{"id":118348,"date":"2026-11-13T15:37:22","date_gmt":"2026-11-13T14:37:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/?p=118348"},"modified":"2026-11-13T15:37:28","modified_gmt":"2026-11-13T14:37:28","slug":"la-crisis-petrolera-termino","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/11\/13\/la-crisis-petrolera-termino\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfHa terminado la crisis del petr\u00f3leo?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Las reservas de petr\u00f3leo aumentaron en 52 millones de barriles en octubre, lo que supone una media de 1,7 millones de barriles al d\u00eda, impulsadas al alza por el petr\u00f3leo en alta mar. En su informe mensual sobre el mercado del petr\u00f3leo publicado el viernes 13 de noviembre, la Agencia Internacional de la Energ\u00eda estima que la oferta mundial supera ahora a la demanda, por primera vez desde el inicio de la guerra contra Ir\u00e1n, el 28 de febrero.&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-118348' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/11\/13\/la-crisis-petrolera-termino\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-118348' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/oil-market-report-november-2026&quot;&gt;&lt;\/a&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/oil-market-report-november-2026&quot;&gt;Oil Market Report &amp;#8211; November 2026&lt;\/a&gt;, Agencia Internacional de la Energ\u00eda, 13 de noviembre de 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Los flujos de petr\u00f3leo del Golfo P\u00e9rsico muestran una tendencia positiva desde finales de verano.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Seg\u00fan Kpler, las exportaciones procedentes de Medio Oriente <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/10\/21\/flujos-de-petroleo-del-golfo-persico-han-superado-nivel-anterior-guerra\/\">superaron<\/a> brevemente su nivel anterior a la guerra a mediados de octubre.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>No obstante, la AIE estima que, en el conjunto del mes de octubre, las exportaciones del Golfo, excluido Om\u00e1n, siguen siendo un 26 % inferiores a su nivel anterior a la guerra, situ\u00e1ndose en 18,4 millones de barriles al d\u00eda.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Como se\u00f1al tangible del regreso del petr\u00f3leo del Golfo a los mercados, la India importa ahora m\u00e1s petr\u00f3leo del Golfo que de Rusia, por primera vez desde febrero.&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-118348' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/11\/13\/la-crisis-petrolera-termino\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-118348' title='Rakesh Sharma, \u00ab&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-11-12\/india-gulf-oil-imports-surpass-russia-for-first-time-in-iran-war&quot;&gt;India Gulf Oil Imports Surpass Russia for First Time in Iran War&lt;\/a&gt;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Bloomberg&lt;\/em&gt;, 12 de noviembre de 2026.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/wQVll\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>La mejora de las perspectivas del mercado petrolero se debe al aumento de las exportaciones de los principales productores, a pesar de los <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/10\/15\/iran-intensifica-ataques-en-ormuz\/\">ataques<\/a> contra los petroleros y las infraestructuras energ\u00e9ticas, pero tambi\u00e9n a la debilidad de la demanda: se prev\u00e9 una ca\u00edda de 2,7 millones de barriles al d\u00eda en el a\u00f1o 2026, antes de una recuperaci\u00f3n parcial en 2027 con un aumento de la demanda de 2 millones de barriles al d\u00eda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Los precios del crudo han bajado considerablemente desde principios de octubre.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>El precio del Brent, referencia del crudo f\u00edsico del Mar del Norte, cay\u00f3 as\u00ed un 32 % entre su m\u00e1ximo del 8 de octubre (136 d\u00f3lares el barril) y mediados de noviembre (93 d\u00f3lares), seg\u00fan la AIE, mientras que el WTI ha retrocedido aproximadamente un 20 % desde su m\u00e1ximo del 19 de octubre.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/mp8Wx\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>No obstante, estas bajadas tardar\u00e1n en repercutir en el precio que pagan en las gasolineras los consumidores, los agricultores y las empresas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Desde principios de octubre, el precio del gas\u00f3leo en las gasolineras solo ha bajado un 2 % de media en la Uni\u00f3n, y sigue estando un 32 % por encima de su nivel anterior a la guerra.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dado que el crudo constituye la mayor parte del petr\u00f3leo adicional que ha llegado a los mercados en las \u00faltimas semanas, se prev\u00e9 que el precio de los productos refinados \u2014en particular el gas\u00f3leo y el queroseno\u2014 se mantenga elevado, sobre todo debido a la p\u00e9rdida de capacidad de refinado en el Golfo y en Rusia, lo que ha provocado un fuerte repunte de los precios.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Sin un acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Ir\u00e1n para poner fin a la guerra, cualquier reanudaci\u00f3n de los ataques podr\u00eda provocar una nueva subida de los precios.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Por primera vez desde febrero, la oferta de petr\u00f3leo supera a la demanda<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":118342,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"_lgc_tts_source":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[98],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[1472],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[198],"class_list":["post-118348","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energia-y-medio-ambiente","editorial_format-analisis","geo-mundo"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":118342,"excerpt":"Por primera vez desde febrero, la oferta de petr\u00f3leo supera a la demanda","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u00bfHa terminado la crisis del petr\u00f3leo? 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