{"id":102874,"date":"2026-06-19T08:17:40","date_gmt":"2026-06-19T06:17:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/?p=102874"},"modified":"2026-06-19T08:17:43","modified_gmt":"2026-06-19T06:17:43","slug":"el-aumento-de-temperatura-puede-costar-a-india-45-de-son-pib-hasta-2030","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/06\/19\/el-aumento-de-temperatura-puede-costar-a-india-45-de-son-pib-hasta-2030\/","title":{"rendered":"El aumento de las temperaturas podr\u00eda suponer para la econom\u00eda india un costo de hasta el 4,5% de su PIB de aqu\u00ed a 2030"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>El pasado 27 de abril, las 50 ciudades m\u00e1s calurosas del planeta se encontraban todas en la India.&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-102874' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/06\/19\/el-aumento-de-temperatura-puede-costar-a-india-45-de-son-pib-hasta-2030\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-102874' title='Laura Paddison, \u00ab&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2026\/05\/11\/climate\/50-hottest-cities-aqi-india-heatwave&quot;&gt;&lt;\/a&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2026\/05\/11\/climate\/50-hottest-cities-aqi-india-heatwave&quot;&gt;\u2018Not normal\u2019: On one April day, all of the planet\u2019s top 50 hottest cities were in a single country&lt;\/a&gt;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;CNN&lt;\/em&gt;, 11 de mayo de 2026.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span> El pa\u00eds, que cuenta con m\u00e1s megaciudades que China (cinco tienen una poblaci\u00f3n superior a los 10 millones de habitantes, frente a las cuatro de China), sufre desde hace varias semanas una intensa ola de calor que hace que la temperatura supere regularmente los 40 \u00b0C, especialmente en Nueva Delhi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El cambio clim\u00e1tico constituye una de las amenazas m\u00e1s importantes para la salud de los trabajadores indios y para el crecimiento del pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Seg\u00fan un estudio publicado en 2020, la India podr\u00eda convertirse en uno de los primeros pa\u00edses del mundo en sufrir olas de calor que superen el umbral de supervivencia de una persona sana sentada a la sombra.&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-102874' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/06\/19\/el-aumento-de-temperatura-puede-costar-a-india-45-de-son-pib-hasta-2030\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-102874' title='Jonathan Woetzel, Dickon Pinner, Hamid Samandari, Rajat Gupta, Hauke Engel, Mekala Krishnan y Carter Powis, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.mckinsey.com\/~\/media\/mckinsey\/business%20functions\/sustainability\/our%20insights\/will%20india%20get%20too%20hot%20to%20work\/will-india-get%20too-hot-to-work-vf.pdf&quot;&gt;\u00abWill India get too hot to work?&lt;\/a&gt;\u00bb, McKinsey Global Institute, noviembre de 2020.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A partir de 2030, hasta 200 millones de personas (es decir, una s\u00e9ptima parte de la poblaci\u00f3n del pa\u00eds) podr\u00edan estar expuestas a un riesgo del 5 % de sufrir una ola de calor mortal, lo que supone una probabilidad acumulada de aproximadamente el 40 % durante la pr\u00f3xima d\u00e9cada.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Debido al n\u00famero de horas de trabajo perdidas, el crecimiento del pa\u00eds podr\u00eda verse reducido entre un 2,5 % y un 4,5 % del PIB de aqu\u00ed a 2030, lo que supone entre 150.000 y 250.000 millones de d\u00f3lares.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/LSmUO\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>La econom\u00eda de la India est\u00e1 especialmente expuesta al aumento de las temperaturas debido a la elevada proporci\u00f3n de trabajadores que pasan varias horas al d\u00eda <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/06\/02\/india-afectada-por-la-crisis-de-fertilizentes-podria-sufrir-su-peor-monzon-desde-2015\/\">al aire libre<\/a> o en entornos con una climatizaci\u00f3n deficiente.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>En 2024, se habr\u00edan perdido cerca de 250 mil millones de horas de trabajo en la India debido a la exposici\u00f3n al calor, seg\u00fan un estudio de Lancet Countdown on Health and Climate Change, lo que supone m\u00e1s del doble que en la d\u00e9cada de 1990.&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-102874' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/06\/19\/el-aumento-de-temperatura-puede-costar-a-india-45-de-son-pib-hasta-2030\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-102874' title='&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/lancetcountdown.