{"id":112329,"date":"2026-09-28T10:58:05","date_gmt":"2026-09-28T08:58:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/?p=112329"},"modified":"2026-09-28T10:58:10","modified_gmt":"2026-09-28T08:58:10","slug":"guerra-en-iran-entra-en-su-octavo-mes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/09\/28\/guerra-en-iran-entra-en-su-octavo-mes\/","title":{"rendered":"La guerra en Ir\u00e1n entra en su octavo mes"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Este lunes, 28 de septiembre, la guerra iniciada por Estados Unidos e Israel contra Ir\u00e1n entra en su octavo mes. A poco m\u00e1s de un mes de las elecciones de mitad de legislatura, que podr\u00edan suponer una derrota republicana en ambas c\u00e1maras del Congreso, no se vislumbra ninguna soluci\u00f3n diplom\u00e1tica al conflicto.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Trump rechaz\u00f3 este fin de semana una propuesta iran\u00ed para poner fin a la guerra, aunque ayer, domingo 27, afirm\u00f3 que esperaba que \u00ablos negociadores estadounidenses mantuvieran nuevas conversaciones con Teher\u00e1n esta semana\u00bb&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-112329' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/09\/28\/guerra-en-iran-entra-en-su-octavo-mes\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-112329' title='Barak Ravid, \u00ab&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.axios.com\/2026\/09\/27\/trump-iran-war-hormuz-blockade-negotiations&quot;&gt;Tras rechazar la propuesta de Ir\u00e1n, Trump declara a Axios que espera que haya conversaciones esta semana&lt;\/a&gt;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Axios&lt;\/em&gt;, 27 de septiembre de 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Al margen de la Asamblea General de las Naciones Unidas, Ir\u00e1n hab\u00eda propuesto reabrir el estrecho de Ormuz y reanudar las negociaciones sobre el programa nuclear en el plazo de una semana, siempre que Estados Unidos levantara su bloqueo naval y las sanciones sobre las ventas de petr\u00f3leo, y respetara un alto el fuego en toda la regi\u00f3n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/OwhiE\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Para <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/09\/24\/en-iran-jamenei-esta-ganando-la-guerra\/\">Vali Nasr<\/a>, es muy poco probable que, en este momento, las negociaciones conduzcan a una soluci\u00f3n duradera: \u00abIr\u00e1n considera que ha ganado la guerra en los primeros cuarenta d\u00edas y que ha salido de ella claramente fortalecido. Por lo tanto, los iran\u00edes consideran que obligaron a Washington a firmar en junio, en Pakist\u00e1n, un memorando de entendimiento que les resultaba muy favorable. El r\u00e9gimen iran\u00ed quiere, por tanto, preservar ese memorando de entendimiento. Estados Unidos busca la victoria, o al menos que el presidente Trump pueda atribu\u00edrsela. Sin embargo, por el momento ninguna negociaci\u00f3n se lo permite\u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Al mismo tiempo, Trump declar\u00f3 que el ej\u00e9rcito estadounidense estaba facilitando el tr\u00e1nsito de grandes cantidades de petr\u00f3leo por el estrecho de Ormuz.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Un responsable estadounidense confirm\u00f3 esta afirmaci\u00f3n y a\u00f1adi\u00f3 que el viernes por la noche hab\u00edan pasado por el estrecho 22 millones de barriles de petr\u00f3leo.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Seg\u00fan varios expertos, los vol\u00famenes de petr\u00f3leo que transitan por el estrecho de Ormuz habr\u00edan recuperado aproximadamente dos tercios de su nivel anterior a la guerra, debido a un fuerte aumento de las exportaciones saud\u00edes.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/bUsDS\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Este repunte de la actividad podr\u00eda indicar que la influencia de Teher\u00e1n sobre la ruta mar\u00edtima se est\u00e1 debilitando.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Seg\u00fan los datos de Bloomberg, las exportaciones de crudo saud\u00ed alcanzaron, de hecho, una media de 5,28 millones de barriles al d\u00eda durante los primeros 23 d\u00edas de septiembre, lo que supone el ritmo m\u00e1s elevado desde el inicio del conflicto&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-112329' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/09\/28\/guerra-en-iran-entra-en-su-octavo-mes\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-112329' title='Julian Lee y Yongchang Chin, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-09-24\/saudis-gulf-oil-surge-drives-exports-to-highest-since-war-began&quot;&gt;\u00abSaudis Surge Oil Exports to War-Time Peak on Hormuz Ramp Up&lt;\/a&gt;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Bloomberg&lt;\/em&gt;, 24 de septiembre de 2026.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>El precio del barril de Brent se sit\u00faa hoy en 107 d\u00f3lares, lo que supone un aumento de m\u00e1s del 50% con respecto al mismo periodo del a\u00f1o pasado.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Parece poco probable que el conflicto llegue a su fin antes de las elecciones de mitad de legislatura en Estados Unidos<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":112320,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"_lgc_tts_voice":"","_lgc_tts_publish":false,"_lgc_tts_history_item_id":"","_lgc_tts_generated_at":"","_lgc_tts_status":"","_lgc_tts_error":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1404],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[1472],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[196],"class_list":["post-112329","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-iran-la-guerra-del-cambio-de-regimen","editorial_format-analisis","geo-asia-central"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":112320,"excerpt":"Parece poco probable que el conflicto llegue a su fin antes de las elecciones de mitad de legislatura en Estados Unidos","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>La guerra en Ir\u00e1n entra en su octavo mes - El Grand Continent<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/09\/28\/guerra-en-iran-entra-en-su-octavo-mes\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"La guerra en Ir\u00e1n entra en su octavo mes - El Grand Continent\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Parece poco probable que el conflicto llegue a su fin antes de las elecciones de mitad de legislatura en Estados Unidos\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" 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