{"id":28988,"date":"2024-01-31T14:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-01-31T13:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/?p=28988"},"modified":"2024-01-31T17:47:15","modified_gmt":"2024-01-31T16:47:15","slug":"impulsada-por-los-ingresos-del-petroleo-la-economia-rusa-resiste-bien","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2024\/01\/31\/impulsada-por-los-ingresos-del-petroleo-la-economia-rusa-resiste-bien\/","title":{"rendered":"Impulsada por los ingresos del petr\u00f3leo, la econom\u00eda rusa resiste bien"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Ayer, el FMI revis\u00f3 significativamente al alza sus previsiones de crecimiento de la econom\u00eda rusa en 2024 (+1,5%) respecto a sus \u00faltimas previsiones de octubre, pronosticando ahora un crecimiento del 2,6%&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-28988' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2024\/01\/31\/impulsada-por-los-ingresos-del-petroleo-la-economia-rusa-resiste-bien\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-28988' title='FMI,\u00a0&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/Publications\/WEO\/Issues\/2024\/01\/30\/world-economic-outlook-update-january-2024&quot;&gt;World Economic Outlook&lt;\/a&gt;, 30 de enero de 2024.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span> (frente al 3% de 2023).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>El Fondo atribuye esta revisi\u00f3n al elevado gasto militar y al mantenimiento del consumo privado, apoyado por el aumento de los salarios. Sin embargo, estas previsiones se basan en estad\u00edsticas rusas, que deben tratarse con cautela.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Adem\u00e1s, las previsiones del FMI son superiores a las del Banco Mundial, que a principios de enero esperaba un crecimiento del 1,3% en 2024 y del 0,9% en 2025.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Rusia tambi\u00e9n vio reducirse su d\u00e9ficit presupuestario en 2023, que se situ\u00f3 en el 1,9% del PIB frente al 2,3% de 2022.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>El Ministerio de Finanzas ruso ha anunciado un objetivo de d\u00e9ficit inferior al 1% para 2024-2026&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-28988' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2024\/01\/31\/impulsada-por-los-ingresos-del-petroleo-la-economia-rusa-resiste-bien\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-28988' title='TASS, \u00ab\u00a0&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/tass.com\/economy\/1708639&quot;&gt;Russia\u2019s federal budget deficit in 2024-2026 not to exceed 1\u00a0% of GDP \u2014 finance minister&lt;\/a&gt;\u00a0\u00bb, 22 de noviembre de 2023.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/6hK9m\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Rusia sigue mostrando una fuerte resistencia a las <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/03\/29\/hay-dos-factores-cruciales-que-pueden-influir-en-la-decision-de-putin-uno-es-el-embargo-europeo-de-petroleo-y-gas-el-otro-es-china-una-discusion-con-sergei-guriev\/\">sanciones sobre las ventas de petr\u00f3leo<\/a>, desde el embargo de la Uni\u00f3n Europea hasta el tope de precios del G7 de 60 d\u00f3lares por barril.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/B7fiW\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>A finales de diciembre de 2023, las entregas a Asia eran un 130% superiores a las de enero de 2022.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En 2023, Rusia se convirti\u00f3 en el principal proveedor de petr\u00f3leo de India, seg\u00fan S&amp;P. Con 1,7 millones de barriles diarios, Rusia representaba m\u00e1s del 35% de las importaciones de la India&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-28988' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2024\/01\/31\/impulsada-por-los-ingresos-del-petroleo-la-economia-rusa-resiste-bien\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-28988' title='S&amp;amp;P, \u00ab\u00a0&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.spglobal.com\/commodityinsights\/en\/market-insights\/latest-news\/oil\/010824-red-sea-woes-unlikely-to-dent-russias-position-as-indias-top-crude-supplier#:~:text=According%20to%20S%26P%20Global%20data,to%201.7%20million%20b%2Fd.&quot;&gt;Red Sea woes unlikely to dent Russia\u2019s position as India\u2019s top crude supplier&lt;\/a&gt;\u00a0\u00bb, 8 de enero de 2024.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Rusia habr\u00eda vendido su petr\u00f3leo a un precio medio de 72 d\u00f3lares el barril en 2023, es decir, 12 d\u00f3lares m\u00e1s que el techo impuesto por el G7, seg\u00fan un an\u00e1lisis de los datos aduaneros indios realizado por <em>Bloomberg<\/em>&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-28988' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2024\/01\/31\/impulsada-por-los-ingresos-del-petroleo-la-economia-rusa-resiste-bien\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-28988' title='Bloomberg, \u00ab\u00a0&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/features\/2023-12-06\/oil-prices-how-russia-punched-an-11-billion-hole-in-west-s-sanctions-regime&quot;&gt;How Russia Punched an $11 Billion Hole in the West\u2019s Oil Sanctions&lt;\/a&gt;\u00a0\u00bb, 6 de diciembre de 2023.