{"id":117550,"date":"2026-11-05T16:40:04","date_gmt":"2026-11-05T15:40:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/?p=117550"},"modified":"2026-11-05T16:40:10","modified_gmt":"2026-11-05T15:40:10","slug":"iran-israel-rusia-tras-la-derrota-en-las-midterms-hacia-un-cambio-de-rumbo-de-trump","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/11\/05\/iran-israel-rusia-tras-la-derrota-en-las-midterms-hacia-un-cambio-de-rumbo-de-trump\/","title":{"rendered":"Ir\u00e1n, Israel, Rusia: tras la derrota en las elecciones intermedias, \u00bfse avecina un cambio de rumbo por parte de Trump?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Los republicanos han sufrido una dura <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/11\/04\/5-puntos-sobre-los-resultados-midterms\/\">derrota<\/a> en las elecciones de mitad de mandato: perdieron el control de ambas c\u00e1maras del Congreso y, si se confirman las tendencias, la mayor\u00eda de las c\u00e1maras legislativas estatales, tras 16 a\u00f1os de dominio. Los dem\u00f3cratas tambi\u00e9n est\u00e1n a punto de gobernar en estados que concentran el 75 % de la poblaci\u00f3n del pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El vicepresidente estadounidense, que se est\u00e1 posicionando de cara a una candidatura en 2028, atribuye la derrota a cuatro factores: el costo de la vida, la guerra en Ir\u00e1n, el abandono del lema \u00abAmerica First\u00bb y la relaci\u00f3n con Israel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was &quot;composition&quot;\u2014whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was\u2026<\/p>&mdash; JD Vance (@JDVance) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/JDVance\/status\/2118004988433641835?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 4, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>En las horas posteriores al mensaje de Vance, el precio del Brent sufri\u00f3 una ca\u00edda de m\u00e1s del 7 %.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/bYE2B\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Aunque Trump no parece haber tomado ninguna decisi\u00f3n sobre el fin de la guerra en Ir\u00e1n \u2014cuya prolongaci\u00f3n podr\u00eda seguir perjudicando las posibilidades de los republicanos en 2028\u2014, hay indicios que sugieren que la situaci\u00f3n podr\u00eda empezar a cambiar en varios temas clave, especialmente en materia de pol\u00edtica exterior.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>El d\u00eda de las elecciones, el martes 3, Trump hab\u00eda anunciado que pondr\u00eda fin a una ayuda de 3.800 millones de d\u00f3lares al a\u00f1o que el Estado de Israel deb\u00eda recibir hasta 2028.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La pol\u00edtica de apoyo de la administraci\u00f3n al gobierno de Netanyahu ha sido un argumento de campa\u00f1a de varios candidatos dem\u00f3cratas, entre ellos el senador electo por Michigan, Abdul El-Sayed.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Vance no es el \u00fanico que ha atribuido la derrota a la guerra en Ir\u00e1n y a la pol\u00edtica del gobierno respecto a Israel: Donald Trump Jr., el hijo mayor del presidente, ha declarado en X que est\u00e1 de acuerdo con cada palabra del mensaje del vicepresidente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>El distanciamiento de figuras clave del entorno de Trump podr\u00eda influir en la decisi\u00f3n de reanudar o no las operaciones ofensivas contra Ir\u00e1n, tal y como reclama Netanyahu y como barajaba la administraci\u00f3n antes de las <em>midterms<\/em>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>El ej\u00e9rcito estadounidense lleva varias semanas llevando a cabo ataques limitados contra Ir\u00e1n, sin hacerlos p\u00fablicos y evitando causar v\u00edctimas, con el fin de no llamar la atenci\u00f3n antes de las elecciones del 3 de noviembre.&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-117550' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/11\/05\/iran-israel-rusia-tras-la-derrota-en-las-midterms-hacia-un-cambio-de-rumbo-de-trump\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-117550' title='Natalie Andrews, Alexander Ward, Lara Seligman y Robbie Gramer, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/politics\/policy\/vances-break-with-trump-on-iran-follows-weeks-of-handwringing-over-war-6b43c90c&quot;&gt;\u00abVance\u2019s Break With Trump on Iran Follows Weeks of Handwringing Over &lt;\/a&gt;War\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;The Wall Street Journal&lt;\/em&gt;, 4 de noviembre de 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Republicans were destroyed because Trump took us to war in Iran for Israel.