{"id":111453,"date":"2026-09-17T21:26:11","date_gmt":"2026-09-17T19:26:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/?p=111453"},"modified":"2026-09-17T21:26:16","modified_gmt":"2026-09-17T19:26:16","slug":"la-guerra-en-iran-puede-reducir-emisiones-de-co%e2%82%82","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/09\/17\/la-guerra-en-iran-puede-reducir-emisiones-de-co%e2%82%82\/","title":{"rendered":"Se prev\u00e9 que la guerra en Ir\u00e1n reduzca las emisiones de CO\u2082 relacionadas con la energ\u00eda"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Seg\u00fan un an\u00e1lisis de Carbon Brief, basado en las \u00faltimas previsiones de la Agencia Internacional de la Energ\u00eda, se prev\u00e9 que las emisiones mundiales de CO\u2082 disminuyan este a\u00f1o en torno a un 0,5 % con respecto a los niveles de 2025, ya que la subida vertiginosa de los precios del petr\u00f3leo y el gas provocada por el cierre del estrecho de Ormuz ha frenado la demanda mundial.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Se prev\u00e9 que el volumen de emisiones relacionadas con el consumo de petr\u00f3leo registre la mayor reducci\u00f3n (aproximadamente 270 millones de toneladas de CO\u2082), seguido del gas (unos 40 millones de toneladas).&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-111453' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/09\/17\/la-guerra-en-iran-puede-reducir-emisiones-de-co%e2%82%82\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-111453' title='Simon Evans, \u00ab&lt;a href=&quot;Global fossil-fuel emissions set to fall in 2026 amid Hormuz crisis&quot;&gt;&lt;\/a&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/analysis-global-fossil-fuel-emissions-set-to-fall-in-2026-amid-hormuz-crisis&quot;&gt;Analysis: Global fossil-fuel emissions set to fall in 2026 amid Hormuz crisis&lt;\/a&gt;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Carbon Brief&lt;\/em&gt;, 16 de septiembre de 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Por su parte, se prev\u00e9 que las emisiones relacionadas con el carb\u00f3n aumenten en unos 190 millones de toneladas este a\u00f1o. Sin embargo, la mayor parte de este aumento del consumo de carb\u00f3n no est\u00e1 relacionada con la situaci\u00f3n en Medio Oriente.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/pnM2i\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>As\u00ed pues, ser\u00eda el primer a\u00f1o, desde la pandemia de coronavirus de 2020, en el que las emisiones de CO\u2082 relacionadas con los combustibles f\u00f3siles disminuyen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Parte de este descenso se debe a la ca\u00edda de la demanda \u2014especialmente de petr\u00f3leo y gas\u2014 provocada por la subida de los precios que sigui\u00f3 al estallido de la guerra y al bloqueo de los flujos que transitan por el estrecho de Ormuz.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Seg\u00fan un informe de Morgan Stanley del 15 de septiembre, se prev\u00e9 que la demanda de petr\u00f3leo disminuya en 2,4 millones de barriles al d\u00eda en 2026, una estimaci\u00f3n cercana a la realizada por la AIE (-2,5 millones de barriles al d\u00eda, lo que supone un descenso del 2,4 %).&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-111453' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/09\/17\/la-guerra-en-iran-puede-reducir-emisiones-de-co%e2%82%82\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-111453' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/oil-market-report-september-2026&quot;&gt;&lt;\/a&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/oil-market-report-september-2026&quot;&gt;Oil Market Report &amp;#8211; September 2026&lt;\/a&gt;, Agencia Internacional de la Energ\u00eda, 11 de septiembre de 2026.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/pJ52T\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Como <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/03\/18\/el-nacimiento-de-la-ecologia-de-la-guerra\/\">se\u00f1al\u00f3 Pierre Charbonnier en 2022<\/a>, al inicio de la invasi\u00f3n rusa de Ucrania, ante la presi\u00f3n de los conflictos y el aumento de los precios, la reducci\u00f3n de la dependencia de los combustibles f\u00f3siles puede convertirse en un objetivo estrat\u00e9gico para los pa\u00edses que dependen de las importaciones para satisfacer sus necesidades energ\u00e9ticas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Debido a que la producci\u00f3n de hidrocarburos se concentra en un n\u00famero reducido de pa\u00edses \u2014principalmente Estados Unidos, los pa\u00edses del Golfo y Rusia\u2014, el 75 % de la poblaci\u00f3n mundial vive en pa\u00edses que dependen de las importaciones de combustibles f\u00f3siles.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>En 2023, 62 pa\u00edses de todo el mundo importaron pr\u00e1cticamente la totalidad de su petr\u00f3leo, y 89 pa\u00edses importaron al menos el 80 % (el 99 % en el caso de Espa\u00f1a y Jap\u00f3n, el 96 % en el de Alemania y el 87 % en el de la India).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Se tratar\u00eda del primer retroceso desde la pandemia de COVID-19<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":111429,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"_lgc_tts_voice":"","_lgc_tts_publish":false,"_lgc_tts_history_item_id":"","_lgc_tts_generated_at":"","_lgc_tts_status":"","_lgc_tts_error":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[98],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[1472],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[196],"class_list":["post-111453","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energia-y-medio-ambiente","editorial_format-analisis","geo-asia-central"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":111429,"excerpt":"Se tratar\u00eda del primer retroceso desde la pandemia de COVID-19","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO 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