{"id":117200,"date":"2026-11-03T14:20:22","date_gmt":"2026-11-03T13:20:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/?p=117200"},"modified":"2026-11-03T14:20:30","modified_gmt":"2026-11-03T13:20:30","slug":"se-encamina-europa-hacia-nueva-crisis-energetica-este-invierno","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/11\/03\/se-encamina-europa-hacia-nueva-crisis-energetica-este-invierno\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfSe encamina Europa hacia una nueva crisis energ\u00e9tica este invierno?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>El v\u00f3rtice polar estratosf\u00e9rico, una vasta circulaci\u00f3n invernal que se extiende sobre cada uno de los polos, suele desintegrarse a finales de enero. Este a\u00f1o, varios modelos meteorol\u00f3gicos indican que podr\u00eda colapsar ya en los pr\u00f3ximos d\u00edas, lo que lo convertir\u00eda en el colapso m\u00e1s precoz jam\u00e1s registrado y podr\u00eda provocar, en las semanas siguientes, una afluencia de aire \u00e1rtico hacia Norteam\u00e9rica y Europa&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-117200' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/11\/03\/se-encamina-europa-hacia-nueva-crisis-energetica-este-invierno\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-117200' title='Joe Wertz y Mary Hui, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/newsletters\/2026-11-02\/energy-traders-scrutinize-record-early-polar-vortex-collapse&quot;&gt;\u00abRecord-Early Polar Vortex Collapse Puts Energy Traders on Alert&lt;\/a&gt;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Bloomberg&lt;\/em&gt;, 2 de noviembre de 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Una ola de fr\u00edo precoz podr\u00eda afectar a las reservas europeas de gas natural, que se encuentran en su nivel m\u00e1s bajo en esta \u00e9poca del a\u00f1o desde que Gas Infrastructure Europe (GIE) comenzara a recopilar datos en 2011.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A 1 de noviembre, las capacidades de almacenamiento de la Uni\u00f3n solo estaban ocupadas en un 74,6%, frente al 82,8% del a\u00f1o pasado y al 95,2% de 2024.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/H3UsK\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>En un informe publicado hoy, martes 3 de noviembre, la Agencia Internacional de la Energ\u00eda estima que unas temperaturas invernales m\u00e1s fr\u00edas de lo habitual en Europa, junto con un cierre del estrecho de Ormuz hasta finales de marzo, podr\u00edan aumentar el consumo de gas en los edificios en m\u00e1s de un 10%, y en un 7% en el sector el\u00e9ctrico entre noviembre y marzo, en comparaci\u00f3n con el invierno pasado&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-117200' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/11\/03\/se-encamina-europa-hacia-nueva-crisis-energetica-este-invierno\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-117200' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/global-gas-security-review-2026&quot;&gt;Global Gas Security Review 2026&lt;\/a&gt;, Agencia Internacional de la Energ\u00eda, 3 de noviembre de 2026.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>En la industria, los elevados precios provocar\u00edan un descenso del 15% en el consumo, lo que supondr\u00eda una ca\u00edda de la demanda similar a la registrada durante la crisis energ\u00e9tica de 2022-2023, tras la invasi\u00f3n rusa de Ucrania.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>El precio del megavatio-hora de gas hab\u00eda superado entonces los 330 euros en agosto de 2022, lo que supone un aumento de m\u00e1s del 1.000% con respecto al a\u00f1o anterior.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/fsMt7\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>En su escenario m\u00e1s desfavorable, la AIE estima que las reservas europeas de gas podr\u00edan caer por debajo del 10% de su capacidad a principios de marzo de 2027 y terminar el invierno en el 7%. Se tratar\u00eda del nivel m\u00e1s bajo jam\u00e1s registrado; ni siquiera en marzo de 2022 el nivel hab\u00eda bajado del 25%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>A ese nivel, la capacidad de extracci\u00f3n de los emplazamientos de almacenamiento subterr\u00e1neo se ver\u00eda reducida debido a la disminuci\u00f3n de la presi\u00f3n en los dep\u00f3sitos.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Una ola de fr\u00edo tard\u00eda, unida sobre todo a una escasa producci\u00f3n de energ\u00eda e\u00f3lica, podr\u00eda aumentar el riesgo de volatilidad de los precios y de interrupciones en el suministro, lo que afectar\u00eda a las industrias y a los presupuestos de los hogares.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El colapso prematuro del v\u00f3rtice polar podr\u00eda provocar una ola de fr\u00edo<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":117193,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"_lgc_tts_voice":"","_lgc_tts_publish":false,"_lgc_tts_history_item_id":"","_lgc_tts_generated_at":"","_lgc_tts_status":"","_lgc_tts_error":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[98],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[1472],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[177],"class_list":["post-117200","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energia-y-medio-ambiente","editorial_format-analisis","geo-europa"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":117193,"excerpt":"El colapso prematuro del v\u00f3rtice polar podr\u00eda provocar una ola de fr\u00edo","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the 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