{"id":102381,"date":"2026-06-14T16:23:47","date_gmt":"2026-06-14T14:23:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/?p=102381"},"modified":"2026-06-14T16:23:51","modified_gmt":"2026-06-14T14:23:51","slug":"economia-rusa-aumento-gasto-defensa-o-truco-contable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/06\/14\/economia-rusa-aumento-gasto-defensa-o-truco-contable\/","title":{"rendered":"Econom\u00eda rusa: \u00bfaumento del gasto en defensa o truco contable?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Seg\u00fan los \u00faltimos datos federales analizados por la economista Janis Kluge, el gasto militar de Rusia alcanz\u00f3 un nivel especialmente elevado en el primer trimestre de 2026 en comparaci\u00f3n con los objetivos fijados inicialmente en el presupuesto federal&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-102381' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/06\/14\/economia-rusa-aumento-gasto-defensa-o-truco-contable\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-102381' title='Janis Kluge, &lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/janiskluge.substack.com\/p\/russian-military-spending-surges?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffe079cc3-d455-449b-893a-26871dc9fd7d_1416x1051.png&amp;amp;open=false&quot;&gt;\u00abEl gasto militar ruso se dispara un 30 % a principios de 2026, lo que suscita dudas sobre los planes presupuestarios&lt;\/a&gt;\u00bb, 12 de junio de 2026'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>El gasto militar ascendi\u00f3 a 5,9 billones de rublos (70.000 millones de euros), frente a los 4,5 billones del a\u00f1o anterior (55.000 millones), lo que supone un aumento de aproximadamente el 30% en un a\u00f1o.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La mayor parte de este aumento proviene del gasto clasificado (no p\u00fablico), que ha crecido un 43% en un a\u00f1o, pasando de 3,4 billones (40.000 millones) a 4,9 billones de rublos (60.000 millones).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>As\u00ed, de un total de 12,8 billones de rublos (150.000 millones de euros) de gasto federal, el 38,2% correspond\u00eda a partidas clasificadas. Seg\u00fan la ley de presupuestos rusa para 2026, alrededor del 85% de este gasto se destinar\u00eda al sector militar.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/WBxjR\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>La ley de presupuestos preve\u00eda una reducci\u00f3n del gasto en defensa, que se reducir\u00eda al 6,2% del PIB en 2026, frente al 7,8% de 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>S\u00f3lo en este trimestre, el gasto militar ya equivale al 2,5% del PIB anual previsto y a alrededor del 12% del PIB nominal del periodo (estimado en 48,4 billones de rublos, es decir, unos 580.000 millones de euros).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Aunque estos gastos suelen moderarse en el segundo y tercer trimestre (por ejemplo, en caso de pagos anticipados de contratos de armamento), ser\u00eda posible alcanzar un nivel del 9 al 10% del PIB a lo largo del a\u00f1o si se mantuviera el ritmo actual.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Seg\u00fan fuentes citadas por <em>Bloomberg<\/em>, responsables del Ministerio de Finanzas y del Banco Central de Rusia habr\u00edan advertido a Vladimir Putin de que el gasto relacionado con la guerra en Ucrania segu\u00eda una trayectoria insostenible&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-102381' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/06\/14\/economia-rusa-aumento-gasto-defensa-o-truco-contable\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-102381' title='\u00ab&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-06-01\/russia-finance-officials-tell-putin-war-spending-is-unaffordable&quot;&gt;Russia Finance Officials Tell Putin War Spending Is Unaffordable&lt;\/a&gt;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Bloomberg&lt;\/em&gt;, 1 de junio de 2026.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Este aumento tambi\u00e9n podr\u00eda deberse a una simple maniobra contable: el Ministerio de Hacienda podr\u00eda haber aplazado hasta 2026 unos gastos inicialmente previstos para 2025, con el fin de no superar el objetivo de d\u00e9ficit fijado el a\u00f1o pasado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Seg\u00fan Kluge, hay varios indicios que podr\u00edan apuntar en esa direcci\u00f3n, entre ellos unos gastos federales sorprendentemente bajos en diciembre de 2025 y un volumen de gastos clasificados anormalmente bajo en el cuarto trimestre de ese mismo a\u00f1o.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bloomberg tambi\u00e9n se\u00f1alaba en enero que el gasto presupuestario ruso de diciembre se redujo un 19% con respecto al a\u00f1o anterior&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-3-102381' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote note-digits-1'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2026\/06\/14\/economia-rusa-aumento-gasto-defensa-o-truco-contable\/#easy-footnote-bottom-3-102381' title='\u00ab&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-01-19\/russia-slashes-spending-at-end-of-2025-to-meet-budget-gap-target&quot;&gt;Russia Slashes Spending at End of 2025 to Meet Budget Gap Target&lt;\/a&gt;\u00bb, &lt;em&gt;Bloomberg&lt;\/em&gt;, 19 de enero de 2026.'><sup>3<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El gasto en defensa de Rusia represent\u00f3 casi la mitad del gasto presupuestario total en el primer trimestre de 2026. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":102384,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":3,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"staff":[],"editorial_format":[1472],"serie":[],"audience":[],"geo":[182],"class_list":["post-102381","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economia","editorial_format-analisis","geo-asia-septentrional"],"acf":{"open_in_webview":false,"accent":"default","_thumbnail_id":102384,"excerpt":"El gasto en defensa de Rusia represent\u00f3 casi la mitad del gasto presupuestario total en el primer trimestre de 2026. 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