{"id":10155,"date":"2022-11-02T11:30:00","date_gmt":"2022-11-02T11:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/?p=10155"},"modified":"2022-11-03T14:08:57","modified_gmt":"2022-11-03T14:08:57","slug":"en-visperas-de-la-cop-27-la-economia-egipcia-vacila","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/11\/02\/en-visperas-de-la-cop-27-la-economia-egipcia-vacila\/","title":{"rendered":"En v\u00edsperas de la COP 27, la econom\u00eda egipcia vacila"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>La libra egipcia cay\u00f3 fuertemente frente al d\u00f3lar la semana pasada, y los analistas esperan una nueva depreciaci\u00f3n&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-1-10155' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/11\/02\/en-visperas-de-la-cop-27-la-economia-egipcia-vacila\/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-10155' title='\u00ab&amp;nbsp;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/finance\/egypts-pound-sinks-further-against-dollar-refinitiv-2022-10-30\/&quot;&gt;Egypt\u2019s pound sinks further against dollar after flexibility pledge&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;nbsp;\u00bb,&amp;nbsp;&lt;em&gt;Reuters&lt;\/em&gt;, 30 de octubre de 2022.'><sup>1<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Esto se produjo despu\u00e9s de que las autoridades anunciaran un acuerdo de 3.000 millones de d\u00f3lares con el FMI, con el compromiso de un \u00abr\u00e9gimen de tipo de cambio flexible sostenible\u00bb.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>El banco central egipcio tambi\u00e9n subi\u00f3 los tipos de inter\u00e9s en 200 puntos b\u00e1sicos, afirmando que pretend\u00eda anticiparse a la inflaci\u00f3n y contener las presiones de la demanda.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/4B6G9\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>La econom\u00eda del pa\u00eds, con problemas sist\u00e9micos, se tambalea despu\u00e9s de haber sido duramente golpeada por la pandemia del Covid-19 y, posteriormente, por las crisis de los precios de las materias primas tras la invasi\u00f3n de Ucrania. Aunque las cifras oficiales muestran que el pa\u00eds ha experimentado menos muertes por cada 100.000 personas que la media mundial, <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/09\/26\/si-se-tiene-en-cuenta-las-muertes-excedentarias-el-numero-de-muertos-por-covid-19-seria-de-22-millones\/\">los datos de exceso de mortalidad <\/a>revelan que la pandemia ha golpeado en realidad a Egipto m\u00e1s duramente que a la mayor\u00eda de los pa\u00edses africanos -y occidentales-.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/4FjyA\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Hasta ahora, no se han puesto en marcha medidas para mitigar la excesiva dependencia de Egipto de la financiaci\u00f3n extranjera.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Al comienzo de la guerra en Ucrania, los inversores extranjeros retiraron del pa\u00eds unos 20.000 millones de d\u00f3lares entre febrero y marzo.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>El exministro de inversiones egipcio, Yehia Hamed, ya advirti\u00f3 en <em>Foreign Policy <\/em>en 2019 que esta situaci\u00f3n podr\u00eda darse, ya que la mayor\u00eda de los fondos p\u00fablicos egipcios se utilizan para facilitar el pago de la deuda&nbsp;<span class='whitespace-nowrap'><span id='easy-footnote-2-10155' class='easy-footnote-margin-adjust'><\/span><span class='easy-footnote'><a href='https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/11\/02\/en-visperas-de-la-cop-27-la-economia-egipcia-vacila\/#easy-footnote-bottom-2-10155' title='Yehia Hamed, \u00ab&amp;nbsp;&lt;a href=&quot;https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2019\/06\/07\/egypts-economy-isnt-booming-its-collapsing-imf-abdel-fattah-sisi-poverty\/&quot;&gt;Egypt\u2019s Economy Isn\u2019t Booming. It\u2019s Collapsing.&lt;\/a&gt;&amp;nbsp;\u00bb,&amp;nbsp;&lt;em&gt;Foreign Policy&lt;\/em&gt;, 7 de junio de 2019.'><sup>2<\/sup><\/a><\/span><\/span>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Las principales instituciones financieras han seguido previendo tasas de crecimiento para Egipto. Sin embargo, seg\u00fan Yehia Hamed, estos fueron \u00abexagerados por los niveles de endeudamiento, del mismo modo que una persona puede exagerar sus ingresos al pedir pr\u00e9stamos por encima de sus posibilidades\u00bb.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/FXwEP\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Permitir que el valor de la libra egipcia sea determinado por el mercado forma parte del paquete de reformas fiscales exigido por el Fondo Monetario Internacional.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Sin embargo, esto aumentar\u00e1 la inflaci\u00f3n y el coste de las importaciones a corto plazo, causando dificultades en un pa\u00eds donde el 30% de la poblaci\u00f3n vive por debajo del umbral de la pobreza.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/10\/31\/las-consecuencias-de-la-retirada-de-rusia-del-acuerdo-sobre-el-grano-ucraniano\/\">Muy dependiente del trigo ruso y ucraniano<\/a>, Egipto se enfrenta ya a una importante tasa de inflaci\u00f3n del 15%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/zUitI\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>El paquete de pr\u00e9stamos acordado la semana pasada es el cuarto del pa\u00eds desde que Abdel Fattah al-Sissi tom\u00f3 el poder en un golpe de Estado en 2013, lo que convierte a Egipto en el segundo mayor deudor del FMI despu\u00e9s de Argentina.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Para la instituci\u00f3n, el paso a un r\u00e9gimen de tipo de cambio flexible es una medida importante para \u00ababordar los desequilibrios externos, impulsar la competitividad y atraer la inversi\u00f3n extranjera directa\u00bb.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Adem\u00e1s del acuerdo de 3.000 millones de d\u00f3lares, Egipto recibir\u00e1 5.000 millones de d\u00f3lares de donantes internacionales no identificados, y potencialmente 1.000 millones de d\u00f3lares de un fondo de resiliencia y sostenibilidad creado recientemente por el FMI.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"iframe-container wp-block-image wp-block-image-medium  iframe-dw\">\n\t<div>\n\t\t<iframe class=\"absolute w-full h-full pin-t pin-l\" title=\"titolo\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" src=\"\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/XwNad\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" ><\/iframe>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>En un contexto econ\u00f3mico y clim\u00e1tico dif\u00edcil, <a href=\"https:\/\/legrandcontinent.eu\/es\/2022\/09\/16\/cop-27-en-egipto-dilema-entre-los-derechos-humanos-y-la-agenda-climatica\/\">Egipto se dispone a acoger a los l\u00edderes mundiales en la COP 27 la pr\u00f3xima semana<\/a>.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Las temperaturas en Egipto son ahora casi 2\u00b0C m\u00e1s altas que a principios del siglo XX, lo que ha provocado olas de calor hist\u00f3ricas y graves inundaciones e incendios.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La semana pasada el Banco Central egipcio introdujo un tipo de cambio flexible, devalu\u00f3 su moneda y lleg\u00f3 a un acuerdo para obtener un pr\u00e9stamo de 3.000 millones de d\u00f3lares del Fondo Monetario Internacional. \u00bfQu\u00e9 ha ocurrido exactamente en Egipto y cu\u00e1les son las consecuencias?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1366,"featured_media":10156,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/post-briefings.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_trash_the_other_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"geo":[173],"class_list":["post-10155","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economia","geo-mediterraneo"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - 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