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/cyncu\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Las entregas de petr\u00f3leo ruso contin\u00faan a trav\u00e9s de intermediarios, entre ellos Turqu\u00eda&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-5-28988' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2024\/01\/31\/impulsada-por-los-ingresos-del-petroleo-la-economia-rusa-resiste-bien\/#easy-footnote-bottom-5-28988' title='Financial Times,\u00a0&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/e5be1cac-3901-4066-a036-f78546b55eaf&quot;&gt;https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/e5be1cac-3901-4066-a036-f78546b55eaf&lt;\/a&gt;, 30 de enero de 2024.'><sup>5<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>, e incluso a pa\u00edses europeos que han aplicado un embargo -entre ellos B\u00e9lgica, Grecia y Holanda-, seg\u00fan una reciente investigaci\u00f3n del <em>Financial Times<\/em>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A pesar de una ca\u00edda de los ingresos fiscales vinculados a la industria petrolera en 2023 con respecto a 2022 -debida, en particular, a una ca\u00edda de los precios mundiales-, \u00e9stos representaron un tercio de los ingresos fiscales totales del pa\u00eds en 2023&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-6-28988' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2024\/01\/31\/impulsada-por-los-ingresos-del-petroleo-la-economia-rusa-resiste-bien\/#easy-footnote-bottom-6-28988' title='Bloomberg, \u00ab\u00a0&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2024-01-11\/russian-government-s-2023-oil-and-gas-revenue-curbed-by-sanctions-cheaper-crude&quot;&gt;Russia\u2019s 2023 Oil and Gas Revenue Curbed by Sanctions, Cheaper Crude&lt;\/a&gt;\u00a0\u00bb, 11 de enero de 2024.'><sup>6<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Aunque los indicadores macroecon\u00f3micos muestran signos de gran actividad para hacer frente a las necesidades de la guerra en Ucrania, la econom\u00eda rusa sigue <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2023\/09\/24\/el-presupuesto-de-defensa-se-convierte-en-la-mayor-partida-de-gastos-de-rusia-con-un-aumento-del-70-previsto-para-2024\/\">desequilibrada<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Es probable que la presi\u00f3n ejercida por la guerra sobre la mano de obra contin\u00fae en 2024, tras un d\u00e9ficit estimado de 4,8 millones de puestos de trabajo en 2023&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-7-28988' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2024\/01\/31\/impulsada-por-los-ingresos-del-petroleo-la-economia-rusa-resiste-bien\/#easy-footnote-bottom-7-28988' title='Reuters, \u00ab\u00a0&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/europe\/russia-short-around-48-million-workers-2023-crunch-persist-izvestia-2023-12-24\/&quot;&gt;Russia short of around 4.8 million workers in 2023, crunch to persist \u2013 Izvestia&lt;\/a&gt;\u00a0\u00bb, 24 de diciembre de 2024.'><sup>7<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>El banco central ruso tambi\u00e9n se\u00f1al\u00f3 en diciembre que \u00ablas presiones inflacionistas siguen siendo elevadas\u00bb: la inflaci\u00f3n fue del 7,4% interanual ese mismo mes.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Seg\u00fan el FMI, la econom\u00eda rusa ir\u00e1 mejor de lo previsto en 2024, con un crecimiento del 2,6%. Aunque los indicadores macroecon\u00f3micos muestran una buena resistencia a las sanciones occidentales, la econom\u00eda de guerra de Putin sigue provocando grandes desequilibrios.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1366,"featured_media":28986,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"geo":[182],"class_list":["post-28988","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economia","geo-asia-septentrional"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Impulsada por los ingresos del petr\u00f3leo, la econom\u00eda rusa resiste bien - El Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2024\/01\/31\/impulsada-por-los-ingresos-del-petroleo-la-economia-rusa-resiste-bien\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Impulsada por los ingresos del petr\u00f3leo, la econom\u00eda rusa resiste bien - El Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Seg\u00fan el FMI, la econom\u00eda rusa ir\u00e1 mejor de lo previsto en 2024, con un crecimiento del 2,6%. Aunque los indicadores macroecon\u00f3micos muestran una buena resistencia a las sanciones occidentales, la econom\u00eda de guerra de Putin sigue provocando grandes desequilibrios.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2024\/01\/31\/impulsada-por-los-ingresos-del-petroleo-la-economia-rusa-resiste-bien\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"El Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-01-31T13:00:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-01-31T16:47:15+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/01\/gc-share-petrole-russe.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1492\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"892\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"florent\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Escrito por\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"florent\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tiempo de lectura\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutos\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2024\/01\/31\/impulsada-por-los-ingresos-del-petroleo-la-economia-rusa-resiste-bien\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2024\/01\/31\/impulsada-por-los-ingresos-del-petroleo-la-economia-rusa-resiste-bien\/\",\"name\":\"Impulsada por los ingresos del petr\u00f3leo, la econom\u00eda rusa resiste bien - 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