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/India_Lancet-Countdown_2025_Data-Sheet-2.pdf&quot;&gt;&lt;\/a&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/lancetcountdown.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/India_Lancet-Countdown_2025_Data-Sheet-2.pdf&quot;&gt;Lancet countdown on health and climate change data sheet 2025&lt;\/a&gt;, India, octubre de 2025.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Adem\u00e1s de afectar a la productividad de los trabajadores, el calor tambi\u00e9n repercute en la calidad de los productos (sudor, polvo, errores\u2026) y afecta a la fiabilidad de las entregas.&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-4-102874' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/06\/19\/el-aumento-de-temperatura-puede-costar-a-india-45-de-son-pib-hasta-2030\/#easy-footnote-bottom-4-102874' title='Azman Usmani, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-06-09\/extreme-heat-risks-losses-for-indian-suppliers-to-uniqlo-tesco&quot;&gt;\u00ab&lt;\/a&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-06-09\/extreme-heat-risks-losses-for-indian-suppliers-to-uniqlo-tesco&quot;&gt;Extreme Heat Risks Losses for Indian Suppliers to Uniqlo, Tesco&lt;\/a&gt;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Bloomberg&lt;\/em&gt;, 9 de junio de 2026.'><sup>4<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/NoVCI\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Aunque son las m\u00e1s afectadas a nivel mundial por el aumento de las temperaturas, las megal\u00f3polis indias tambi\u00e9n se encuentran entre las menos preparadas para hacer frente al cambio clim\u00e1tico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>En Nueva Delhi, casi un tercio de la poblaci\u00f3n vivir\u00eda en viviendas informales, construidas con materiales que retienen el calor y que carecen de ventilaci\u00f3n.&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-5-102874' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/06\/19\/el-aumento-de-temperatura-puede-costar-a-india-45-de-son-pib-hasta-2030\/#easy-footnote-bottom-5-102874' title='Shalinee Kumari, \u00ab&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.preventionweb.net\/news\/indian-cities-struggle-plan-heat-most-vulnerable-suffer&quot;&gt;As Indian cities struggle to plan for heat, the most vulnerable suffer&lt;\/a&gt;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;PreventionWeb&lt;\/em&gt;, 9 de abril de 2026.'><sup>5<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La falta de inversi\u00f3n en el transporte p\u00fablico y el deterioro de las infraestructuras favorecen la congesti\u00f3n, lo que contribuye al aumento de las temperaturas en las ciudades y al empeoramiento de la calidad del aire.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Debido a la expansi\u00f3n urbana y a la falta de vegetaci\u00f3n, la capacidad de Nueva Delhi para refrescarse durante la noche ha disminuido un 9 % en los \u00faltimos 10 a\u00f1os.&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-6-102874' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/06\/19\/el-aumento-de-temperatura-puede-costar-a-india-45-de-son-pib-hasta-2030\/#easy-footnote-bottom-6-102874' title='Mitashi Singh, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.cseindia.org\/making-delhi-heat-resilient-13109&quot;&gt;&lt;\/a&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.cseindia.org\/making-delhi-heat-resilient-13109&quot;&gt;Making Delhi Heat-Resilient. A roadmap with the focus on vulnerable groups&lt;\/a&gt;, Centre for Science and Environment, 18 de mayo de 2026.'><sup>6<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span> En el centro de la ciudad, la diferencia con respecto a las zonas mixtas rurales-urbanas es, por tanto, de casi 4 \u00b0C.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Desde hace varias semanas, Nueva Delhi sufre una intensa ola de calor, con temperaturas que superan con frecuencia los 40 \u00b0C.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2622,"featured_media":102880,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"footnotes":""},"categories":[98],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[1472],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[197],"class_list":["post-102874","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energia-y-medio-ambiente","editorial_format-analisis","geo-asia-oriental"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":102880,"excerpt":"Desde hace varias semanas, Nueva Delhi sufre una intensa ola de calor, con temperaturas que superan con frecuencia los 40 \u00b0C.","display_date":"","new_abstract":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>El 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