil, Estados Unidos, Canad\u00e1 y Guyana&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-30794' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2024\/03\/07\/el-bce-mantiene-los-tipos-en-maximos-historicos\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-30794' title='International Energy Agency,\u00a0&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/oil-market-report-february-2024#&quot;&gt;Oil Market Report \u2013 February 2024&lt;\/a&gt;.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Aunque los precios del gas cayeron en 2023 a sus niveles anteriores a la invasi\u00f3n rusa en Ucrania&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-5-30794' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2024\/03\/07\/el-bce-mantiene-los-tipos-en-maximos-historicos\/#easy-footnote-bottom-5-30794' title='Bloomberg, \u00ab\u00a0&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2024-02-23\/european-gas-at-pre-crisis-levels-seen-spurring-asian-demand&quot;&gt;European Gas at Pre-Crisis Levels Seen Spurring Asian Demand&lt;\/a&gt;\u00a0\u00bb, 23 de febrero de 2024.'><sup>5<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>, la demanda mundial de gas podr\u00eda aumentar un 2,5% en 2024, seg\u00fan la AIE.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En funci\u00f3n de las presiones sobre la oferta derivadas de acontecimientos inciertos -desde retrasos en las entregas de GNL hasta sucesos clim\u00e1ticos y geopol\u00edticos-, el mercado del gas podr\u00eda caracterizarse por una gran volatilidad de los precios.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/CXo8z\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>En Estados Unidos, a pesar de la ca\u00edda de la inflaci\u00f3n -que alcanz\u00f3 el 2,4% interanual en enero- el Presidente de la Reserva Federal declar\u00f3 el mi\u00e9rcoles 6 de marzo que la relajaci\u00f3n de la pol\u00edtica monetaria s\u00f3lo comenzar\u00eda si la senda hacia el objetivo del 2% era segura y sostenible. Es probable que la Fed mantenga los tipos sin cambios en su pr\u00f3xima reuni\u00f3n de pol\u00edtica monetaria de los d\u00edas 19 y 20 de marzo.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hoy, jueves 7 de marzo, el Banco Central Europeo ha decidido mantener sus tipos de inter\u00e9s oficiales en su nivel actual al t\u00e9rmino de su reuni\u00f3n de pol\u00edtica monetaria, al tiempo que ha revisado a la baja sus previsiones de crecimiento e inflaci\u00f3n para 2024.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1366,"featured_media":30791,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[177],"class_list":["post-30794","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economia","geo-europa"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - 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