<br><br>A near-extinction level defeat was the only appropriate outcome and proportionate to the depth of the betrayal.<br><br>Anything less would not have humbled the \u201cPlan Trusters\u201d or set a strong enough precedent.<\/p>&mdash; Nicholas J. Fuentes (@NickJFuentes) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/NickJFuentes\/status\/2118064257497522608?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 4, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>La guerra en Ucrania y la pol\u00edtica de <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2025\/02\/18\/la-administracion-trump-quiere-normalizar-sus-relaciones-con-la-rusia-de-putin\/\">\u00abnormalizaci\u00f3n\u00bb<\/a> de las relaciones con Mosc\u00fa han tenido un protagonismo menor en las semanas previas a las elecciones. Como muestra de las reticencias que suscita este acercamiento, dos de los tres cargamentos de gas\u00f3leo ruso con destino a Estados Unidos han modificado sus rutas, ante la aparente falta de compradores estadounidenses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>El acuerdo alcanzado el 9 de octubre entre Trump y Putin para comprar combustible ruso \u2014cuyos env\u00edos ser\u00edan los primeros autorizados desde el embargo estadounidense de 2022\u2014 con el fin de reducir los precios en Estados Unidos hab\u00eda sido duramente criticado por los dem\u00f3cratas y varios republicanos.&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-117550' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/11\/05\/iran-israel-rusia-tras-la-derrota-en-las-midterms-hacia-un-cambio-de-rumbo-de-trump\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-117550' title='Jamie Smyth y Alice Hancock, \u00abTrump&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/f66ebf48-6d09-4a91-9af5-8bf7adca65ba?syn-25a6b1a6=1&quot;&gt; diesel deal with Russia falters as US fuel supplies hit 20-year low&lt;\/a&gt;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Financial Times&lt;\/em&gt;, 4 de noviembre de 2026.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La gobernadora dem\u00f3crata de Nueva Jersey, Mikie Sherrill, hab\u00eda advertido a los operadores portuarios de su estado que se expondr\u00edan a graves sanciones si no rechazaban los petroleros que transportaran di\u00e9sel ruso.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>No obstante, el enviado de Putin, Kirill Dmitriev, tiene previsto participar hoy, jueves 5, en un acto organizado por Melania Trump en la Casa Blanca y reunirse con varios miembros del gobierno.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>El Kremlin ha declarado que espera que Trump contin\u00fae con sus esfuerzos por la paz a pesar de la derrota del Partido Republicano.&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-117550' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/11\/05\/iran-israel-rusia-tras-la-derrota-en-las-midterms-hacia-un-cambio-de-rumbo-de-trump\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-117550' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/asia-pacific\/russias-dmitriev-washington-first-us-contact-since-trumps-midterm-setback-2026-11-05\/&quot;&gt;\u00ab&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/asia-pacific\/russias-dmitriev-washington-first-us-contact-since-trumps-midterm-setback-2026-11-05\/&quot;&gt;Russia&amp;#8217;s Dmitriev in Washington for first US contact since Trump&amp;#8217;s midterm setback&lt;\/a&gt;&lt;\/a&gt;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Reuters&lt;\/em&gt;, 5 de noviembre de 2026.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hay varios indicios que parecen apuntar a ello.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":117556,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":4,"_lgc_tts_source":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[1472],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[172],"class_list":["post-117550","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politica","editorial_format-analisis","geo-americas"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":117556,"excerpt":"Hay varios indicios que parecen apuntar a ello.","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Ir\u00e1n, Israel, Rusia: tras la derrota en las elecciones intermedias, \u00bfse avecina un 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